| Literature DB >> 29529840 |
Baek Gyu Jun1, Eui Ju Park2, Woong Cheul Lee2, Jae Young Jang2, Soung Won Jeong2, Young Don Kim1, Gab Jin Cheon1, Young Sin Cho3, Sae Hwan Lee3, Hong Soo Kim3, Yun Nah Lee4, Sang Gyune Kim4, Young Seok Kim4, Boo Sung Kim2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIMS: This study was conducted to clarify the sustained virological response (SVR) prediction ability of baseline and treatment-related factors in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.Entities:
Keywords: Blood platelets; Hepatitis C, chronic; Predictor; Sustained virological response
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29529840 PMCID: PMC6718746 DOI: 10.3904/kjim.2017.322
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Korean J Intern Med ISSN: 1226-3303 Impact factor: 2.884
Baseline clinical characteristics (n = 330)
| Characteristic | Value |
|---|---|
| Male sex | 176 (53.3) |
| Age, yr | 49 (18–72) |
| Cirrhosis | 29 (8.7) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 56 (17) |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 24 (16–33) |
| BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 | 119 (36.1) |
| PEG-IFN α-2a/PEG-INF α-2b | 143 (33.3)/187 (56.7) |
| Genotype 1/Genotype 2 | 154 (46.7)/176 (53.3) |
| HCV RNA, log10 IU/mL | 5.75 ± 0.92 |
| HCV RNA < 800,000 IU/mL | 176 (53.3) |
| Achievement of RVR (n = 247) | 183 (55.5) |
| Achievement of EVR (n = 267) | 248 (75.2) |
| Achievement of SVR | 237 (71.8) |
| Treatment duration of ≥ 80% | 274 (83.0) |
| PEG-IFN dosage of ≥ 80% | 266 (80.6) |
| Ribavirin dosage of ≥ 80% | 275 (83.3) |
| Treatment adherence of ≥ 80/80/80 | 217 (65.7) |
| WBC, /µL | 5,005 (1,800–13,620) |
| Hemoglobin, g/dL | 13.7 (10–17.7) |
| Platelet, × 103/µL | 173 (80–404) |
| ALT, U/L | 54 (7–1,190) |
| Total bilirubin, mg/dL | 0.69 (0.2–3.7) |
| Cholesterol, mg/dL (n = 345) | 150 (90–347) |
| GGT, U/L (n = 328) | 50 (8–245) |
| Fasting glucose, mg/dL | 98 (66–354) |
Values are presented as number (%), median (range), or mean ± SD.
BMI, body mass index; PEG-IFN, pegylated interferon; HCV, hepatitis C virus; RVR, rapid virological response; EVR, early virological response; SVR, sustained virological response; WBC, white blood cell; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; GGT, gamma-glutamyltransferase.
Predictive factors of SVR at baseline
| Variable | SVR (n = 237) | Non-SVR (n = 93) | OR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate analysis | |||||
| Male sex | 126 (53.2) | 50 (53.8) | 0.976 | 0.604–1.576 | 0.922 |
| Age, yr | 47 ± 12 | 53 ± 11 | 0.958 | 0.936–0.979 | < 0.001 |
| Cirrhosis | 20 (8.4) | 9 (9.7) | 0.907 | 0.399–2.061 | 0.140 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 35 (14.8) | 21 (22.6) | 1.683 | 0.920–3.080 | 0.091 |
| BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 | 91 (40.8) | 36 (40.4) | 1.015 | 0.615–1.674 | 0.954 |
| PEG-IFN α-2a | 105 (73.4) | 38 (26.6) | 1.151 | 0.708–1.873 | 0.570 |
| PEG-IFN α-2b | 132 (70.6) | 55 (29.4) | |||
| Genotype 1 | 97 (63) | 57 (37) | 2.285 | 1.399–3.734 | 0.001 |
| Genotype 2 | 140 (79.5) | 36 (20.5) | |||
| HCV RNA of < 800,000 IU/mL | 143 (60.3) | 33 (35.5) | 2.762 | 1.681–4.545 | < 0.001 |
| WBC, × 103/µL | 5,110 (1,800–10,300) | 4,900 (1,980–13,620) | 1.000 | 1.000–1.000 | 0.842 |
| Hemoglobin, g/dL | 13.6 (10–17.7) | 13.8 (10.1–17.4) | 1.051 | 0.900–1.228 | 0.530 |
| Platelet, × 103/µL | 184 (101–404) | 120 (80–313) | 1.021 | 1.015–1.028 | < 0.001 |
| ALT, U/L | 57 (7–1,190) | 50 (11–350) | 1.002 | 0.999–1.005 | 0.182. |
| Total bilirubin, mg/dL | 0.7 (0.2–3.7) | 0.7 (0.2–2.1) | 0.860 | 0.644–1.149 | 0.307 |
| Cholesterol, mg/dL | 152 (90–347) | 149 (91–243) | 1.002 | 0.994–1.011 | 0.594 |
| GGT, U/L | 48 (8–245) | 60 (11–218) | 0.996 | 0.991–1.001 | 0.114 |
| Fasting glucose, mg/dL | 108 (66–354) | 103 (71–297) | 0.994 | 0.989–1.000 | 0.067 |
| Multivariate analysis | |||||
| Young age | 1.037 | 1.009–1.066 | 0.009 | ||
| Genotype 2 | 2.620 | 1.482–4.633 | 0.001 | ||
| HCV RNA of < 800,000 IU/mL | 2.857 | 1.610–5.050 | < 0.001 | ||
| High baseline platelet count | 1.020 | 1.013–1.027 | < 0.001 |
Values are presented as number (%), mean ± SD, or median (range). OR by logistic regression analysis with backward elimination method.
SVR, sustained virological response; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidential interval; BMI, body mass index; PEG-IFN, pegylated interferon; HCV, hepatitis C virus; WBC, white blood cell; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; GGT, gamma-glutamyltransferase.
Predictive factors of SVR during treatment
| Variable | SVR (n = 237) | Non-SVR (n = 93) | OR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate analysis | |||||
| RVR (n = 247) | |||||
| Yes | 150 (82) | 33 (18) | 4.545 | 2.451–8.403 | < 0.001 |
| No | 32 (50) | 32 (50) | |||
| EVR (n = 267) | |||||
| Yes | 186 (75.3) | 62 (24.7) | NA | ||
| No | 0 | 19 (100) | |||
| Treatment duration | 32.3 ± 11.8 | 32.2 ± 17.9 | 1.001 | 0.983–1.018 | 0.951 |
| Treatment adherence of ≥ 80/80/80 | 174 (73.4) | 43 (46.2) | 3.212 | 1.949–5.291 | < 0.001 |
| Multivariate analysis | |||||
| Achievement of RVR | 3.984 | 2.020–7.874 | < 0.001 | ||
| Treatment adherence of ≥ 80/80/80 | 4.058 | 2.103–7.832 | < 0.001 |
Values are presented as number (%) or mean ± SD. OR by logistic regression analysis with backward elimination method.
SVR, sustained virological response; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidential interval; RVR, rapid virological response; EVR, early virological response; NA, not available.
Predictive factors of SVR according to genotype (multivariate analysis)
| Variable | SVR | Non-SVR | OR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genotype 1 (n = 154) | 97 | 57 | |||
| Young age | 44 ± 11 | 54 ± 12 | 1.058 | 1.021–1.098 | 0.002 |
| Baseline platelet count of > 150 × 103/µL | 192 (101–386) | 117 (85–192) | 1.020 | 1.011–1.030 | < 0.001 |
| Achievement of RVR (n = 117) | 52/76 (68.4) | 15/41 (36.6) | 2.890 | 1.170–7.143 | 0.022 |
| Treatment adherence of ≥ 80/80/80 | 71 (73.2) | 24 (42.1) | 4.349 | 1.764–10.722 | 0.001 |
| Genotype 2 (n = 176) | 140 | 36 | |||
| High baseline platelet count | 180 (101–404) | 120 (80–313) | 1.026 | 1.011–1.040 | < 0.001 |
| HCV RNA of < 800,000 IU/mL | 95 (67.9) | 10 (27.8) | 7.092 | 2.299–21.739 | 0.001 |
| Achievement of RVR (n = 130) | 98/106 (92.5) | 18/24 (75) | 0.372 | 0.086–1.604 | NS |
| Treatment adherence of ≥ 80/80/80 | 103 (73.6) | 19 (52.8) | 3.422 | 1.115–10.502 | 0.032 |
Values are presented as mean ± SD, median (range), or number (%). OR by logistic regression analysis with backward elimination method.
SVR, sustained virological response; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidential interval; RVR, rapid virological response; HCV, hepatitis C virus; NS, not significance.
Figure 1.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to determine the optimal platelet-count cutoff points for the prediction of sustained virological response (SVR). (A) At baseline (i.e., pretreatment), a platelet count of > 150 × 103 /µL could be a predictive factor related to the SVR in entire patient with hepatitis C virus infection (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.873). (B) In patients with genotype 1, a platelet count of > 150 × 103 /µL could be a predictive factor related to the SVR (AUC = 0.782). (C) In patients with genotype 2, a platelet count of > 150 × 103 /µL could be a predictive factor related to the SVR (AUC = 0.868). The solid line represents the ROC based on chance alone and has a c-statistic value of 0.5.