Literature DB >> 29596687

Initial predictors of poor survival in myositis-associated interstitial lung disease: a multicentre cohort of 497 patients.

Shinji Sato1, Kenichi Masui2,3, Naoshi Nishina4, Yasushi Kawaguchi5, Atsushi Kawakami6, Maasa Tamura7, Kei Ikeda8, Takahiro Nunokawa9, Yoshinori Tanino10, Katsuaki Asakawa11, Yuko Kaneko12, Takahisa Gono4,13, Taro Ukichi14, Shinjiro Kaieda15, Taio Naniwa16, Masataka Kuwana4.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To identify initial predictors of poor survival in patients with PM/DM-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD).
METHODS: We established a multicentre retrospective cohort of incident cases of PM/DM-associated ILD from 44 institutions across Japan (Multicentre Retrospective Cohort of Japanese Patients with Myositis-associated ILD, JAMI). Inclusion criteria were an onset age ⩾16 years; PM/DM or clinically amyopathic DM according to the published criteria; imaging evidence of ILD; and availability of serum samples for assays of autoantibodies such as anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 and anti-aminoacyl tRNA synthetase. We collected demographic data and clinical characteristics recorded at the time of diagnosis, as well as follow-up survival data. Predictors of ILD-related mortality were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses.
RESULTS: JAMI enrolled a cohort of 497 patients with PM (15%), classic DM (32%) and clinically amyopathic DM (53%). During the observation period (median 20 months), 76 died of respiratory insufficiency directly related to ILD. Univariate analysis revealed several initial parameters associated with ILD mortality, including demographic, clinical, laboratory, imaging and autoantibody variables. We used multivariate analysis with a stepwise selection of parameters to generate an appropriate predictive model, and identified the following independent risk factors for ILD mortality: age at onset ⩾60 years [hazard ratio (HR) = 4.3, 95% CI: 2.4, 7.5], CRP ⩾1 mg/dl (HR = 2.6, 95% CI: 1.5, 4.8), peripheral capillary oxygen saturation <95% (HR = 2.0, 95% CI: 1.2, 3.4) and anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody (HR = 7.5, 95% CI: 2.8, 20.2).
CONCLUSION: We established a large cohort of incident cases of PM/DM-associated ILD, and successfully identified independent predictors of short-term ILD mortality.
© The Author(s) 2018. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.

Entities:  

Keywords:  autoantigens and autoantibodies; biomarkers; myositis and muscle disease; outcome measures; respiratory

Year:  2018        PMID: 29596687     DOI: 10.1093/rheumatology/key060

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Rheumatology (Oxford)        ISSN: 1462-0324            Impact factor:   7.580


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