| Literature DB >> 29619218 |
Nabi Shah1, Qasim Shah1, Abdul Jabbar Shah1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Hypertension has been recognized as a global health concern for developing countries and is scarcely described in many of these countries. In Pakistan, few population-based surveys evaluated the prevalence of hypertension and there is no current nationally representative study (the latest nationwide survey was conducted more than two decades ago). Objective: The goal of the current study was to estimate the pooled prevalence of hypertension in Pakistani population using meta-analysis approach.Entities:
Keywords: Blood pressure; Hypertension; Meta-analysis; Pakistan; Prevalence
Year: 2018 PMID: 29619218 PMCID: PMC5879913 DOI: 10.1186/s13690-018-0265-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Arch Public Health ISSN: 0778-7367
Fig. 1Flow diagram of the study selection process. As shown our initial searches resulted in 1240 citations. After screening title and abstracts, 70 studies were considered potentially eligible and retrieved in full text, of these 18 studies were subsequently included in the meta-analysis
Characteristics of the primary studies included in the meta-analysis
| Sr. no | Author name (year) | Year conducted | Criteria | BP measurement frequency | Population | Place of study | Age | Sample size (n) | Prevalence of hypertension (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Male | Female | Total | Male | Female | ||||||||
| 1 | Akatsu and Aslam (1996) | 1996 | ≥140/90 | 2 | Urban | Karachi | > 25 | 151 | – | 151 | 16.55 | – | 16.55 |
| 2 | Shah SM, et al. (2001) | 2001 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Rural | GB | > 18 | 4203 | 1406 | 2797 | 14.89 | 13.72 | 15.48 |
| 3 | Rafique G, et al. (2003) | 2003 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Urban | Karachi | NR | 264 | – | – | 23.86 | – | – |
| 4 | Dodani S, et al. (2004) | 2004 | ≥140/90 | 2 | Urban | Karachi | > 18 | 1137 | – | – | 24.71 | – | – |
| 5 | Iqbal SP, et al. (2004) | 2004 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Urban | Karachi | > 18 | 370 | 294 | 76 | 18.91 | 16.66 | 27.63 |
| 6 | Safdar S, et al. (2004) | 2002 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Urban | Karachi | > 18 | 857 | 172 | 685 | 26.02 | 34.3 | 23.94 |
| 7 | Aziz KU, et al. (2005) | 2005 | ≥140/90 | 2 | Urban | Karachi | > 18 | 946 | 476 | 470 | 23.25 | 23.11 | 23.4 |
| 8 | Siddique H, et al. (2005) | 2005 | ≥140/90 | NR | Urban | Karachi | > 15 | 198 | 63 | 135 | 15.15 | 17.46 | 14.07 |
| 9 | Tazeen H. Jafar, et al. (2003) | 1990–1994 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Both | Pakistan | > 15 | 9442 | 4409 | 5033 | 19.75 | 21.75 | 18 |
| 10 | Tareen MF, et al. (2011) | 2006–2009 | ≥140/90 | 2 | both | Punjab | 30–75 | 2495 | 1271 | 1224 | 24.21 | 28.16 | 20.42 |
| 11 | Alam HM, et al. (2013) | 2010–2011 | ≥140/90 | 2 | Urban | Karachi | > 20 | 176 | – | – | 23.86 | – | – |
| 12 | Khan FS, et al. (2013) | 2010–2011 | ≥140/90 | NR | Urban | Karachi | > 15 | 500 | – | – | 18 | – | – |
| 13 | Aslam A, et al. (2014) | 2010–2011 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Urban | Karachi | > 15 | 554 | – | – | 26.35 | – | – |
| 14 | Jessani S, et al. (2014) | 2004–2005 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Urban | Karachi | > 40 | 2873 | – | – | 44.1 | – | – |
| 15 | Irzola VE, et al. (2016) | 2010–2011 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Urban | Pakistan | > 35 | 2584 | 1213 | 1371 | 42.29 | 38.16 | 45.95 |
| 16 | Zafar J, et al. (2016) | 2014 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Urban | Rawalpindi | > 18 | 404 | – | – | 38.36 | – | – |
| 17 | Gupta R, et al. (2017) | 2017 | ≥140/90 | 3 | Urban | Karachi | 35–70 | 1742 | – | – | 24.91 | – | – |
| 18 | Shafi ST, et al. (2017) | 2008–2015 | ≥140/90 | 2 | Rural | Punjab | ≥ 18 | 13,722 | 8366 | 5356 | 35.06 | 30.81 | 41.71 |
Fig. 2Forest plot of all selected studies shows prevalence estimates (boxes) with 95% confidence intervals (bar) for each study selected; pooled prevalence estimates are represented as diamonds in this plot
Hypertension prevalence according to gender, geographical region, study year, type of publication and study size
| Study or Subgroup | No. of studies | Prevalence (95% CI) (%) | N | Heterogeneity test | Publication bias test | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I2 (%) |
| ||||||
| Fixed Effect Model | 18 | 26.34 (25.93, 26.75) | 42,618 | 99.1 | < 0.001 | 0.602 | 0.294 |
| Random Effect Model | 18 | 25.64 (20.97, 30.30) | 42,618 | 99.1 | < 0.001 | 0.602 | 0.294 |
| Sex (Male) | 9 | 24.99 (19.70, 30.28) | 17,670 | 98.3 | < 0.001 | 0.835 | 0.752 |
| Sex (Female) | 10 | 24.76 (16.76, 32.76) | 17,298 | 99.3 | < 0.001 | 0.421 | 0.858 |
| Urban | 16 | 26.61 (21.80, 31.42) | 17,224 | 98.4 | < 0.001 | 0.787 | 0.308 |
| Rural | 4 | 21.03 (10.18, 31.87) | 25,394 | 99.8 | < 0.001 | 0.497 | 0.393 |
| Study years (1990s) | 2 | 19.55 (18.07, 21.05) | 9593 | 38.9 | 0.201 | 0.317 | – |
| Study years (2000s) | 9 | 23.95 (16.60, 31.30) | 13,343 | 98.9 | < 0.001 | 0.532 | 0.57 |
| Study years (2010s) | 7 | 29.95 (24.13, 35.77) | 19,682 | 97.8 | < 0.001 | 0.652 | 0.325 |
| Local journal | 8 | 23.32 (18.9, 27.74) | 3366 | 88.6 | < 0.001 | 0.805 | 0.762 |
| International journal | 10 | 27.44 (20.97, 33.91) | 39,252 | 99.5 | < 0.001 | 0.929 | 0.755 |
| Small Studies | 10 | 23.27 (22.03, 24.50) | 10,831 | 87.9 | < 0.001 | 0.788 | 0.855 |
| Medium Studies | 5 | 32.65 (31.79, 33.52) | 4420 | 99.1 | < 0.001 | 1 | 0.737 |
| Large studies | 3 | 24.73 (24.23, 25.23) | 27,367 | 99.8 | < 0.001 | 0.117 | 0.573 |
Abbreviation: N total number of subjects from the included studies
Fig. 3Meta-regression of hypertension prevalence against study year
Results of meta-regression for the prevalence of hypertension in Pakistan
| Covariate | Meta-regression coefficient | 95% confidence interval | Variance explained % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender ratio (male vs female) | −0.1773606 | −9.89355, 9.538831 | 0.97 | −6.00 |
| Geographical region (rural vs urban) | 5.592422 | −4.85746, 16.04 | 0.276 | 1.67 |
| Study year (continuous) | 0.585197 | −0.03395, 1.204341 | 0.062 | 15.21 |
| Study year (1990 vs 2000 vs 2010) | 5.877195 | −0.52148, 12.28 | 0.069 | 14.34 |
| Publication type (local vs international) | 4.161891 | −4.86441, 13.18819 | 0.343 | −0.31 |
| Sample size (small vs medium vs large) | 1.713683 | −4.27034, 7.697709 | 0.552 | −4.20 |
| Sample size (continuous) | 0.0005039 | −0.00076, 0.00177 | 0.411 | −2.02 |
Fig. 4a Funnel plot detailing publication bias in the studies reporting the prevalence of hypertension in Pakistan. b Begg’s regression test of the overall prevalence of hypertension. c Egger’s regression test of the overall prevalence of hypertension