Benjamin L Brett1,2,3, Andrew W Kuhn2, Aaron M Yengo-Kahn2,4, Gary S Solomon2,4, Scott L Zuckerman2,4. 1. Department of Psychology, Veterans Affairs Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, USA. 2. Vanderbilt Sports Concussion Center, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA. 3. Department of Counseling, Educational Psychology and Research, The University of Memphis, Memphis, TN, USA. 4. Department of Neurological Surgery, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: The empirical identification of risk factors associated with sport-related concussion (SRC) may improve the management of student-athletes. The current study attempted to identify and quantify bio-cognitive risk factors associated with sustaining a SRC. METHODS: Cross-sectional ambispective study; level of evidence, 3. Neurocognitive testing of 12,320 middle school, high school and collegiate athletes was completed at preseason baseline and post-SRC. Univariate and multivariable logistic regressions were used to determine which pre-injury variables accurately predicted the occurrence of SRC. A quantitative risk score for each variable was developed. RESULTS: Five of 13 variables maintained significance in the multivariable model with the associated weighted point scores: SRC history (21), prior headache treatment (6), contact sport (5), youth level of play (7), and history of ADHD/LD (2). Six stratified groups were formed based on probability of SRC, which produced an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.71 (95% CI 0.69-0.72, p < .001). Though the model was a significant predictor of SRC (X2 = 1,112.75, p < .001), the effect size was small and accounted for only 16% of the overall variance. CONCLUSIONS: An initial aggregate model of weighted bio-cognitive factors associated with increased odds of sustaining a SRC was developed. Previously validated factors were confirmed, yet a large source of variance remained unexplained. These findings emphasize the need to expand the host factors studied when assessing SRC risk, and that the existing, empirically based bio-cognitive factors do not adequately quantify the risk of SRC.
OBJECTIVE: The empirical identification of risk factors associated with sport-related concussion (SRC) may improve the management of student-athletes. The current study attempted to identify and quantify bio-cognitive risk factors associated with sustaining a SRC. METHODS: Cross-sectional ambispective study; level of evidence, 3. Neurocognitive testing of 12,320 middle school, high school and collegiate athletes was completed at preseason baseline and post-SRC. Univariate and multivariable logistic regressions were used to determine which pre-injury variables accurately predicted the occurrence of SRC. A quantitative risk score for each variable was developed. RESULTS: Five of 13 variables maintained significance in the multivariable model with the associated weighted point scores: SRC history (21), prior headache treatment (6), contact sport (5), youth level of play (7), and history of ADHD/LD (2). Six stratified groups were formed based on probability of SRC, which produced an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.71 (95% CI 0.69-0.72, p < .001). Though the model was a significant predictor of SRC (X2 = 1,112.75, p < .001), the effect size was small and accounted for only 16% of the overall variance. CONCLUSIONS: An initial aggregate model of weighted bio-cognitive factors associated with increased odds of sustaining a SRC was developed. Previously validated factors were confirmed, yet a large source of variance remained unexplained. These findings emphasize the need to expand the host factors studied when assessing SRC risk, and that the existing, empirically based bio-cognitive factors do not adequately quantify the risk of SRC.
Authors: Jonathan Elliott; Neil Heron; Theo Versteegh; Ian A Gilchrist; Michael Webb; Pooler Archbold; Nigel D Hart; Kerry Peek Journal: Sports Med Date: 2021-06-18 Impact factor: 11.136
Authors: Gary B Wilkerson; Jeremy R Bruce; Andrew W Wilson; Neal Huang; Mina Sartipi; Shellie N Acocello; Jennifer A Hogg; Misagh Mansouri Journal: Orthop J Sports Med Date: 2021-10-26