| Literature DB >> 29468657 |
A Karthikesalingam1,2, M J Grima1,2, P J Holt1,2, A Vidal-Diez1,3, M M Thompson1, A Wanhainen4, M Bjorck4, K Mani4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: There is substantial international variation in mortality after abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair; many non-operative factors influence risk-adjusted outcomes. This study compared 90-day and 5-year mortality for patients undergoing elective AAA repair in England and Sweden.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29468657 PMCID: PMC5900926 DOI: 10.1002/bjs.10749
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Br J Surg ISSN: 0007-1323 Impact factor: 6.939
Descriptive results for elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in England and Sweden
| England | Sweden |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| ( | ( | ||
| No. of patients undergoing EVAR | 14 226 (39·3) | 3705 (47·5) | < 0·001 |
| 30‐day mortality | 1237 (3·4) | 183 (2·3) | < 0·001 |
| Open repair | 1042 of 22 023 (4·7) | 129 of 4101 (3·1) | < 0·001 |
| EVAR | 195 of 14 226 (1·4) | 54 of 3705 (1·5) | 0·747 |
| 90‐day mortality | 1812 (5·0) | 304 (3·9) | < 0·001 |
| Open repair | 1423 of 22 023 (6·5) | 195 of 4101 (4·8) | < 0·001 |
| EVAR | 389 of 14 226 (2·7) | 109 of 3705 (2·9) | 0·530 |
| 5‐year survival (%) | 70·5 | 72·8 | < 0·001 |
| Teaching hospitals in analysis | 31 of 157 (19·7) | 9 of 37 (24) | 0·694 |
| No. of AAAs treated in teaching hospital | 8511 (23·4) | 3797 of 7754 (49·0) | < 0·001 |
Values in parentheses are percentages. EVAR, endovascular aneurysm repair; AAA, abdominal aortic aneurysm.
χ2 test.
Figure 1Ninety‐day mortality after elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in England and Sweden. Values are means with 95 per cent confidence intervals
Figure 2Five‐year survival after elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in England and Sweden, adjusted for age and sex in both countries: a open repair and b endovascular repair
Figure 3Use of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) and 90‐day mortality in England and Sweden during the study
Multivariable logistic regression analysis of predictors of 90‐day mortality in England
| Odds ratio |
| |
|---|---|---|
| Age | < 0·001 | |
| Sex (F | 1·14 (1·00, 1·30) | 0·045 |
| Year of operation | < 0·001 | |
| 2003–2004 | 1·20 (1·07, 1·36) | |
| 2005–2008 | 1·38 (1·23, 1·56) | |
| Hospital volume (quintiles 1–4 | 1·54 (1·39, 1·71) | < 0·001 |
| Teaching hospital (no | 0·99 (1·11, 0·88) | 0·892 |
| No. of co‐morbidities | < 0·001 | |
| > 3 | 1·83 (1·40, 2·41) | |
| 3 | 1·21 (1·02, 1·44) | |
| 2 | 1·41 (1·27, 1·57) | |
| Type of repair | < 0·001 | |
| Type of repair by age (open repair | 0·004 | |
| Age < 70 years | 1·69 (1·37, 2·24) | |
| Age 70–79 years | 2·73 (2·41, 3·14) | |
| Age ≥ 80 years | 2·99 (2·57, 3·49) |
Values in parentheses are 95 per cent confidence intervals.
Orthogonal contrasts were calculated where possible to establish the differences between categories.
Hospital volume was analysed in quintiles based on annual number of intact abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs; quintile 5 had the highest volume.
Assessed according to Royal College of Surgeons' modified Charlson Index. EVAR, endovascular aneurysm repair.
P value before being out of the model.
Multivariable logistic regression analysis of predictors of 90‐day mortality in Sweden
| Odds ratio |
| |
|---|---|---|
| Age | < 0·001 | |
| Sex (F | 1·37 (0·99, 1·89) | 0·054 |
| Year of operation | < 0·001 | |
| 2003–2005 | 1·33 (1·14, 1·56) | |
| 2006–2007 | 0·75 (0·64, 0·89) | |
| 2008–2009 | 1·29 (1·10, 1·51) | |
| Hospital volume (quintiles) | < 0·001 | |
| 1–2 | 0·60 (0·38, 0·95) | |
| 1–2 | 1·81 (1·08, 3·03) | |
| Teaching hospital (no | 1·66 (1·11, 2·50) | 0·015 |
| Type of repair | < 0·001 | |
| Type of repair by age (open repair | 0·019 | |
| Age < 70 years | 0·98 (0·60, 1·83) | |
| Age 70–79 years | 2·18 (1·51, 3·03) | |
| Age ≥ 80 years | 3·17 (0·90, 4·77) |
Values in parentheses are 95 per cent confidence intervals.
Orthogonal contrasts were calculated when possible to establish the differences between categories.
Hospital volume was analysed in quintiles based on annual number of intact abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs; quintile 5 had the highest volume. EVAR, endovascular aneurysm repair.
Cox regression analysis of factors influencing 5‐year survival in England
| Hazard ratio |
| |
|---|---|---|
| Age (per year) | < 0·001 | |
| Sex (F | 1·09 (0·95, 1·25) | 0·209 |
| Year of operation | < 0·001 | |
| 2003–2005 | 1·11 (1·05, 1·18) | |
| 2006–2008 | 1·19 (1·12, 1·26) | |
| 2009–2010 | 1·14 (1·03, 1·25) | |
| 2011 | 1·20 (1·04, 1·39) | |
| Hospital volume (quintiles 1–4 | 1·10 (1·05, 1·16) | 0·003 |
| Teaching hospital (no | 0·94 (0·89, 0·99) | 0·037 |
| No. of co‐morbidities | < 0·001 | |
| > 3 | 1·29 (1·14, 1·47) | |
| 3 | 1·28 (1·19, 1·38) | |
| 2 | 2·62 (1·49, 4·62) | |
| Type of repair by age (open repair | 0·009 | |
| Age < 70 years | 0·85 (0·77, 0·94) | |
| Age 70–79 years | 1·01 (0·95, 1·07) | |
| Age ≥ 80 years | 0·99 (0·93, 1·05) |
Values in parentheses are 95 per cent confidence intervals.
Orthogonal contrasts were calculated when possible to establish the differences between categories.
Hospital volume was analysed in quintiles based on annual number of intact abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs; quintile 5 had the highest volume.
Assessed according to Royal College of Surgeons' modified Charlson Index. EVAR, endovascular aneurysm repair.
P value before being out of the model.
Cox regression analysis of factors influencing 5‐year survival in Sweden
| Hazard ratio |
| |
|---|---|---|
| Age | < 0·001 | |
| Sex (F | 1·09 (0·95, 1·25) | 0·209 |
| Year of operation | 0·001 | |
| 2003–2005 | 1·33 (1·14, 1·56) | |
| 2006–2007 | 0·75 (0·64, 0·89) | |
| 2008–2009 | 1·29 (1·10, 1·51) | |
| Hospital volume (quintiles 1–3 | 0·84 (0·74, 0·95) | 0·006 |
| Teaching hospital (no | 1·66 (1·11, 2·50) | 0·015 |
| Type of repair by age (open repair | 0·004 | |
| Age < 70 years | 0·55 (0·46, 0·65) | |
| Age 70–79 years | 0·74 (0·66, 0·82) | |
| Age ≥ 80 years | 0·92 (0·77, 1·12) | |
| Current smoker (yes | 1·26 (0·95, 1·69) | 0·114 |
| Pulmonary disease (yes | 1·79 (1·34, 2·39) | < 0·001 |
| Diabetes mellitus (yes | 1·33 (0·89, 1·99) | 0·165 |
| Hypertension (yes | 1·31 (0·99, 1·74) | 0·535 |
| Cardiovascular disease (yes | 1·20 (0·83, 1·74) | 0·328 |
| Myocardial infarction (yes | 1·31 (0·99, 1·73) | 0·059 |
| Renal disease (yes | 2·47 (1·73, 3·52) | < 0·001 |
Values in parentheses are 95 per cent confidence intervals.
Orthogonal contrasts were calculated when possible to establish the differences between categories.
Hospital volume was analysed in quintiles based on annual number of intact abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs; quintile 5 had the highest volume. EVAR, endovascular aneurysm repair.
P value before being out of the model.