| Literature DB >> 29437955 |
Amanda Chuan1, Judd B Kessler1, Katherine L Milkman2.
Abstract
We examine how reciprocity changes over time by studying a large quasiexperiment in the field. Specifically, we analyze administrative data from a university hospital system. The data include information about over 18,000 donation requests made by the hospital system via mail to a set of its former patients in the 4 months after their first hospital visit. We exploit quasiexperimental variation in the timing of solicitation mailings relative to patient hospital visits and find that an extra 30-day delay between the provision of medical care and a donation solicitation decreases the likelihood of a donation by 30%. Our findings have important implications for models of economic behavior, which currently fail to incorporate reciprocity's sensitivity to time. The fact that reciprocal behavior decays rapidly as time passes also suggests the importance of capitalizing quickly on opportunities to benefit from a quid pro quo.Entities:
Keywords: behavioral economics; charitable giving; field study; reciprocity; time
Year: 2018 PMID: 29437955 PMCID: PMC5828571 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1708293115
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ISSN: 0027-8424 Impact factor: 11.205
Summary statistics for main analysis sample
| Variable | Summary statistic |
| Patient demographics | |
| Age, y | Avg. = 64.19 (SD = 11.45) |
| Female name, % | 45.71 |
| Male name, % | 46.14 |
| Gender of name unknown, % | 8.15 |
| Hospital visits | |
| No. of hospital visits between first visit and solicitation | Avg. = 3.42 (SD = 3.11) |
| No. of hospital visits within 132 d of first visit | Avg. = 4.44 (SD = 4.74) |
| Donations | |
| Donate, % | 0.83 |
| Donation | donation >0 | Avg. = $49.14 (SD = $36.68) |
| Patients | 18,515 |
The table presents main summary statistics describing our study sample. Sample means are shown, with SDs in parentheses. Several patients’ age data were missing from our primary age data source (solicitation administrative data); for these patients, we imputed age from the date of birth in the administrative health data (N = 3,695). To protect patient privacy, imputed age was top-coded at 90 y old in the data. Gender was imputed from patients’ first names using the mapping in the work by Morton et al. (30). Avg., average.
Mailing cycle dates
| Associated range of dates of patients’ first visits | Associated solicitation mailing date |
| May 1 to June 30, 2013 | July 2013 |
| July 1 to August 31, 2013 | September 2013 |
| September 1 to October 31, 2013 | December 2013 |
| November 1 to December 31, 2013 | January 2014 |
| January 1 to February 28, 2014 | March 2014 |
| March 1 to April 30, 2014 | July 2014 |
| May 1 to June 30, 2014 | July 2014 |
| July 1 to August 31, 2014 | September 2014 |
| September 1 to October 31, 2014 | December 2014 |
| November 1 to December 31, 2014 | February 2015 |
| January 1 to February 28, 2015 | March 2015 |
| March 1 to April 30, 2015 | May 2015 |
The table describes the timing of mailing cycles and solicitation mailings. The first column reports the range of hospital visit dates associated with the mailing cycle. The second column reports the month and year in which the corresponding solicitation mailing was sent. For example, all patients who visited the hospital between July 1, 2014 and August 31, 2014 would have their solicitations sent on a single date in September 2014. The minimum delay between hospital visit and the solicitation mailing is 24 d. The maximum is 132 d. The median is 68 d, and the mean is 67.34 d (SD 20.94 d).
Fig. 1.This graph presents raw data. The x axis shows the delay separating a patient’s hospital visit and the date of the patient’s solicitation for a donation. The y axis shows the percentage of solicited patients who donated. The dashed line corresponds to data on patients’ first hospital visits, while the solid line corresponds to data on patients’ last hospital visits before being solicited.
Effect of time delay on reciprocity
| Dependent variable: Any donation (0 or 100) | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 |
| Delay (d) between first visit and solicitation ×30 | −0.298 | −0.247 | ||
| Delay (d) between last visit and solicitation ×30 | −0.509 | −0.407 | ||
| 0.006 | 0.019 | 0.006 | 0.019 | |
| Key controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Additional controls | Yes | Yes | ||
| First-stage | 3,092 | 6,757 |
Models 1 and 2 report OLS coefficient estimates from regressions predicting a patient’s decision to donate with the time delay separating that patient’s first hospital visit from the date when she was solicited. Models 3 and 4 report coefficient estimates from instrumental variables analyses in which the delay between a patient’s first hospital visit and the date of a solicitation mailing is used as an instrument for the delay between a patient’s last presolicitation hospital visit and the date of a solicitation mailing. Models 1 and 3 include key controls: dummies for mailing cycle, hospital visited, and medical department visited. Models 2 and 4 add additional controls: dummies for a patient’s total number of hospital visits before the solicitation mailings were sent, dummies for a patient’s number of hospital visits within 132 d of her first hospital visit (a proxy for sickliness), and controls for gender, age, marital status, and state of residence. SEs are in parentheses.
P < 0.05.