Giovanni Marchegiani1, Stefano Andrianello1, Alex Borin1, Chiara Dal Borgo1, Giampaolo Perri1, Tommaso Pollini1, Giorgia Romanò1, Mirko D'Onofrio2, Armando Gabbrielli3, Aldo Scarpa4, Giuseppe Malleo1, Claudio Bassi1, Roberto Salvia5. 1. General and Pancreatic Surgery, Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, Verona, Italy. 2. Radiology, Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, Verona, Italy. 3. Gastroenterology and Digestive Endoscopy, Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, Verona, Italy. 4. Pathology, ARCNet Research Center, Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, Verona, Italy. 5. General and Pancreatic Surgery, Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, Verona, Italy. Electronic address: roberto.salvia@univr.it.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Mural nodules (MNs) have a predominant role in the 2016 revision of the international guidelines on intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) of the pancreas. The aim of this study was to evaluate MNs as predictors of invasive cancer (iCa) or high-grade dysplasia (HGD) in IPMNs and to investigate the role of MN size in risk prediction. METHODS: A PRISMA-compliant systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis on selected studies were conducted. The random effect model was adopted, and the pooled SMD (standardized mean difference) obtained. The surgical series of IPMNs at a single high-volume institution was reviewed. RESULTS: This review included 70 studies and 2297 resected IPMNs. MNs have a positive predictive value for malignancy of 62.2%. The meta-analysis suggested that MN size has a considerable effect on predicting IPMNs with both iCa or HGD with a mean SMD of 0.79. All studies included in the meta-analysis used contrast-enhanced endosonography (CE-EUS) to assess MNs. Due to the heterogeneity of the proposed thresholds, no reliable MN size cut-off was identified. Of 317 IPMNs resected at our institution, 102 (32.1%) had a preoperative diagnosis of MN. Multivariate analysis showed that MN is the only independent predictor of iCa and HGD for all types of IPMNs. CONCLUSION: MNs are reliable predictors of iCa and HGD in IPMNs as proposed by the 2016 IAP guidelines. CE-EUS seems to be the best tool for characterizing size and has the best accuracy for predicting malignancy. Further studies should determine potential MN dimensional cut-offs.
BACKGROUND: Mural nodules (MNs) have a predominant role in the 2016 revision of the international guidelines on intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) of the pancreas. The aim of this study was to evaluate MNs as predictors of invasive cancer (iCa) or high-grade dysplasia (HGD) in IPMNs and to investigate the role of MN size in risk prediction. METHODS: A PRISMA-compliant systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis on selected studies were conducted. The random effect model was adopted, and the pooled SMD (standardized mean difference) obtained. The surgical series of IPMNs at a single high-volume institution was reviewed. RESULTS: This review included 70 studies and 2297 resected IPMNs. MNs have a positive predictive value for malignancy of 62.2%. The meta-analysis suggested that MN size has a considerable effect on predicting IPMNs with both iCa or HGD with a mean SMD of 0.79. All studies included in the meta-analysis used contrast-enhanced endosonography (CE-EUS) to assess MNs. Due to the heterogeneity of the proposed thresholds, no reliable MN size cut-off was identified. Of 317 IPMNs resected at our institution, 102 (32.1%) had a preoperative diagnosis of MN. Multivariate analysis showed that MN is the only independent predictor of iCa and HGD for all types of IPMNs. CONCLUSION: MNs are reliable predictors of iCa and HGD in IPMNs as proposed by the 2016 IAP guidelines. CE-EUS seems to be the best tool for characterizing size and has the best accuracy for predicting malignancy. Further studies should determine potential MN dimensional cut-offs.
Authors: Sandra Faias; Marília Cravo; João Pereira da Silva; Paula Chaves; A Dias Pereira Journal: BMC Gastroenterol Date: 2020-12-09 Impact factor: 3.067