Literature DB >> 29580045

Thirty Years Cancer Incidence Data for Lahore, Pakistan: Trends and Patterns 1984-2014

Andleeb Masood1, Khalid Masood, Mazhar Hussain, Waqar Ali, Masooma Riaz, Zafar Alauddin, Munir Ahmad, Misbah Masood, Abubaker Shahid.   

Abstract

This research was conducted to generate trends and patterns of most common male and female cancers from 1984-2014 for the city population of Lahore Pakistan. Cancer incidence data gathered for different organs were processed through cleaning, integration, transformation, reduction and mining for ultimate representation. Risk of cancer appeared to be continuously increasing among both males and females. Overall, lymphomas and breast cancer are the most common neoplasm in males and females, respectively, in Lahore with almost the highest rates in the Asian Pacific region. The incidence of head and neck, brain, and lung cancers, as well as leukemia have rapidly increased among males, whereas, ovarian, cervix, head and neck and lymphomas have become more common among females. The present communication should be helpful for adequate strategic planning, identification of risk factors and taking appropriate prevention and control measures at the national level. Creative Commons Attribution License

Entities:  

Keywords:  Cancer incidence; cancer diagnosis; breast cancer; cancer survival; Pakistan

Mesh:

Year:  2018        PMID: 29580045      PMCID: PMC5980846          DOI: 10.22034/APJCP.2018.19.3.709

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Asian Pac J Cancer Prev        ISSN: 1513-7368


Introduction

Cancer is a major cause of elevating global death tolls and experiencing continuously increasing cancer incidence trends (Torre et al., 2016 ; Moore, 2013; Simard et al., 2012) even in developing world (Jemal et al., 2010). Cancer registry play an important role in providing fundamental information regarding cancer trends and causes (Siegel et al., 2017; Sengoku et al., 2014; Brecht et al., 2014; Park et al., 2013; Schlesinger et al., 2013), Attempts have been made to alleviate the risk of cancer disease in the Asian pacific region (JSY and Ismail-Pratt, 2016; Sarwar and Saqib, 2017; Van Laar et al., 2013; Shin et al., 2012; Liu et al., 2012). According to International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) (Globocan, 2012), there were 14,100,000 new incidence cases in 2012 in the world and there were 8, 000, 000 new incidence cases in the less developing regions (Liu et al., 2014; Chen et al., 2013; Ferlay et al., 2012). In Asian pacific region, low cancer survival rates is still prevalent due to lack of awareness about cancer, poor health facilities and socioeconomic conditions (Cao et al., 2017; Are et al., 2013; Siegel et al., 2012; Begum et al., 2012; Hanif et al., 2009). Cancer risk is increasing in developing countries of South Asia, including Pakistan and responsible for about 25% of all deaths (Moore et al., 2010; Salim et al., 2010). In Pakistan, nearly 80% cancer burden is shared under the auspices of the Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission Cancer Registry (PAECCR) and continuously utilizing the data for devising cancer control and prevention strategies. According to current population statistics, total population of Pakistan and Punjab provincial capital city Lahore is 200,180,000 and 20,137,000 respectively.Approximately 320,000 new cases are diagnosed every year (Ferlay et al., 2012) out of which nearly 256,000 patients are treated at (PAEC) institutes. Current communication aims to disseminate thirty years incidence data and the presented common incidence trends will be helpful in understanding the challenges to be addressed. Cancer registration provides information about cancer incidence and survival (Ferlay et al., 2015).The population based registration facilitate confirmation of effective screening, and intervention for cancer control, cancer registries at hospitals and even pathology levels can also make useful contribution at national level. Globocan provides major resources for cancer incidence and descriptive epidemiology of cancer. Annual cancer registration basis research updates help for concentrated efforts for devising cancer control strategies for future planning (Chen et al., 2016; Moore et al., 2013). World wise available national cancer registries provide strong input information regarding the cancer incidence and mortality. In developing countries, it has been observed that numerous difficulties cause problems for accurate decision making e.g., absence of mortality data and incorrect estimates (Hanif et al., 2009). Indirect methodology using recent data can be more productive and prospective strategy is more feasible to achieve best results and improve cancer registries data (Dhar et al., 2008; Mathew et al., 2011).The true cancer registration data representation can be achieved through national database management system (Weiet al., 2012). IARC have established the rules related to standardization, comparability and data completion and recommended these rules for facilitation and comparison of registry data with international data by fulfilling some comparability criteria and quality control (Moore et al., 2010; Hanna et al., 2010; Salim et al., 2010; Mazhar et al., 2009; Agha et al., 2006; Parkin et al., 2002). In order to effectively implement the cancer prevention and control strategy in Pakistan, National Cancer Control Programme (NCCP) has been designed which is in implementation phase. Basic cancer control efforts are emphasized through cancer occurrence data, risk factors knowledge, key causes of cancers and measures required to avoid cancer risk provide sterling foundation for disease management and bases for cancer control strategies. In Pakistan, previous and current efforts regarding prevention and cancer control is focused on registration and cancer registries set up. Different cancer campaigning societies like pink ribbon and other associations are involved in distribution of the information material. National data representation from Pakistan in (IARC) is lacking and incidence data from major cities of Pakistan i.e., Lahore, Karachi, Quetta and Peshawar cancer registries indicate that cancer is on the rise(Sarwaret al., 2017; Badar et al., 2015; Masood et al., 2015; Bhurgri et al., 2002). According to WHO, cancer burden is dramatically rising in developing and underdeveloped countries especially in our region. Hospitals and their well trained physicians, oncologists, medical physicists and well equipped facilities play a key role in treating such patients. The cancer patient faces burden in deteriorating health, quality of life and working disability (Jung et al., 2016; Montazeri et al., 2008; Short et al., 2008). According to current federal bureau of statistics and population census of Pakistan in 2017, the estimated population of provincial capital city of Lahore is more than20 million. In Pakistan, 80% malignancies (with urban rural variation) diagnostics and therapeutics facilities are provided by PAEC treatment centers. Punjab Cancer registry (PCR) working is in progress on collection of cancer statistic links in the Punjab province of Pakistan. In PCR registries at Lahore, 15 centers are collaborating in the district which is managed by nine member governing council and 38 professionals members are serving for the Registry including both government and private sector. PCR registry is collecting cancer information treated in Lahore chapter of the Registry, which is now expanding its work and role for collection of incidence data for the diagnosed cancer cases among residents of nearby areas adjacent to provincial capital Lahore, which include Gujranwala, Sheikhupura, Kasur, NankanaSahb, Hafizabad, and Faisalabad. The cancer registries are very actively being managed and maintained in public and private sector in Punjab province. INMOL Lahore cancer registry is working under the auspices of (PAEC), one of the state of the art institute among its eighteen nuclear medical centers in Pakistan that has been declared center of excellence in south east Asian Region by International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is continuously engaged for providing resplendent diagnostic and therapeutic facilities to all cancer patients. The institute based cancer registry has been working since its establishment in 1984, which is being handled by its unit called cancer registry for clinical data collection and management. The cancer patients are initially triaged as per institute’s policy and accepted for treatment after registration. Patient’s disease related information is abstracted from patient’s records. The diseases and related treatment data information is available at different places and its results are collated to generate summaries of cases on yearly basis. INMOL has become a leading referral and state of the art cancer care center for disease management in Pakistan. INMOL is an important Cancer Registry of (PAECCR) where the cancer registration and clinical data management staff ensures accuracy related to entry of data and current results are illustrated through annual registration data sheets which serve as accurate registry record and is available for oncology professionals.

Materials and Methods

Cancer patient’s registration and cancer incidence data of the institute was initially available in yearly based soft data sheets. The cancer incidence data of last thirty years was processed through the application of computational technique for generation of trends and patterns to perform data analysis for illustration of key cancer incidence features. It was difficult to perform data mining, data analysis and its assessment in scientific manner through initial yearly data sheets from (1984–2014). The said data was so compiled and conformed in the manner that it served as input for data mining. The computational technique that includes data cleaning, data integration, data transformation, data reduction, data mining, its evaluation and knowledge presentation was applied in order to transform the conformed data in symmetric and harmonic way for information utilization, data analysis and assessment concerning occurrence for demonstration of cancer incidence results. Finally, the trends and pattern generation of INMOL’s most common cancers from 1984-2014 has been presented, which greatly helped in consolidating and mining huge amount of last thirty years data. These resultant patterns are readily available for data analysis and illustration of required trends just within seconds. Currently, registration is being performed through Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAECCR) national institutional registry software which has been linked with all cancer institutional registries. The accurate registration information on cancer incidence is now available for utilization of accurate information as input for trends and patterns generation for all major cities of Pakistan.

Results

Cancer risk is continuously increasing in South Asian region and demands for effective control strategy (Afsharfard et al., 2013; Takiar et al., 2010). Many types of cancers are recognized initially either through screening or by their symptoms. Chance of death which is due to the type of cancer can be reduced by performing individual patients monitoring, detection and treatment of early disease in the phase of their initial development and through disease management in accordance with the best available diagnostic evidences. The most common ten diseases among males from the city population of Lahore is shown in Figure 1. The trends for male patients described for the 30 years cancer incidence illustrates gradual decrease in the type of cancers and after lymphomas, head & neck, brain, lungs and leukemia cancers are 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th most common cancer incidence among males having an elevated trends.
Figure 1

Most Common Top Ten Male Cancers in Lahore Pakistan from (1984-2014)

Most Common Top Ten Male Cancers in Lahore Pakistan from (1984-2014) The ten most common diseases among females have been illustrated in Figure 2. Breast cancer is the top most cancer disease among females as compared to the other female cancers. It is evident from Figure 2, that the trends and patterns given for ovarian, cervix, Head and Neck and Lymphoma cancer incidence among females are 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th high proportion cancers among the population of Lahore, Pakistan.
Figure 2

Most Common Top Ten Female Cancers in Lahore Pakistan from (1984-2014)

Most Common Top Ten Female Cancers in Lahore Pakistan from (1984-2014) The percentages of disease wise patterns of ten most common cancers among males and females has been presented in Figures 3-4 for the thirty year time span from 1984-2014. It can be seen from Figure 4 that the breast cancer is the main reason of death associated with cancer among 55% female population of Lahore Pakistan, which is highest rate Pakistan high rate of breast cancer in South East Asian region where possibility of growing breast cancer in women is 35% - 40% after age of forty. UICC and WHO report statistics depict that nearly 47% newly diagnosed breast cancers are at advance level in Pakistan. The Medical checkup on annual basis need to be performed after the age of forty by trained health workers that should be started for every woman at the age of 20 periodically after every three years and related disease signs should also be further investigated.
Figure 3

Percentages of Ten Most Common Male Cancer Trends from (1984-2014)

Figure 4

Percentages of Ten Most Common Female Cancer Trends from (1984-2014)

Percentages of Ten Most Common Male Cancer Trends from (1984-2014) Ten most common male cancer percentage trends for the city population of Lahore has been described in Figure 3. It is evident from figure 3 that Lymphoma, Head and Neck and Brain share 18%, 13% and 12% male cancer cases respectively, whereas, Lungs (12%), Prostate (9%) and urinary bladder (8%) are next three higher percentages among males. MUO, Larynx, Acute Leukemia and colorectal cancer has 7% male cancer cases. Further percentage evaluation of data acquired for female cancers from last thirty years has been illustrated in Figure 4, where major highlighted disease percentage is breast cancer i.e. 55%. It is pertinent to note that the percentage distribution for various female cancers shows that breast cancer among women of 31–40 age group is rising rapidly (DeSantis et al., 2016; Siegel et al., 2016; Leclere et al., 2013; Mousavi et al., 2013; Gabriel et al., 2010) According to (PAECCR) statistics, breast cancer is overall top ranking and continually increasing disease in the city population of Lahore Pakistan. Breast cancer incidence in other countries also shows similar patterns and consistency with South East Asian region trends (Chen et al., 2015; Barayan et al., 2014; Kharazmi et al., 2014; Wu et al., 2013; Zhang et al., 2012) Other most common cancer percentages include, 8% for Ovary and Cervix cancer, 5% for Head & Neck and Lymphoma and 4% for Thyroid, Uterus, Brain and MUO. Percentages of Ten Most Common Female Cancer Trends from (1984-2014) In Figure 5 the number of cancer patients among males, females and there accumulative values have been presented from 1984 to 2014 for the city population of Lahore Pakistan. It can be seen that the total number of female patients has year wise considerably higher incidence as compared to number of male cases during the span of thirty years. The difference between the number of male and female cases increased every year which is at its maximum for the year 2014. From the year 2004 to onward, the total number of female cases is appormaxitly doubled as compared to the male cases which depicts the significant difference in life style between females and males populations in Pakistan. This situation can be improved through creating awareness and adopting healthy life style.
Figure 5

Number of Cancer Patients vs Years (1984- 2014)

Number of Cancer Patients vs Years (1984- 2014)

Discussion

It has now been established that cancer is caused by wide range of accumulative effects of multiple risk factors (Perdue et al., 2014; Barayan et al., 2014; Kharazmi et al., 2014; Cheung et al., 2013; Cheunget al., 2013) and there is lack of awareness among most of the urban and rural male and female population in developing regions (Tripathi et al., 2014; Gao et al., 2013) which is consistent with data from other part of the world (Mousavi et al., 2013; Leclere et al., 2013; Gabriel et al., 2010). The overall incidence trends are consistent with South East Asian region patterns (Afsharfard et al., 2013; Takiar et al., 2010). The cancer incidence remains the highest in South East Asian region which is an accumulative effect of different influencing factors (Moore et al., 2013; Belasco et al., 2014; Tripathi et al., 2014). Recent cancer incidence data from Lahore, Pakistan describes that the cancer in young male and female at the age group 41–50 is rapidly rising and breast cancer has been seen in females at age group 41–60. For safety purpose, all females over 40 years of age, mammography must be performed after every three year. The average age for mostly male diagnosed cases are from 51–60 years, whereas, it is 41–50 years for females. The data is useful for interpretation of different kinds of tumors for cancer prevention and devising its control strategies. Similar results of the cancer incidence have been noted and reported by other researchers (Perdue et al., 2014; Cheung et al., 2013). During 2015, newly designed software has been introduced to give information about age-specific incidence which will help to depict these trends more accurately for occurrence of cancers in specific age groups. (PAECCR) has addressed the problem at national level and developed necessary required infrastructure which provide effective and valuable setup for assessing early screening needs along with adequate planning and evaluating screening services for management of cancer in Pakistan. For instance, it has become known that the incidence of acute and chronic leukemia is reported in patients who have been exposed to any kind of radiation, benzene, pesticides and herbicides. The assessment and analysis of the vast data can be used for identification of the adequate amount of resources annually required to ensure more intervention measures for prevention of cancer and control that cannot be overestimated. The disease identification, its progression and reporting is difficult as lot of reasons are contained in disease aggression and pointing out nature of complexity which demands for systematic thinking and approach to identify key indicators inferred from the data (Tripathi et al., 2014; Belasco et al., 2014; Gao et al., 2013; Takiar et al., 2011). The typical results of cancer incidence reflect the various aspects that have its own multiplication with several other factors to compose enough effect for developing cancers as described elsewhere (Chen et al. 2015). The chances of getting cancers are relatively lower in younger age group of population and manifestation of developing cancer has greater possibility with growing age. The cancer incidence among all groups can be explained through risk behaviors (e.g., alcohol consumption, smoking, unhealthy life style, excessive sun exposure, unhealthy diet, and prolongation of infectious diseases) in addition to exposure from environmental carcinogenesis risk factors and lack of knowledge about disease and available cancer diagnosis, screening and treatment services. Cancer incidence may be attributed by number of reasons due to gender differences, unhealthy routine family and social lifestyle, exposure of males and females due to different environmental risk factors has their own significance for its genesis and prognosis with variable susceptibility for developing various types of cancers associated with their gender related discrepancies in genetics and physiology. The population of urban and rural living areas responds in a different manner to the cancer related symptoms, treatment services and prevention and leading to uneven distribution of incidence cases registration. Most of the cancer diagnosis and treatment facilities in Pakistan are only available in large hospitals and rural population in far off places are often outside the local cancer registry jurisdiction which poses accessibility barriers for rural population, to get services especially for aged ones. Another problem is to obtain complete relevant cancer case history record from required data for checking in case of local rural cancer registries. It has also been observed that a formal residence for substantial part of rural population is not registered and most of the rural school age population especially children are not properly diagnosed and they die due to cancer not having any record. Incidence of Lung disease in females and Thyroid cancer in males are not included ten most common diseases of male respectively. In addition, Thyroid is 6th common disease among females in Lahore cancer registry. Among males, bone & soft tissue sarcomas, skin, pharynx, esophagus and liver are not included in top ten cancers. At the same time, gall bladder, bone sarcomas, skin, acute leukemia, pharynx and urinary bladder are not among top ten female diseases. Table 1-2, illustrates organ wise thirty year cancer incidence data among males and females in the population of provincial capital city Lahore Pakistan.
Table 1

Organ Wise Cancer Incidence Data among Males in Lahore Pakistan from (1984-2014)

Sr.Organ Name19848586878889909192939495969798990123456789101112132014Total
1Lymphoma53031385574978510411010310710790148921061181041121191041341361702112182141791612063568
2Head & Neck6193438363953539610290138867646647771102861048510497114901121321171451312543
3Brain01117171316333145466649666063687989118142127144146158771251791501541242404
4Lung31744547194997567625078545662687667617887871041171068598100981061272351
5Misc116812192472433117444950464190227771252113213718412986819882204512272
6Prostate21091614232938463241474956494248475155614969102898681991031181531714
7Urinary Bladder47131720332744404836403744404855536264628760878174789180851071624
8Muo00002462924202839414069375264454318851425467601101389962521466
9Larynx2917163328334152404039394946353547785952475963634850796989911448
10Acute Leukemia0000002618393510189453957716877547280776748574627676261421425
11Colorectal567111226323733334131232716393440304964445994817692738185951376
12Bone Sarcomas4410162524132015235225241532384746463358485074747993765249221187
13Soft Tissue Sarcomas2101211142517364634434440384035392524284037433841466248292122990
14Skin4162220231519192532435136273835313532303327372420201642444736899
15Pharynx2981820161025192233172026722262139343037303135243235413432755
16Testis156814913191821152715171919171623232618272523193326432721593
17Chronic Leukemia000000122111411151912233230323624453533249201728284220574
18Kidney02491281219272320212521221134242927261725229202819241512567
19Thyroid1368111812201114131310171013221420141710223033281830333036537
20Esophagus31241014171314132401522171511910141526173324233432262623507
21Liver00316121315222424293423281421159262716172312141697146480
22Salivary Gland0547657171216262118918814161210161911175191026212416415
23Stomach1115541081391612111111778761113142712142624211420349
24Breast027666356959767119111510152161218122716162727328
25Gall Bladder1023889101013111781011691113610121285341040225
26Pancreas001414694610173106106310961287822450164
27Anal Canal00202023011265224313458655984412109
28Blood0917141919000010000010010000000000990
29Penis010111010200000010000020100000011
Table 2

Organ Wise Cancer Incidence Data among Females in Lahore Pakistanfrom (1984-2014)

SrOrgan Name19848586878889909192939495969798990123456789101112132014Total
1Breast24641451671902293103213614404614744624184514065024694465496226407427999088941051111410741227130717267
2Ovary015162740505943796979776882766119894981281161021391231291481321301571662602
3Cervix102028444490787272701051231171157462636595937081811001031251211221631582555
4Misc081001615423213932303224309730622911816140148140140421519531453541850
5Head & Neck882815213935376040498764494841775778545768627910054561199599701754
6Lymphoma4159252430394150514542363854394338285262506473661271489998931081691
7Thyroid0913182626253746363133423532484832333955636568826448798483941394
8Uterus1211781518003841340000372838404044485465578080103891021231221
9Brain0435111188231625361734222731522955495173657348671017185711171
10Muo0031243112122243637293340433427271473134465167161459253451124
11Colorectal1113581419191919222032191317242420343638395352515748435061871
12Gall Bladder00523143431444440394843383338343329373620333118988270779
13Bone Sarcomas2381191669618161010141322372922303230395568565368241412742
14Skin2161415111516293328282829233623232335343715202828191322224036741
15Acute Leukemia00000010121618193915192330363527393441394127161030283226662
16Lung03181221421921131391179109141320111627193934212543271835579
17Pharynx1236111262111199131891014802217102219272736192040322022578
18Soft Tissue Sarcomas14125714101829132234281726200162025292510192334382419817567
19Esophagus035961216129121301112417994141312232528202832212120420
20Urinary Bladder035615284861153412122011211016111719241324261429350
21Chronic Leukemia000000419654121397252123222131122187625211915347
22Kidney032368991115111541614111216121616121781061514824305
23Salivary Gland03445461148891511117338913911815117816131511297
24Liver1751211127111161111171311973891411856133642245
25Stomach0022809549795466752635910101410126921205
26Larynx0733487967118489458619810114389649199
27Vulva1402652652410241289837798767714120168
28Vagina01011002443546144234327218910740102
29Pancreas001331252522523262515786476011097
30Anal Canal000002122120300321024366335527469
31Blood110213109000000000100000000000000955
Organ Wise Cancer Incidence Data among Males in Lahore Pakistan from (1984-2014) Organ Wise Cancer Incidence Data among Females in Lahore Pakistanfrom (1984-2014) It is obvious from INMOL data that the manifest features imply need to strengthen cancer prevention and control mechanism for early screening program. The in depth basic clinical research will further help in investigation of root cause analysis for identification of the geographical distribution of risk factors. Raising cancer awareness campaign throughout the country is very important and valuable cancer prevention and control tool for effective handling of disease. Assessment of need for early screening and evaluation of screening services for most common female and male cancers is of utmost importance. Cancer control activities also include primarily education for creating awareness, model community program to increase awareness and potential for success also depend on resource allocation, socioeconomic cultural similarities for patients which are reported in advanced stages. Public health care education is extremely useful for school children in playing important role for primary prevention in use of tobacco and alcohol that can have dramatic effects on minimizing cancer trends and measures taken for prevention of cancer risk with diet control (e.g., breast, colon, gastric cancers), avoidance of preservatives, processed foods, dyes, pesticides, occupational hazards protection to control, mobility and healthy life style can help to control up to 50% of the malignancies. According to WHO, Pakistan falls in less resource countries and the risk having cancer can be 40% minimized through simple measures by no smoking, no alcohol consumption, avoiding excessive sun exposure, timely treatment of infectious diseases, courteous diet and healthy life style. The detection of disease by comprehensive assessment of risk, appropriate biomarkers and skillful well trained professionals may prove to be very cost effective. The interpretation and utilization of trends and pattern generated through (PAECCR) cancer registry data will pave the way for taking into account all the factors which are related to genesis, prognosis and expression of the disease and is pertinently important to made substantial progress. Another important aspect which needs to be emphasized is ethnic, social, economic and geographic parameters for correct prediction of trends over time to determine requirements for planning. In conclusions, (PAECCR) Lahore registry data comprising thirty years of cancer incidence from (1984-2014) has been successfully processed by computational technique for evaluation of useful patterns and valuable presentation of knowledge. Resultant data analysis has been presented in the form trends which is of significant importance for international scientific community and the patterns of different disease organs has been expressed to portrait clear picture of cancer incidence in Lahore Pakistan. These results demonstrate the rapidly increasing male and female cancer diseases and depict new challenges which need to be tackled on urgent basis in Pakistan. The research work compiled valuable information and discussed methodology to address common risk factors. The future projection of most common prevalent cancers can also be illustrated through generated patterns and trends. The results emphasize the need for initiation of immediate cancer screening at early stages. These results also highlight the importance of launching an organized public awareness campaign for cancer alleviation at national level. Such results are helpful for identification of adequate resources required for diagnostic and therapeutic facilities and in terms of well-trained oncologists, physicists, medical and surgical staff. These multidimensional outcome aspects of the present research work give it a significance nature and also pave the way for different futuristic studies for cancer prevention and control.
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Journal:  Comput Math Methods Med       Date:  2022-07-25       Impact factor: 2.809

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