| Literature DB >> 29445721 |
Abstract
The dependent coverage expansion under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) required health insurance policies that cover dependents to offer coverage for policyholder' children up to age 26. It has been well documented that the provision successfully reduced the uninsured rate among the young adults. However, less is known about whether dependent coverage crowded out other insurance types and whether young adults used dependent coverage as a fill-in-the-gap short-term option. Using data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 2008 Panel, the paper assesses dependent coverage uptake and duration before and after the ACA provision among young adults aged 19-26 versus those aged 27-30. Regressions for additional coverage outcomes were also performed to estimate the crowd-out rate. It was found that the ACA provision had a significant positive impact on dependent coverage uptake and duration. The estimated crowd-out rate ranges from 27 to 42%, depending on the definition. Most dependent coverage enrollees used the coverage for 1 or 2 years. Differences in dependent coverage uptake and duration remained among racial groups. Less healthy individuals were also less likely to make use of dependent coverage.Entities:
Keywords: Affordable Care Act; crowd out; dependent coverage; insurance duration; young adults
Year: 2018 PMID: 29445721 PMCID: PMC5797739 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2018.00003
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Public Health ISSN: 2296-2565
Figure 1Insurance coverage dynamics among young adults aged 19–22, 23–26, and 27–30 during May 2008 to November 2013. (A) Percentages of individuals who had employer-sponsored health insurance in own name in each of the age groups. (B) Percentages of individuals who had dependent coverage through parents in each of the age groups. (C) Percentages of individuals who had government insurance in each of the age groups. (D) Percentages of individuals who were uninsured in each of the age groups.
Characteristics of young adults aged 19–30 with or without dependent coverage, May 2008 to November 2013.
| Dependent coverage | Non-dependent coverage | Dep = non-dep | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | SD | Mean | SD | ||
| Female | 0.498 | 0.500 | 0.509 | 0.500 | *** |
| Race | |||||
| White | 0.725 | 0.446 | 0.595 | 0.491 | *** |
| Black | 0.098 | 0.298 | 0.134 | 0.340 | *** |
| Hispanic | 0.089 | 0.285 | 0.183 | 0.387 | *** |
| Asian | 0.045 | 0.208 | 0.047 | 0.212 | *** |
| Other races | 0.042 | 0.201 | 0.041 | 0.199 | * |
| Married | 0.035 | 0.184 | 0.303 | 0.460 | *** |
| Age | 21.342 | 2.299 | 25.027 | 3.400 | *** |
| Student | 0.601 | 0.490 | 0.211 | 0.408 | *** |
| Bad health: self-reported health status less than excellent | 0.495 | 0.500 | 0.652 | 0.476 | *** |
| Employment status | |||||
| No job | 0.428 | 0.495 | 0.313 | 0.464 | *** |
| Full-time job | 0.530 | 0.499 | 0.655 | 0.475 | *** |
| Part-time job | 0.042 | 0.201 | 0.032 | 0.175 | *** |
| Education level | |||||
| No high school diploma | 0.031 | 0.172 | 0.108 | 0.311 | *** |
| High school graduate | 0.246 | 0.431 | 0.312 | 0.463 | *** |
| Some college | 0.598 | 0.490 | 0.365 | 0.481 | *** |
| College degree or above | 0.125 | 0.331 | 0.214 | 0.410 | *** |
| Income (income-to-poverty ratio) | 4.623 | 3.839 | 2.940 | 2.898 | *** |
| Eligibility under state law | 0.703 | 0.457 | 0.333 | 0.471 | *** |
| Observations | 138,484 | 639,730 | |||
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Linear probability model examining dependent coverage uptake among young adults aged 19–30, May 2008 to November 2013.
| Coefficient | SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Affordable Care Act (ACA)_target | −0.132 | (0.006) |
| ACA_target_effective | 0.074 | (0.005) |
| State_target | 0.079 | (0.012) |
| State_effective | 0.009 | (0.007) |
| State_target_effective | −0.009 | (0.011) |
| Female | 0.007 | (0.004) |
| Race (White as ref.) | ||
| Black | −0.077 | (0.006) |
| Hispanic | −0.060 | (0.006) |
| Asian | −0.045 | (0.010) |
| Other races | −0.037 | (0.011) |
| Married | −0.056 | (0.004) |
| Age (in years) | −0.040 | (0.001) |
| Student | 0.134 | (0.004) |
| Bad health | −0.030 | (0.004) |
| Employment status (no job as ref.) | ||
| Full-time job | −0.052 | (0.004) |
| Part-time job | −0.005 | (0.005) |
| Education level (no high school diploma as ref.) | ||
| High school diploma only | 0.013 | (0.006) |
| Some college | 0.075 | (0.006) |
| College degree or above | 0.003 | (0.007) |
| Income (in income-to-poverty ratio, IPR) | ||
| IPR | 0.040 | (0.001) |
| IPR2 | −0.001 | (0.000) |
| 0.312 | ||
*p < 0.1.
**p < 0.05.
***p < 0.01.
The table reports coefficients and SEs (in parenthesis) of a linear probability model, with dependent coverage uptake as the dependent variable. The model included individuals aged 19–30 during May 2008 to November 2013, with 629,038 individual-month observations. The regression also included fixed effects of states and year-month. Estimations were adjusted using personal weights to be nationally representative. The SEs were clustered at individual level.
Effect of Affordable Care Act (ACA)-dependent coverage expansion on insurance coverage.
| Dependent coverage | Employer-sponsored insurance in own name | Non-parental private insurance | Uninsured | Crowd 1 | Crowd 2 | Crowd 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.074 | −0.020 | −0.026 | −0.043 | 0.27 | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| (0.005) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) |
***p < 0.01.
The reported are estimates of ACA’s effect on each of the coverage outcomes from four separate regressions. SEs are in parentheses. Crowds 1, 2, and 3 represent the derived crowd-out rates based on three definitions.
Figure 2Weibull survival curve of dependent coverage retention.
Weibull regression for the duration of dependent coverage among young adults aged 19–30 who had ever covered by parent’s plan, May 2008 to November 2013.
| Haz. ratio | SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Affordable Care Act (ACA)_target | 1.833 | (0.178) |
| ACA_target_effective | 0.649 | (0.060) |
| State_target | 0.789 | (0.138) |
| State_effective | 1.001 | (0.173) |
| State_target_effective | 1.026 | (0.181) |
| Female | 0.927 | (0.031) |
| Race (White as ref.) | ||
| Black | 1.379 | (0.071) |
| Hispanic | 1.189 | (0.072) |
| Asian | 1.115 | (0.087) |
| Other races | 1.071 | (0.093) |
| Married | 1.735 | (0.117) |
| Age (in years) | 1.171 | (0.011) |
| Student | 0.787 | (0.029) |
| Bad health | 1.063 | (0.035) |
| Employment status (no job as ref.) | ||
| Full-time job | 1.138 | (0.039) |
| Part-time job | 1.056 | (0.079) |
| Education level (no high school diploma as ref.) | ||
| High school diploma only | 0.998 | (0.097) |
| Some college | 0.785 | (0.075) |
| College degree or above | 1.023 | (0.102) |
| Income (in income-to-poverty ratio, IPR) | ||
| IPR | 0.899 | (0.007) |
| IPR2 | 1.003 | (0.000) |
| Aux | 0.97 | |
| 95,522 | ||
*p < 0.1.
**p < 0.05.
***p < 0.01.
The table reports hazard ratios and SEs (in parenthesis) of a duration analysis using Weibull model in the proportional hazard form. The model included individuals aged 19–30 who ever had dependent coverage during May 2008 to November 2013. The regression also included fixed effects of states and year-month. Estimations were adjusted using personal weights (at the first month of dependent coverage) to be nationally representative. The SEs were clustered at individual level. Aux p represents the shape parameter .