| Literature DB >> 29626152 |
Carlo Vittorio Cannistraci1,2, Tuomo Nieminen3,4, Masahiro Nishi5, Levon M Khachigian6, Juho Viikilä7, Mika Laine7, Domenico Cianflone8, Attilio Maseri9, Khung Keong Yeo10, Ravinay Bhindi11, Enrico Ammirati12.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) represents one of the leading causes of death. The time of STEMI onset has a circadian rhythm with a peak during diurnal hours, and the occurrence of STEMI follows a seasonal pattern with a salient peak of cases in the winter months and a marked reduction of cases in the summer months. Scholars investigated the reason behind the winter peak, suggesting that environmental and climatic factors concur in STEMI pathogenesis, but no studies have investigated whether the circadian rhythm is modified with the seasonal pattern, in particular during the summer reduction in STEMI occurrence. METHODS ANDEntities:
Keywords: ST‐segment elevation myocardial infarction; chronobiology; circadian rhythm; epidemiology; risk factor; seasonal variation
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29626152 PMCID: PMC6015398 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.117.006878
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 5.501
Figure 1A, Map highlighting the enrolled countries B, Population and years of inclusion. Note: no patients were included in 2012. C, Seasonal pattern in STEMI onset.
Age, Sex, and Prevalence of Potential Confounders on Circadian Rhythms in the Populations Included in the Study
| Finland1 | Finland2 | China | Italy | Scotland | Japan | Australia | Singapore | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | 425 | 565 | 314 | 245 | 207 | 91 | 99 | 324 |
| Age (y), mean±SD | 64±12 | 64±13 | 61±13 | 61±11 | 61±12 | 70±13 | 62±19 | 60±12 |
| Female, N (%) | 138 (32) | 154 (27) | 63 (20) | 56 (23) | 58 (28) | 18 (20) | 24 (24) | 62 (19) |
| Diabetes mellitus, % | 18 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 22 | 10 | NA |
| β‐Blockers, % | NA | NA | 3 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 9 | NA |
| Aspirin, % | NA | NA | 9 | 21 | 20 | 12 | 20 | NA |
In the first column of the table (which specifies the considered feature) the letter, N is in the first row for number of the population's individuals and in the third row for number of females. The features β‐blockers and aspirin refer to treatment before STEMI. NA indicates not available.
Figure 2A, Perceptual difference, Δ%, between onset of STEMI in the 6:00 to 18:00 and 18:00 to 6:00 intervals in the summer and in the rest of the year. The bar plot is repeated for each population. The last panel summarizes the P‐value obtained in the comparison between summer and the rest of the year for each population. The population is indicated by the abbreviation in brackets in the title of the bar plots. B, Mean values computed considering the Δ% in summer and in the rest of the year. In order to investigate the significance and robustness of the summer shift, the mean values are computed multiple times adopting a leave‐1‐out validation that removes 1 population per round and computes the mean values on the remaining ones. The dashed line indicates the reference threshold of 50 Δ% for occurrence of summer shift effect. The mean Δ% values are indicated with a cross. For the summer, the crosses are light blue, whereas for the rest of the year the crosses are blue. C, The P‐values are the results of a Mann‐Whitney test that compares the Δ% values in the summer vs the rest of the year, repeated for each of the leave‐1‐out‐population comparisons reported in b. All the P‐values are below the 0.05 threshold.
Figure 3A, Bimonthly bar plot of the Δ% trend in the data from Singapore. For better visualization, the Δ% values on the y‐axis are represented using a log10 transformation. B, Correlation between the Δ% trend and the yearly average values of several climatic indicators.
Climatic Indicators Adopted for Computing the Correlations in Figure 3b
| Month | Sunshine Duration (Average Sunlight), h/day | Rain, ppb | Wet (>0.1 mm) Days | Mean Lighting Days | Mean Thunderstorm Days | Mean Temperature (°C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 6 | 0.49 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 27.5 |
| Feb | 7 | 0.23 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 28.5 |
| Mar | 6 | 0.48 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 28.5 |
| Apr | 6 | 0.51 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 28.5 |
| May | 6 | 0.46 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 29.5 |
| Jun | 6 | 0.46 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 29 |
| Jul | 6 | 0.47 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
| Aug | 6 | 0.48 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
| Sep | 6 | 0.46 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 28.5 |
| Oct | 5 | 0.53 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 28.5 |
| Nov | 5 | 0.64 | 18 | 24 | 19 | 28 |
| Dec | 4 | 0.61 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 27 |
The values are extracted from multiple databases: http://www.nea.gov.sg/weather-climate; http://www.temperatureweather.com/; http://www.climatemps.com/.
Figure 4Correlation between the bimonthly Δ% signal (black line) in the overall Finnish cohort and the serum vitamin D bimonthly levels (red line) in a Swedish cohort of reference. The dashed line indicates the indicative threshold of 50 Δ% for occurrence of summer shift effect.
Figure 5Removal of noise and interpolation of the monthly Δ% signal in the overall Finnish cohort. Because the original monthly Δ% time series values (blue crosses) were noisy, we performed an advanced analysis and, in order to estimate a reduced‐noise monthly Δ% time series signal, we applied a nonlinear adaptive filter—the median modified Wiener filter star—to the raw monthly Δ% for noise reduction and signal smoothing. The reduced‐noise monthly Δ% time series signal is indicated by a dashed line and was used to compute the bimonthly time series signal displayed in Figure 4.