Antibiotics for uncomplicated skin abscesses: systematic review and network meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of adjunctive antibiotic therapy on uncomplicated skin abscesses.
DESIGN: Systematic review and network meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: Medline, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and ClinicalTrials.gov. STUDY SELECTION: A BMJ Rapid Recommendation panel provided input on design, important outcomes and the interpretation of the results. Eligible randomised controlled trials (RCTs) included a comparison of antibiotics against no antibiotics or a comparison of different antibiotics in patients with uncomplicated skin abscesses, and reported outcomes prespecified by the linked guideline panel. REVIEW
METHODS: Reviewers independently screened abstracts and full texts for eligibility, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. We performed random-effects meta-analyses that compared antibiotics with no antibiotics, along with a limited number of prespecified subgroup hypotheses. We also performed network meta-analysis with a Bayesian framework to compare effects of different antibiotics. Quality of evidence was assessed with The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach.
RESULTS: Fourteen RCTs including 4198 patients proved eligible. Compared with no antibiotics, antibiotics probably lower the risk of treatment failure (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.90; low quality), recurrence within 1 month (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.77; moderate quality), hospitalisation (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.94; moderate quality) and late recurrence (OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.85; moderate quality). However, relative to no use, antibiotics probably increase the risk of gastrointestinal side effects (trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX): OR 1.28, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.58; moderate quality; clindamycin: OR 2.29, 95% CI 1.35 to 3.88; high quality) and diarrhoea (clindamycin: OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.50 to 4.89; high quality). Cephalosporins did not reduce the risk of treatment failure compared with placebo (moderate quality).
CONCLUSIONS: In patients with uncomplicated skin abscesses, moderate-to-high quality evidence suggests TMP-SMX or clindamycin confer a modest benefit for several important outcomes, but this is offset by a similar risk of adverse effects. Clindamycin has a substantially higher risk of diarrhoea than TMP-SMX. Cephalosporins are probably not effective. © Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2018. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.

This review is linked to a BMJ Rapid Recommendations project, which aims to make rapid and trustworthy recommendations regarding new research that might change clinical practice.

We systematically identified and rigorously collected the available evidence to inform choice of antibiotics for uncomplicated skin abscesses. We used the GRADE approach to assess the quality of evidence of estimates derived from pairwise and network meta-analysis.

Sufficient data were available only for treatment failure and recurrence within 1 month, but not for other outcomes. In addition, limited data about rare adverse events were available in the randomised controlled trials (RCTs).

Most of included RCTs involved patients treated in an emergency department, limited evidence apply to patients who present to general practice.

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus resistance patterns may differ across sites, individual patient clinical factors, values and preferences are variable as well. The decision whether or not to use antibiotics should take into account these importance factors.

Introduction

Skin and soft tissue infections (SSTIs) are common, accounting for approximately five physician visits per year for every 100 people, for which abscess/cellulitis is most common.1 Hospital admissions for SSTIs appear to be increasingly common2 possibly because of the high prevalence of community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-MRSA).3 In the USA, approximately 59% of patients with SSTIs were infected with CA-MRSA,3 4 and CA-MRSA infections has become a global problem.

The appropriate strategies for managing SSTIs, especially those caused by CA-MRSA, are yet to be established. Until now, the role of adjuvant antibiotic therapy in addition to incision and drainage (I&D) has been controversial,5–7 at least in part because randomised controlled trials (RCTs) have failed to consistently show benefit. A systematic review including 5 RCTs with 687 patients and 7 observational studies with 1336 patients concluded that adjuvant antibiotics may not improve the chance of cure beyond the benefits of I&D alone.8 Recently, two large RCTs were published,9 10 both of which suggested that adjunctive trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) or clindamycin may improve cure rate compared with placebo.

Prompted by the BMJ Rapid Recommendation team’s suggestions that this new evidence might change clinical practice, we conducted this systematic review to inform a BMJ Rapid Recommendation—a project that aims to make rapid and trustworthy recommendations regarding new research that might change clinical practice.11 We addressed two clinical questions—in patients with uncomplicated skin abscesses, what is the impact of antibiotic plus I&D compared with I&D alone; and what are the impacts of the different antibiotic options.

Vermandere M, Aertgeerts B, Agoritsas T, et al. Antibiotics after incision and drainage for uncomplicated skin abscesses: a clinical practice guideline. BMJ 2018;360:k243

Summary of the results from the Rapid Recommendation process

Wang W, Chen W, Liu Y, et al. Antibiotics for uncomplicated skin abscesses: systematic review and network meta-analysis. BMJ Open 2018;8:e020991

Review of all available randomised trials that assessed antibiotics for uncomplicated skin abscesses

MAGICapp (http://magicapp.org/goto/guideline/jlRvQn/section/ER5RAn)

Expanded version of the results with multilayered recommendations, evidence summaries, and decision aids for use on all devices.

Methods

We followed the reporting standards set by Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA)12 and the PRISMA network meta-analysis extension statement.13

Relationship to the BMJ Rapid Recommendation panel

According to the BMJ Rapid Recommendations process,11 a semi-independent guideline panel provided critical oversight to the review and identified populations, subgroups and outcomes of interest. The panel included three people with lived experience of skin abscesses, physicians (five general practitioners, two paediatricians, three infectious diseases specialists, a dermatologist and four general internists) and several research methodologists. The panel members helped interpret the evidence in this review and make clinical practice recommendations.14

Patient involvement

Two adult patients and one parent of a child patient were full panel members of the linked BMJ Rapid Recommendation.11 They worked with the rest of the panel, with the help of a patient liaison expert, to identify the outcomes that were important for decision-making; they also led the interpretation of the results based on what they expected the typical patient values and preferences to be, as well as the variation between patients.

Eligibility criteria

We included RCTs that included a comparison of antibiotics versus no antibiotics or a comparison of different types of antibiotics in children or adult patients with uncomplicated skin abscesses, and explicitly reported data on at least one of the outcomes prespecified by the BMJ Rapid Recommendation guideline panel. Furuncles (boils) and carbuncles were included in the definition of skin abscesses, while pustules and papules were not. No restrictions were applied to types of antibiotics. The prespecified outcomes included treatment failure, recurrence (at same or different site), hospitalisation, need for an additional surgical procedure, a similar infection in a household member, pain, invasive infections, gastrointestinal side effects, diarrhoea, nausea, death and anaphylaxis.

Literature search

We searched Medline, EMBASE and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) from inception to 17 August 2017 to identify relevant studies, without language restrictions. We combined database-specific subject headings (such as MeSH terms) and free-text terms regarding ‘skin abscess’ and ‘anti-infective agents’ to search for potentially eligible studies. We also searched ClinicalTrials.gov to identify any unpublished studies and reviewed the reference lists of the included RCTs. Online supplementary appendix 1 presents the full search strategy.

Study process

Three reviewers (WW, WC and YL), independently and in duplicate, screened titles/abstracts for potential eligibility and full texts for final eligibility; assessed risk of bias and collected data from each eligible trial using standardised, pilot tested forms. Reviewers resolved disagreement through discussion or by adjudication by a third reviewer (LL).

Risk of bias assessment

We assessed risk of bias of RCTs using a modified version of the Cochrane tool, in which we used response options of ‘definitely or probably yes’ (assigned a low risk of bias) and ‘definitely or probably no’ (assigned a high risk of bias), an approach that has been validated.15–17 The items for the risk of bias tool included random sequence generation; concealment of treatment allocation; blinding of participants, caregivers and outcome assessors; infrequent missing outcome data.

Data extraction

We collected the following information from each eligible RCT: study characteristics (study design, total number of patients, length of follow-up, whether the trial was an international study, number of sites and stratification by skin abscess if a trial included other populations with infection); patient characteristics (gender, age and infection pathogen, type of abscess and inclusion criterion); intervention characteristics (surgical treatment for abscess, type of antibiotics used in the treatment group, agents used in control, dose and duration of treatment) and outcome data (outcomes of interest, events and numbers of patients included for analyses in each group).

Data analysis and rating quality of evidence

For our primary comparison of antibiotics versus no antibiotics, we conducted pairwise meta-analyses. We used the random-effects Mantel-Haenszel (M-H) method to estimate ORs and 95% CIs. For the outcomes with low event rate (<5%), we pooled data using Peto’s method. We examined statistical heterogeneity among studies using the I2 statistic and Cochran’s Χ2 test. We used complete case analysis for efficacy outcomes and as-treated analysis for safety outcomes as our primary analyses.

We planned, according to the guideline panel’s specification, five hypotheses to explain variability in effect estimates between studies: antibiotic MRSA coverage (hypothesising larger effects with MRSA coverage vs no MRSA coverage), individual antibiotics (hypothesising smaller effects with TMP-SMX vs clindamycin), type of patients (hypothesising larger effects with children vs adults), treatment course (hypothesising smaller effects with <7 days vs ≥7 days) and abscess size (hypothesising larger effects with ≥5 vs <5 cm). We conducted subgroup analyses if there were at least two trials in each subgroup category.

We conducted the following sensitivity analyses to examine the robustness of effect estimates: analyses using alternative effect measures (OR vs relative risk), statistical models (fixed vs random effects), pooling methods (Peto vs M-H), alternative methods for random-effects meta-analysis (DerSimonian and Laird (DL) vs Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman (HKSJ)) and alternative assumptions about missing data; as well as analyses omitting trials published before 1990 and trials with patients treated by primary suture rather than open drainage and, for treatment failure, excluding trials that considered recurrences as treatment failure.

We also conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) of RCTs using a Bayesian approach to compare effects of alternative antibiotics. We fitted a Bayesian random-effect hierarchical model with non-informative priors and adjusted for correlation between effects in multiarm trials. We assumed common heterogeneity within the network. We generated posterior samples using Markov Chain Monte-Carlo simulation technique running the analysis in three parallel chains. We used 10 000 burn-in simulations to allow convergence and then a further 100 000 simulations to produce the outputs. We assessed model convergence using Gelman and Rubin diagnostic test.18 The primary network meta-analysis was conducted with uninformative priors with a uniform distribution, Unif(0, 5). We also conducted a sensitivity analysis with weakly informative priors (HN(0, 1)I(0,).

We report pooled ORs for direct, indirect and mixed network meta-analysis estimates and associated 95% credible intervals. We present the direct, indirect and network effect estimates. We used the node-splitting approach for the assessment of loop inconsistency in our triangular loop.19 Finally, we presented pooled risk differences (RD) for all the comparisons. To estimate absolute effect for treatment failure, we used the median baseline risk from the no antibiotics arms and applied it to the relative effect from the network estimates. We performed all analyses with R (R Core Team, 2016, Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing) using the gemtc library.20

We followed the GRADE approach to rate the quality of evidence of estimates derived from pairwise and network meta-analysis.21 22 Direct evidence from RCTs starts at high quality and can be rated down based on risk of bias, indirectness, imprecision, inconsistency and publication bias. When the estimates were not robust to the worst plausible analysis, we rated down our certainty in the evidence for risk of bias.23 For NMA estimates, we rated the quality of evidence in each of the direct, indirect and NMA estimates.22 The rating of indirect estimates starts at the lowest rating of the two pairwise estimates that contribute as first-order loops to the indirect estimate but can be rated down further for intransitivity. If direct and indirect estimates contributed similar power to the network estimate, then we used the higher rating. The network estimates were further rated down if they were incoherent.

Results

Our search yielded 4198 potentially relevant reports and 129 10 24–33 ultimately proved eligible (figure 1). One report29 included two independent RCTs, and the other28 reported results of a factorial trial that also compared two surgical approaches and reported results separately for each approach. In total, there were 14 RCTs that enrolled 3541 patients with uncomplicated skin abscesses (range 14–1265), of which 9 were multicentre studies,9 10 26 29–33 and 5 were published prior to the year of 2000.25 28 31 33 Eleven trails reported study setting, of which nine9 10 24–26 28 30 32 (n=3068) were conducted in emergency department, one33 (n=174) in outpatient dermatology clinics and the other one27 in an Integrated Soft Tissue Infection Services clinic involving patients with high rates of comorbidity, such as infection with hepatitis C, hepatitis B or HIV.

Figure 1

Flow chart of selection of studies.

Two trials25 26 exclusively enrolled adults, two exclusively enrolled children,24 31 seven included both adults and children9 10 29 30 32 33and three others provided no details.27 28 Three trials reported abscess size of enrolled patients.9 10 32 The largest trial10 specifically focused on small abscesses, in which no patients had signs of systemic infection. Two trials10 27 included a proportion of patients with diabetes (2.4%–11%) and seven trials9 24–26 29 32 excluded patients with diabetes. The most common pathogen cultured was MRSA, the proportion of which ranged from 43.5% to 87.8%. The resistance rates of clindamycin9 24 32 ranged from 7.1% to 18%, while TMP-SMX9 10 24 26 32 ranged from 0% to 2.6%. Ten trials reported surgical treatment for abscess, of which nine performed incision and drainage9 10 24–28 30 32 and the other performed incision, curettage and primary suture28 (table 1). The descriptions of abscess definitions were summarised in table A of online supplementary appendix 2.

Table 1

Characteristics of included randomised controlled trials

Author (year)	No. of sites	No. of patients randomised	Study setting	Age	Male patients (no., %)	MSSA (no., %)	MRSA (no., %)	Surgical treatment	Intervention	Antibiotics dose and usage	Duration	Follow-up
RCTs comparing antibiotics vs placebo or standard care
Daum 20179	6	786	Emergency department	>6 months	140 (52.6)	140 (17.8)*	388 (49.4)*	Incision and drainage	Clindamycin	300 mg, three time a day†	10 d	40 d
					152 (57.8)				TMP-SMX	160 mg/800 mg, twice daily†	10 d
					156 (60.7)				Placebo		10 d
Duong 201024	1	161	Emergency department	3 months to 18 years	28 (38.4)	7 (9.6)	58 (79.4)	Incision and draining	TMP-SMX	10–12 mg/kg/day, divided into two dose	10 d	90 d
					34 (44.7)	6 (7.8)	61 (80.2)		Placebo	–	10 d
Llera 198525	1	81	Emergency department	>16 years	18 (66.7)	NR	NR	Incision and drainage	Cephradine	250 mg, four times a day	7 d	7 d
					9 (39.1)				Placebo	–	7 d
Macfie 1977a28	1	121	Emergency department	NR	NR	NR	NR	Incision, curettage and primary suture	Clindamycin	150 mg every 6 hours	4 d	9 d‡
					NR	NR	NR		Usual care	–	–
Macfie 1977b28	1	98	Emergency department	NR	NR	NR	NR	Incision and open drainage	Clindamycin	150 mg every 6 hours	4 d	9 d‡
					NR	NR	NR		Usual care	–	–
Rajendran 200727	1	166	Integrated Soft Tissue Infection Services clinic	NR	59 (72.0)	NR	87 (87.8) *§	Surgically drained	Cephalexin	500 mg, four times a day	7 d	7 d
					68 (81.0)	NR			Placebo	–	7 d
Schmitz 201026	4	212	Emergency department	>16 years	68 (0.7)	NR	50 (60.0)	Incision and drainage	TMP-SMX	320 mg/1600 mg, twice daily	7 d	30 d
					72 (0.6)		47 (47.0)		Placebo	–	7 d
Talan 201610	5	1265	Emergency department	>12 years	364 (57.8)	100 (15.9)	274 (43.5)	Incision and drainage	TMP-SMX	160 mg/800 mg, twice daily	14 d	63 d
					362 (58.7)	102 (16.5)	291 (47.2)		Placebo	–	14 d
RCTs comparing alternative antibiotics¶
Bucko 2002a29	63	143	NR	>12 years	153 (52.6)**	NR	NR	NR	Cefditoren 200 mg	200 mg, twice daily	10 d	24 d
					141 (49.8)**				Cefditoren 400 mg	400 mg, twice daily	10 d
					133 (47.0)**				Cefuroxime 250 mg	250 mg, twice daily	10 d
Bucko 2002b29	69	104	NR	>12 years	140 (50.3)**	NR	NR	NR	Cefditoren 200 mg	200 mg, twice daily	10 d	24 d
					144 (52.0)**				Cefditoren 400 mg	400 mg, twice daily	10 d
					144 (52.7)**				Cefadroxil 250 mg	250 mg, twice daily	10 d
Giordano 200630	39	102	Emergency department	>13 years	102 (53.0)**	NR	NR	Incision and drainage	Cefdinir	300 mg, twice daily	10 d	24 d
					104 (52.0)**				Cephalexin	250 mg, four times a day	10 d
Keiichi 198233	15	46	Dermatology department	No restriction	62 (72.1)**	NR	NR	NR	Cefadroxil	250 mg, three times a day	14 d	14 d
					57 (64.8)	NR	NR		L-Cephalexin	500 mg, twice daily	14 d
Miller 201532	4	242	Emergency department	>6 months	135 (51.1)**	14 (11.0)	74 (58.3)	Incision and drainage	Clindamycin	300 mg, three times a day‡	12 d	40 d
					139 (53.5)	16 (13.9)	72 (62.6)		TMP-SMX	320 mg/1600 mg, twice daily‡	12 d
Montero 199631	4	14	NR	6 months to 2 years	49 (49.0)**	NR	NR	NR	Azithromycin	10 mg/kg, once a day	3 d	14 d
					57 (57.0)	NR	NR		Cefaclor	20 mg/kg/d, divided into three dose	10 d

*Characteristics of patients in both antibiotics and placebo group.

†Dose for adult.

‡Mean follow-up days.

§The denominator was patients with a positive culture.

¶These trials included the patient subgroup of skin abscess, and data were collected from the specific patient subgroup.

**Data from trials involving patients with skin and soft tissue infection which did not report characteristics of patients with skin abscess.

d, days; MRSA, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus; MSSA, methicillin-sensitive staphylococcus aureus; NR, not reported; RCT, randomised controlled trials; TMP-SMX, trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole.

Antibiotics included TMP-SMX, clindamycin, early cephalosporins, late cephalosporins and azithromycin. Eight trials9 10 24–28 compared antibiotics (TMP-SMX, clindamycin, cephradine, cephalexin) with no antibiotics, of which six administered antibiotics for at least 7 days9 10 24–27; the two others used clindamycin for 4 days.28 Six other trials29–33 examined comparative effects of alternative antibiotics, and the treatment courses ranged from 3 to 14 days. The length of follow-up ranged from 7 to 90 days across the trials (table 1).

All the 14 trials adequately generated their randomisation sequence, 11 (78.6%) concealed treatment allocation, 10 (71.4%) blinded participants, 11 (78.6%) blinded caregivers, 11 (78.6%) blinded outcome assessors and 6 (42.8%) trials had infrequent missing outcome (see table B in online supplementary appendix 2).

Effects of antibiotics versus no antibiotics

Eight trials9 10 24–28 compared antibiotics with no antibiotics. The risk of treatment failure was probably lower in patients randomised to antibiotics (eight trials,9 10 24–28 OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.90, I2=48%; risk difference 37 fewer (56 fewer to 9 fewer) per 1000 patients with uncomplicated skin abscess; low quality; figure 2 and table 2). For this outcome, we found sufficient information to conduct three prespecified subgroup analyses: analysis by age (≥18 vs <18 years) and individual antibiotics (TMP-SMX vs clindamycin) suggested no significant difference (interaction P=0.36 and 0.95, figures 3 and 4). Antibiotics with activity against MRSA (TMP-SMX and clindamycin) proved more likely to reduce the risk of treatment failure than those without activity against MRSA (first-generation cephalosporins) (interaction P=0.008; figure 5; antibiotics with MRSA activity, six trials,9 10 24 26 28 OR 0.45, 95% CI 0.33 to 0.62, I2=13%; high quality; antibiotics without MRSA activity (cephalosporins), two trials,25 27 OR 1.82, 95% CI 0.68 to 4.85, I2=0%; moderate quality).

Figure 2

Effects of antibiotics vs no antibiotics on treatment failure and recurrence.

Table 2

Summary of GRADE evidence profile of antibiotics vs placebo or standard care

Outcome/timeframe	Study results and measurements	Absolute effect estimates		Certainty in effect estimates (quality of evidence)	Plain text summary
		No antibiotics	Antibiotics
Treatment failure/1 month	OR 0.58 (95% CI 0.37 to 0.90) Based on data from 2517 patients in eight studies Follow-up 7–21 days	93 per 1000	56 per 1000	Low Due to serious risk of bias and serious inconsistency*	Antibiotics probably reduce the risk of treatment failure.
		Difference: 37 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 56 fewer—9 fewer)
Treatment failure (antibiotics with activity against MRSA)/1 month	OR 0.45 (95% CI 0.33 to 0.62) Based on data from 2305 patients in six studies Follow-up 7–21 days	128 per 1000	62 per 1000	High	Antibiotics with activity against MRSA reduce the risk of treatment failure.
		Difference: 66 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 82 fewer—45 fewer)
Treatment failure (antibiotics without activity against MRSA)/1 month	OR 1.82 (95% CI 0.68 to 4.85) Based on data from 212 patients in two studies Follow-up 7–21 days	58 per 1000	101 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision†	Antibiotics without activity against MRSA may not reduce the risk of treatment failure.
		Difference: 43 more per 1000 (95% CI 18 fewer—172 more)
Recurrence within/1 month	OR 0.48 (95% CI 0.30 to 0.77) Based on data from 2134 patients in six studies Follow-up 7–30 days	129 per 1000	66 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious risk of bias and borderline inconsistency‡	Antibiotics probably reduce the risk of early abscess recurrence.
		Difference: 63 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 86 fewer—27 fewer)
Late recurrence/1−3 months	OR 0.64 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.85) Based on data from 1111 patients in two studies Follow-up 63–90 days	267 per 1000	189 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious risk of bias, borderline imprecision§	Antibiotics probably reduce the risk of late abscess recurrence.
		Difference: 78 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 118 fewer—31 fewer)
Hospitalisation/3 months	OR 0.55 (95% CI 0.32 to 0.94) Based on data from 1206 patients in two studies Follow-up 40–90 days	39 per 1000	22 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision¶	Antibiotics probably reduce the risk of hospitalisation.
		Difference: 17 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 26 fewer—2 fewer)
Pain (tenderness)/(3–4 days)	OR 0.76 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.97) Based on data from 1057 patients in one study Follow-up 3–4 days	559 per 1000	491 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision**	Antibiotics probably increase the risk of pain at 3–4 days.
		Difference: 68 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 126 fewer—8 fewer)
Pain (tenderness)/(8–10 days)	OR 0.56 (95% CI 0.35 to 0.88) Based on data from 1057 patients in one study Follow-up 8–10 days	101 per 1000	59 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision††	Antibiotics may not increase the risk of pain at 8–10 days.
		Difference: 42 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 63 fewer—11 fewer)
Additional surgical procedures within/1–3 months	OR 0.58 (95% CI 0.39 to 0.87) Based on data from 1013 patients in one study Follow-up 43–63 days	136 per 1000	84 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision‡‡	Antibiotics probably increase the risk of additional surgical procedures.
		Difference: 52 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 78 fewer—16 fewer)
Infections in family members within/1 month	OR 0.58 (95% CI 0.34 to 1.01) Based on data from 1013 patients in one study Follow-up 7–14 days	67 per 1000	40 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision§§	Antibiotics probably do not increase the risk of infection in family members.
		Difference: 27 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 43 fewer—1 more)
Invasive infections/1 month	OR 1.02 (95% CI 0.14 to 7.24) Based on data from 1057 patients in one study Follow-up 7–14 days	4 per 1000	4 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision¶¶	Antibiotics probably do not reduce the risk of serious complications at 7–14 days.
		Difference: 0 more per 1000 (95% CI 3 fewer—24 more)
Invasive infections/3 months	OR 7.46 (95% CI 0.15 to 376.12) Based on data from 1013 patients in one study Follow-up 42–56 days	0 per 1000	1 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision***	Antibiotics probably do not reduce the risk of serious complications at 42–56 days.
		Difference: 2 more per 1000 (95% CI 4 fewer—8more)

Evidence have summarised at Magic App (www.magicapp.org/public/guideline/jlRvQn).

*Risk of bias: serious. There was substantial missing data/lost to follow-up: the results are not robust to worth plausible sensitivity analysis (assuming that missing patients from the control arms have the same rate of treatment failure as those with complete follow-up, and five times the rate of treatment failure in the patients who were lost to follow-up in the antibiotic arm); inconsistency: serious. Effects might differ in different type of antibiotics.

†Imprecision: serious. CI approaches no effect.

‡Risk of bias: serious. There was substantial missing data/lost to follow-up: the results are not robust to worth plausible sensitivity analysis; inconsistency: no serious. The magnitude of statistical heterogeneity was high, with I2=45%, but the direction of effect was similar in almost all trials, favouring antibiotics over no antibiotics.

§Risk of bias: serious. Incomplete data and/or large loss to follow-up: results are not sensitive to worst plausible sensitivity analysis: OR 1.48, 95% CI 0.55 to 3.96; imprecision: no serious. A single large study, and one small study contributed data to this outcome.

¶Imprecision: serious. CI approaches no effect.

**Imprecision: serious. Only data from one study, CI approaches no effect.

††Imprecision: serious. Only data from one study.

‡‡Imprecision: serious. Data from one study only.

§§Imprecision: serious. Only data from one study; CI include no effect.

¶¶Imprecision: serious. Only data from one study.

***Imprecision: serious. Only data from one study; CI include no effect.

GRADE, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation; MRSA, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus.

Figure 5

Subgroup analysis of treatment failure within 1 month by antibiotics with vs without methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) activity.

Subgroup analysis of treatment failure within 1 month by age (≥18 vs <18 years).

Subgroup analysis of treatment failure by type of antibiotics (trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) vs clindamycin).

Patients receiving antibiotics probably had lower risk of recurrence both within 1 month (six trials,9 10 24 26 28 OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.77, I2=45%; 63 fewer (86 fewer to 27 fewer) per 1000 patients; moderate quality; figure 2 and table 2), and at extended follow-up, from 1 to 3 months (two trials,10 24 OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.85, I2=0%; 78 fewer (118 fewer to 31 fewer) per 1000 patients; moderate quality; figure 2 and table 2). A subgroup by individual antibiotics (TMP-SMX vs clindamycin) suggested that there was no difference between clindamycin and TMP-SMX (interaction P=0.71, figure 6).

Figure 6

Subgroup analysis of recurrence by type of antibiotics (trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) vs clindamycin).

Hospitalisation was probably less common in patients randomised to antibiotics (two trials,10 24 OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.94, I2=0%; 17 fewer (26 fewer to 2 fewer) per 1000 patients; moderate quality; table 2).

Only one RCT (n=1057)10 reported pain, additional surgical procedures, infection in a household member, invasive infections (table 2). Antibiotics probably reduced pain at 3 or 4 days (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.97; 68 fewer (126 fewer to 8 fewer) per 1000 patients; moderate quality) and 8–10 days of follow-up (OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.35 to 0.88; 42 fewer (63 fewer to 11 fewer) per 1000 patients; moderate quality), as well as additional surgical procedures at 49–63 days of follow-up (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.39 to 0.87; 52 fewer (78 fewer to 16 fewer) per 1000 patients; moderate quality). The risk of infection in a household member was probably lower with antibiotics, but the CI included no effect (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.34 to 1.01; moderate quality). Antibiotics probably did not appear to lower the risk of invasive infections at 7–14 days (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.14 to 7.24; moderate quality), at 42 and 56 days (OR 7.46, 95% CI 0.15 to 376.12; moderate quality).

The incidence and severity of adverse events is likely to differ between antibiotics, thus we analysed the safety outcomes separately for each antibiotic (clindamycin and TMP-SMX). Both TMP-SMX (four trials,9 10 24 26 OR 1.28, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.58, I2=0%; 21 more (3 more to 43 more) per 1000 patients; moderate quality) and clindamycin (one trial,9 OR 2.29, 95% CI 1.35 to 3.88; 95 more (28 more to 187 more) per 1000 patients; moderate quality) were associated with increased risk of overall gastrointestinal side effects. Clindamycin increases the risk of diarrhoea (one trial,9 OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.50 to 4.89; 96 more (30 more to 193 more) per 1000 patients; high quality), while TMP-SMX probably does not (three trials,9 10 26 OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.22, I2=0%; moderate quality) (table 3). Two large trials9 10 (n=2051) monitored for Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) with routine clinical monitoring: no CDI occurred in any treatment arm. TMP-SMX probably increases the risk of nausea (TMP-SMX OR 1.49, 95% CI 0.98 to 2.25, I2=11%; moderate quality), while clindamycin may not (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.31 to 3.02; moderate quality). TMP-SMX does not appear to have an important effect on the risk of sepsis (one trial,10 OR 7.24, 95% CI 0.14 to 364.86; moderate quality) or death (two trials,9 10 OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.06 to 15.68; no difference (4 fewer to 4 more) per 1000; high quality) because both outcomes were so rare. The risk of anaphylaxis is uncertain (TMP-SMX OR 2.32, 95% CI 0.67 to 8.06; clindamycin OR 2.17, 95% CI 0.62 to 7.58; low quality, table 3 and table C in online supplementary appendix 2).

Table 3

Summary of GRADE evidence profile of TMP-SMX/clindamycin vs no antibiotic

Outcome/timeframe	Study results and measurements	Absolute effect estimates		Certainty in effect estimates (quality of evidence)	Plain text summary
		No antibiotics	Antibiotics
TMP-SMX vs no antibiotic
Sepsis/1 month	OR 7.24 (95% CI 0.14 to 364.86) Based on data from 1247 patients in one study Follow-up 49–63 days	0 per 1000	2 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision*	Antibiotics probably do not decrease the risk of sepsis.
		Difference: 2 more per 1000 (95% CI 3 fewer—6 more)
Death/3 months	OR 0.98 (95% CI 0.06 to 15.68) Based on data from 1763 patients in two studies Follow-up 30–90 days	1 per 1000	1 per 1000	High Borderline imprecision	Antibiotics do not reduce the risk of death.
		Difference: 0 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 4 fewer—4 more)
Gastrointestinal side effects/while taking antibiotics	OR 1.28 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.58) Based on data from 2124 patients in four studies Follow-up 30–90 days	85 per 1000	106 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision†	TMP-SMX probably increases the risk of gastrointestinal side effects.
		Difference: 21 more per 1000 (95% CI 3 more—43 more)
Nausea/while taking antibiotics	OR 1.49 (95% CI 0.98 to 2.25) Based on data from 1975 patients in three studies Follow-up 30–63 days	24 per 1000	35 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision‡	TMP-SMX probably increases the risk of nausea.
		Difference: 11 more per 1000 (95% CI 0 fewer—28 more)
Diarrhoea/3 months	OR 0.92 (95% CI 0.7 to 1.22) Based on data from 1912 patients in three studies Follow-up 30–63 days	67 per 1000	62 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision§	TMP-SMX probably does not increase the risk of diarrhoea.
		Difference: 5 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 19 fewer—14 more)
Anaphylaxis/minutes to days	OR 2.32 (95% CI 0.67 to 8.06) Based on data from 877 patients in three studies Follow-up 30–90 days	7 per 1000	15 per 1000	Low Due to serious risk of bias and imprecision¶	Antibiotics probably not increase the risk of anaphylaxis.
		Difference: 8 more per 1000 (95% CI 2 fewer—44 more)
Clindamycin vs no antibiotics
Gastrointestinal side effects/while taking antibiotics	OR 2.29 (95% CI 1.35 to 3.88) Based on data from 520 patients in one study Follow-up 30–90 days	90 per 1000	185 per 1000	High	Clindamycin increases the risk of gastrointestinal side effects.
		Difference: 95 more per 1000 (95% CI 28 more—187 more)
Nausea/while taking antibiotics	OR 0.96 (95% CI 0.31 to 3.02) Based on data from 520 patients in one study Follow-up 30–63 days	24 per 1000	23 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision**	Clindamycin may not increase the risk of nausea.
		Difference: 1 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 16 fewer—45 more)
Diarrhoea/3 months	OR 2.71 (95% CI 1.5 to 4.89) Based on data from 520 patients in one study Follow-up 30–63 days	67 per 1000	162 per 1000	High	Clindamycin increases the risk of diarrhoea.
		Difference: 96 more per 1000 (95% CI 30 more—193 more)
Anaphylaxis/minutes to days	OR 2.17 (95% CI 0.62 to 7.58) Based on data from 520 patients in one study Follow-up 30–90 days	12 per 1000	26 per 1000	Low Due to serious risk of bias and imprecision††	Antibiotics probably not increase the risk of anaphylaxis.
		Difference: 14 more per 1000 (95% CI 5 fewer—72 more)

*Imprecision: Serious. Due to serious imprecision.

†Imprecision: serious. CI approaches no effect.

‡Imprecision: serious. CI approaches no effect.

§Imprecision: serious. CI approaches no effect.

¶Risk of bias: serious. Selective outcome reporting: studies without any events are likely to have not reported this outcome, leading to overestimation of risk; imprecision: serious. Few events. Not all studies reported anaphylaxis.

**Imprecision: very serious. CI approaches no effect.

††Risk of bias: serious. Selective outcome reporting: studies without any events are likely to have not reported this outcome, leading to overestimation of risk; imprecision: serious. Few events. Not all studies reported anaphylaxis.

GRADE, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation; TMP-SMX, trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole.

Subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses

There was only enough information to conduct prespecified subgroup analyses for the treatment failure and recurrence outcomes (see above). Sensitivity analyses using alternative pooling methods, effect measures and statistical models did not result in a change in interpretation (tables A–D in online supplementary appendix 3). The CIs for abscess treatment failure, late recurrence, hospitalisation, gastrointestinal side effects and nausea excluded no effect with the DL method but not the HKSJ method (tables E in online supplementary appendix 3). For the results of the primary analysis suggested statistically significant treatment effect, sensitivity analyses using plausible assumptions about missing data were not robust to the worst plausible analysis (table F in online supplementary appendix 3).

The results and interpretation of the network meta-analysis did not change when we used weakly informative priors instead of than uninformative priors (data not shown).

Comparative effects of alternative antibiotics

Of the 14 trials, 9 28–30 32included direct comparison between different types of antibiotics.

Comparative effects on treatment failure

There was sufficient information to conduct an NMA for treatment failure only. The NMA included 12 trials, with 8 trials comparing antibiotics with no antibiotics and 5 trials that compared different antibiotics with each other (there was one three-arm RCT9; figure 7). We grouped cephalosporins into early (first and second) generation or late (third and fourth) generation cephalosporins. We excluded a single trial that compared azithromycin with early cephalosporin because there was only one event,31 and another trial in which both antibiotics were early generation cephalosporins.33

Figure 7

Network of included randomised controlled trials with available direct comparisons for treatment failure within 1 month. TMP-SMX, trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole.

Pairwise comparisons had I2 values from 0% to 17.3% (figure 8). There was no incoherence between the direct and indirect evidence for any of the comparisons using the back-calculation (figure 8) or node-splitting approach (figure 9; table A in online supplementary appendix 4). TMP-SMX and clindamycin both reduce treatment failure compared with no antibiotics (NMA OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.85; NMA OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.33 to 0.87, both moderate quality). There did not appear to be a difference between clindamycin and TMP-SMX (high quality; tables 4 and 5). With moderate quality, TMP-SMX and clindamycin probably confer a lower treatment failure than early generation cephalosporins (TMP-SMX NMA OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.12 to 1.07; clindamycin NMA OR 0.39, 95% CI 0.11 to 1.02; tables 6 and 7) and for late-generation cephalosporins.

Figure 8

Forest plot of network meta-analysis results for treatment failure within 1 month.

Figure 9

Assessment of network consistency, for all comparisons for which pairwise and indirect estimates were possible.

Comparative effects of TMP-SMX versus clindamycin on other outcomes

A single trial9 reported recurrence, diarrhoea and nausea within 1 month. Use of TMP-SMX, compared with clindamycin, was probably associated with higher risk of abscess recurrence (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.11 to 4.12; 67 more (7 more to 163 more) per 100 patients; low quality), but lower risk of diarrhoea (OR 0.29, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.55; 109 fewer (132 fewer to 66 fewer) per 1000 patients, high quality). Nausea was rare (OR 1.90, 95% CI 0.69 to 5.21; 20 more (7 fewer to 86 more) per 1000 patients, moderate quality; table 5).

Table 5

Summary of GRADE evidence profile of TMP-SMX vs clindamycin

Outcome/timeframe	Study results and measurements	Absolute effect estimates		Certainty in effect estimates (quality of evidence)	Plain text summary
		Clindamycin	TMP/SMX
Treatment failure/1 month	OR 1.08 (95% CI 0.69 to 1.75) Based on data from 2673 patients in seven studies Follow-up 7–30 days	109 per 1000	119 per 1000	High Borderline imprecision*	There is no important difference in treatment failure.
		Difference: 10 more per 1000 (95% CI 53 fewer—41 more)
Recurrence within/1 month	OR 2.14 (95% CI 1.11 to 4.12) Based on data from 436 patients in one study Follow-up 30 days	68 per 1000	135 per 1000	Low Due to serious imprecision and serious inconsistency†	TMP/SMX probably results in higher risk of early abscess recurrence.
		Difference: 67 more per 1000 (95% CI 7 more—163 more)
Diarrhoea/1 month	OR 0.29 (95% CI 0.16 to 0.55) Based on data from 526 patients in one study Follow-up 30 days	162 per 1000	53 per 1000	High‡	TMP/SMX has a lower risk of diarrhoea.
		Difference: 109 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 132 fewer—66 fewer)
Nausea/1 month	OR 1.9 (95% CI 0.69 to 5.21) Based on data from 526 patients in one study Follow-up 30 days	23 per 1000	43 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision§	There is probably not an important difference in risk of nausea.
		Difference: 20 more per 1000 (95% CI 7 fewer—86 more)

*Imprecision: no serious. Borderline wide CIs.

†Imprecision: serious. Data from one study only; CI approaches no difference; inconsistency: serious. The results are not consistent with the subgroup analysis, nor with the indirect evidence.

‡Imprecision: no serious. Direct data from one study only. However, we did not rate down for imprecision because of high certainty indirect evidence from other conditions that clindamycin has a higher risk of diarrhoea than TMP/SMX.

§Imprecision: serious. Data from one study only; wide CIs.

GRADE, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation; TMP-SMX, trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole.

Comparison between early cephalosporins

One trial33 compared two early cephalosporins (cefadroxil vs cephalexin); and there was only one event (RD −0.04, 95% CI −0.15 to 0.07).

Discussion

Findings and interpretations

We found moderate-to-high quality evidence that in patients with uncomplicated skin abscesses who treated with I&D, adjuvant antibiotic therapy lowers the risks of treatment failure, abscess recurrence, hospitalisation, additional surgical procedures and pain during treatment; but increases the risk of overall gastrointestinal side effects (TMP-SMX and clindamycin) and diarrhoea (with clindamycin). The evidence regarding the effects of antibiotics on other important outcomes events (eg, death, invasive infections and sepsis) is less certain; however, these outcomes occurred very infrequently.

This evidence is most directly applicable to antibiotics with activity against MRSA (TMP-SMX and clindamycin), which appeared to be more effective at reducing the risk of treatment failure than antibiotics without activity against MRSA. Using standard criteria for evaluating the credibility of a subgroup effect,34 the MRSA active versus cephalosporin subgroup was one of a small number of prespecified hypotheses, has biologic plausibility,35 a low P value in the test of interaction and the subgroup effect proved large. We were unable to examine if there was a similar effect on other outcomes because the RCTs that included antibiotics without MRSA activity did not report those outcomes. We judged the observed subgroup effect of moderate-to-high credibility.

The NMA of alternative antibiotic regimens could only be conducted for treatment failure. We found high-quality evidence that there is no important difference in treatment failure between TMP-SMX and clindamycin, which is consistent with an RCT of patients with MRSA SSTIs.36 A single study found that TMP-SMX may confer a higher risk of abscess recurrence than clindamycin, which is consistent with a previous RCT of SSTIs.37 However, indirect evidence from our review suggests that this finding may be spurious: that study was also the only one of four where TMP-SMX did not reduce the risk of abscess recurrence compared with placebo—it did in all of the other studies and in the pooled effect. Moreover, when compared with no antibiotics, clindamycin did not appear to reduce the risk of abscess recurrence more than TMP-SMX. We did find high-quality evidence that TMP-SMX has a substantially lower risk of diarrhoea than clindamycin.

Strengths and limitations

Our study has several strengths. First, we systematically identified RCTs and rigorously collected and analysed the data. We conducted a small number of prespecified subgroup analyses to explore treatment heterogeneity, and a number of sensitivity analyses to examine robustness of effect estimates. Our review assessed both the effects of antibiotics versus no antibiotics, and the relative merit of different antibiotics, including a network meta-analysis that addressed the latter issue. The GRADE approach informed our assessment of the quality of evidence both in the comparison of antibiotics versus no antibiotics and the comparisons between antibiotics.

The results are primarily limited by the available studies. Four of the RCTs were published >30 years ago and surgical treatments as well as antibiotic resistance patterns have changed. The results and interpretation did not change when these trials were excluded from the analyses. Although we planned a number of hypotheses for exploring potential heterogeneity across studies, sufficient data were available only for treatment failure, recurrence within 1 month and for three hypotheses (≥18 vs <18 years, antibiotics with vs without MRSA activity, TMP-SMX vs clindamycin). In addition, the definition of outcomes varied among included trials.

Clinicians should consider local rates of CA-MRSA resistance to clindamycin and TMP-SMX; antibiotics will be less effective in areas with a substantial risk of resistance. Most of included studies involved patients treated in an emergency department. Considering the characteristics of involved patients and medical conditions may differ between emergency department and GPs, antibiotics may confer an even smaller benefit in patients who present to their GP. This evidence does not apply to pustules and papules. Moreover, rare adverse events are unlikely to be observed in RCTs. Important but rare adverse events include anaphylaxis, C. difficile infection (especially with clindamycin38) and Stevens-Johnson syndrome or toxic epidermal necrolysis (especially with TMP-SMX).39 Only one trial10 reported rate of serious invasive infection (0.2%–0.4%); however, the trial was underpowered to detect differences of this very rare but potentially fatal event.

Comparison with other studies

Two systematic reviews and meta-analyses have assessed the effect of adjunctive antibiotics versus no antibiotics in the treatment of skin abscess.8 40 One systematic review40 included 4 trials of 589 patients failed to detect a benefit of antibiotics on clinical cure (OR 1.17, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.95) and recurrence (RD 10 more per 100, 95% CI 2 fewer to 22 more). The other8 included five RCTs and seven observational studies also failed to detect benefit with antibiotics on clinical cure rates (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.08).

The difference in results is attributable to two recent large RCTs, with increased power to detect small-to-moderate effects.9 10 Another reason that previous systematic reviews failed to show benefit is that the relative weight of trials comparing cephalosporins with placebo, which likely do not confer a benefit, was greater.35 The benefits of antibiotics are modest, and they come with an important risk of adverse effects. Some well-described rare but serious adverse effects such as community-acquired C. difficile infection (especially with clindamycin), hypersensitivity (especially with TMP-SMX) and life-threatening skin reactions such as toxic epidermal necrolysis and Stevens-Johnson syndrome (especially with TMP-SMX) would not occur frequently enough to be detected with RCTs, but are important considerations nonetheless. It is therefore likely that some fully informed patients will choose antibiotics and others will decline.

Conclusions

Based on moderate-to-high quality evidence, antibiotics provide a modest reduction in the risk of treatment failure, recurrence, additional surgical procedures and hospitalisation, and reduce pain during treatment. Antibiotics increase the risk of gastrointestinal side effects, such as nausea (TMP-SMX) and diarrhoea (clindamycin). This evidence is most applicable to TMP-SMX and clindamycin; cephalosporins are probably less or not effective. High-quality evidence demonstrated that TMP-SMX and clindamycin have similar effects on treatment failure, but clindamycin has a substantially higher risk of diarrhoea. The decision whether or not to use antibiotics should take into account local MRSA resistance patterns, individual patient clinical factors (eg, severity of infection, immunocompromised state) and individual values and preferences (eg, a strong desire to avoid diarrhoea).

Table 4

Risk difference per 1000 patients of various antibiotics from the network meta-analysis for treatment failure within 1 month

	No antibiotics	Early cephalosporin	Late cephalosporin	TMP-SMX	Clindamycin
No antibiotics	No antibiotics
Early cephalosporin	51 (–34, 226)	Early cephalosporin
Late cephalosporin	30 (–51, 244)	−20 (−109, 100)	Late cephalosporin
TMP-SMX	−34 (−51, –12)	−85 (−260, 4)	−64 (−278, 24)	TMP-SMX
Clindamycin	−39 (−58, –10)	−90 (−265, 1)	−69 (−283, 22)	−6 (−27, 21)	Clindamycin

Each number is a risk difference, per 1000 patients, and 95% credible interval. The rows are the reference category: a risk difference <0 favours the row. Green shading=high certainty; orange shading=moderate certainty; red shading=low certainty. Based on the median treatment failure rate in the no antibiotics arms, we assume that the baseline risk of treatment failure without antibiotics is 90 per 1000 patients.

TMP-SMX, trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole.

Table 6

Summary of GRADE evidence profile of TMP-SMX vs early cephalosporins

Outcome/timeframe	Study results and measurements	Absolute effect estimates		Certainty in effect estimates (quality of evidence)	Plain text summary
		Cephalosporins	TMP/SMX
Treatment failure/1 month	OR 0.42 (95% CI 0.12 to 1.07) Based on data from 1436 patients in five studies Follow-up 7 to 21 days	280 per 1000	119 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision*	TMP/SMX probably reduces the risk of treatment failure.
		Difference: 162 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 392 fewer to 7 more)

*Imprecision: serious. CI includes no difference.

GRADE, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation; TMP-SMX, trimethoprim and sulfamethoxazole.

Table 7

Summary of GRADE evidence profile of clindamycin vs early cephalosporins

Outcome/timeframe	Study results and measurements	Absolute effect estimates		Certainty in effect estimates (quality of evidence)	Plain text summary
		Cephalosporins	Clindamycin
Treatment failure/1 month	OR 0.39 (95% CI 0.11 to 1.02) Based on data from 1572 patients in five studies Follow-up 7–21 days	280 per 1000	109 per 1000	Moderate Due to serious imprecision*	Clindamycin probably reduces the risk of treatment failure.
		Difference: 171 fewer per 1000 (95% CI 401 fewer to 2 more)

*Imprecision: serious. CI includes no difference.

GRADE, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation.