T-C Tseng1,2,3, C-J Liu2,3,4, T-H Su2,3, W-T Yang3, C-L Chen4, H-C Yang2,5, S F-T Kuo6, C-H Liu2,4, P-J Chen2,4, D-S Chen7, J-H Kao2,3,4,8. 1. Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan. 2. Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan. 3. Hepatitis Research Center, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan. 4. Graduate Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan. 5. Department of Microbiology, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan. 6. Royal Hobart Hospital, Hobart, Australia. 7. Genomics Research Center Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan. 8. Department of Medical Research, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) is a surrogate marker for hepatic fibrosis in hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers. AIM: To investigate whether FIB-4 index stratifies the risks of adverse liver events. METHODS: A total of 2075 treatment-naïve, noncirrhotic the patients with chronic HBV infection were included. Most of them (82.1%) were HBeAg-negative patients and their baseline FIB-4 levels were explored to stratify the risks of cirrhosis, cirrhosis-related complications and liver-related mortality. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 15.47 years, we found a higher baseline FIB-4 index was associated with increased incidence rates of cirrhosis in addition to the common host and viral factors. Patients with FIB-4 >1.29, compared to those with FIB-4 <1.29, were associated with increased risks of cirrhosis, cirrhosis-related complications and liver-related mortality with the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of 6.19 (4.76-8.05), 6.88, (3.68-12.86) and 7.79, (4.54-13.37) respectively. Within the first 3 years of follow-up, FIB-4 remained stable and its kinetics were consistently associated with the develoopment of adverse liver events. Furthermore, FIB-4 index of 1.29 was able to stratify all the risks of adverse liver events even in HBeAg-negative patients with a low risk of disease progression (HBV DNA <2000 IU/mL, HBsAg <1000 IU/mL and ALT <40 U/L). Only 1 patient with FIB-4 index <1.29 developed cirrhosis but not other events within 15 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: In noncirrhotic patients with chronic HBV infection, a higher FIB-4 index was associated with increased risks of adverse liver events. FIB-4 index <1.29 is useful for the prediction of the lowest risks of disease progression.
BACKGROUND:Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) is a surrogate marker for hepatic fibrosis in hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers. AIM: To investigate whether FIB-4 index stratifies the risks of adverse liver events. METHODS: A total of 2075 treatment-naïve, noncirrhotic the patients with chronic HBV infection were included. Most of them (82.1%) were HBeAg-negative patients and their baseline FIB-4 levels were explored to stratify the risks of cirrhosis, cirrhosis-related complications and liver-related mortality. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 15.47 years, we found a higher baseline FIB-4 index was associated with increased incidence rates of cirrhosis in addition to the common host and viral factors. Patients with FIB-4 >1.29, compared to those with FIB-4 <1.29, were associated with increased risks of cirrhosis, cirrhosis-related complications and liver-related mortality with the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of 6.19 (4.76-8.05), 6.88, (3.68-12.86) and 7.79, (4.54-13.37) respectively. Within the first 3 years of follow-up, FIB-4 remained stable and its kinetics were consistently associated with the develoopment of adverse liver events. Furthermore, FIB-4 index of 1.29 was able to stratify all the risks of adverse liver events even in HBeAg-negative patients with a low risk of disease progression (HBV DNA <2000 IU/mL, HBsAg <1000 IU/mL and ALT <40 U/L). Only 1 patient with FIB-4 index <1.29 developed cirrhosis but not other events within 15 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: In noncirrhotic patients with chronic HBV infection, a higher FIB-4 index was associated with increased risks of adverse liver events. FIB-4 index <1.29 is useful for the prediction of the lowest risks of disease progression.