| Literature DB >> 29520534 |
Sebastian Polak1,2, Klaus Romero3, Alexander Berg4, Nikunjkumar Patel1, Masoud Jamei1, David Hermann5, Debra Hanna4.
Abstract
Cardiotoxicity is among the top drug safety concerns, and is of specific interest in tuberculosis, where this is a known or potential adverse event of current and emerging treatment regimens. As there is a need for a tool, beyond the QT interval, to quantify cardiotoxicity early in drug development, an empirical decision tree based classifier was developed to predict the risk of Torsades de pointes (TdP). The cardiac risk algorithm was developed using pseudo-electrocardiogram (ECG) outputs derived from cardiac myocyte electromechanical model simulations of increasing concentrations of 96 reference compounds which represented a range of clinical TdP risk. The algorithm correctly classified 89% of reference compounds with moderate sensitivity and high specificity (71 and 96%, respectively) as well as 10 out of 12 external validation compounds and the anti-TB drugs moxifloxacin and bedaquiline. The cardiac risk algorithm is suitable to help inform early drug development decisions in TB and will evolve with the addition of emerging data.Entities:
Keywords: Cardiac risk; Cardiac safety simulator; Drugs; Model; Simcyp; Simulation; Torsade de pointes; Tuberculosis
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29520534 PMCID: PMC5953981 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-018-9580-2
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ISSN: 1567-567X Impact factor: 2.745
Fig. 1Model building schema
PopRep virtual individual characteristics
| Parameter | Value | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | Years |
| Plasma potassium concentration (K+) | 5.49 | mM |
| Plasma sodium concentration (Na+) | 137.59 | mM |
| Plasma calcium concentration (Ca2+) | 2.25 | mM |
| RR | 808 | ms |
| Cardiomyocyte volume | 8183 | µm3 |
| Cardiomyocyte area | 2274 | µm2 |
| Electric capacitance | 60.42 | pF |
| Sarcoplasmic reticulum volume | 628.1 | µm3 |
| String length (heart wall thickness) | 10.8 | mm |
Validation drugs classification
| Drug name | CredibleMeds classification for TdP Risk | Binary TdP classification |
|---|---|---|
| Fexofenadine | Not mentioned | Negative |
| Propafenone | Not mentioned | Negative |
| Verapamil | Not mentioned | Negative |
| Hydrodolasetron | Possible risk of TdP (known association with QT prolongation, unknown association with TdP) | Negative |
| Ranolazine | Possible risk of TdP (known association with QT prolongation, unknown association with TdP) | Negative |
| Vardenafil | Possible risk of TdP (known association with QT prolongation, unknown association with TdP) | Negative |
| Amiodarone | Known risk of TdP (known association with TdP) | Positive |
| Citalopram | Known risk of TdP (known association with TdP) | Positive |
| Clarithromycin | Known risk of TdP (known association with TdP) | Positive |
| Dofetilide | Known risk of TdP (known association with TdP) | Positive |
| Moxifloxacin | Known risk of TdP (known association with TdP) | Positive |
| Quinidine | Known risk of TdP (known association with TdP) | Positive |
Fig. 2Drugs classification and application in algorithm development
Fig. 3Drugs classification (from the WEKA classifier)
Fig. 4Results of the ADtree model—internal and external validation
Fig. 5Receiver-operating curve for learning set at varying binary classification threshold values
ADTree model incorrectly classified drugs from the learning dataset
| Drug | Observed | Predicted | TdP(+) probability | TdP(−) probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gatifloxacin | TdP(−) | TdP(+) | 0.535 | 0.465 |
| Sertindole | TdP(−) | TdP(+) | 0.535 | 0.465 |
| Tolterodine | TdP(−) | TdP(+) | 0.535 | 0.465 |
| Chlorpromazine | TdP(+) | TdP(−) | 0.342 | 0.658 |
| Sotalol | TdP(+) | TdP(−) | 0.364 | 0.636 |
| Chloroquine | TdP(+) | TdP(−) | 0.429 | 0.571 |
| Disopyramide | TdP(+) | TdP(−) | 0.429 | 0.571 |
| Mesoridazine | TdP(+) | TdP(−) | 0.429 | 0.571 |
| Pentamidine | TdP(+) | TdP(−) | 0.429 | 0.571 |
| Probucol | TdP(+) | TdP(−) | 0.429 | 0.571 |
| Sparfloxacin | TdP(+) | TdP(−) | 0.429 | 0.571 |