| Literature DB >> 29414914 |
Hannes Jacobs1, Hajo Zeeb2,3, Falk Hoffmann4.
Abstract
Little is known about hip fracture rates and post-fracture mortality among nursing home residents. This retrospective cohort study examined incidence rates (IR) of and mortality after hip fracture in this population focusing on sex differences. A cohort of >127,000 residents ≥65 years, newly admitted to German nursing homes between 2010 and 2014 were used to calculate age-, sex-, care-need- and time after admission-specific IR. To determine mortality, the Kaplan-Meier-method was applied. Using Cox regression, we studied mortality and estimated time-dependent hazard ratios (HRs). For this purpose, to each person with a hip fracture, one resident without a hip fracture was matched by sex, age and care-need using risk-set sampling. 75% were women (mean age: 84.0 years). During 168,588 person-years (PY), 8537 residents with at least one hip fracture were observed. The IR for women and men were 52.9 and 42.5/1000 PY. For both sexes, IR increased with rising age and decreased with increasing care-level. IR were highest in the first months after admission and subsequently declined afterwards. The impact of hip fractures on mortality was time-dependent. Mortality of residents with hip fracture was highest in the first two months after fracture compared to those without (HR): 2.82; 95% CI 2.57-3.11) and after six months, no differences were found (HR: 1.10; 95% CI 0.98-1.22) Further research should always include analyses stratified by sex, age and time period after admission.Entities:
Keywords: health services research; hip fracture; incidence rate; mortality; nursing home
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29414914 PMCID: PMC5858358 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15020289
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Age- and level of care stratified hip fracture rates * in newly admitted nursing homes residents between 2010 and 2014, by sex.
| Men | Women | IRR Women/Men (95% CI) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PY | IR ☐ (95% CI) | PY | IR ☐ (95% CI) | ||||
| 65–69 | 54 | 2440 | 22.1 (16.6–28.9) | 128 | 4074 | 31.4 (26.2–37.4) | 1.42 (1.04–1.96) |
| 70–74 | 116 | 4627 | 25.1 (20.7–30.1) | 332 | 10,158 | 32.7 (29.3–36.4) | 1.30 (1.06–1.62) |
| 75–79 | 188 | 6222 | 30.2 (26.0–34.9) | 698 | 16,949 | 41.2 (38.2–44.4) | 1.36 (1.16–1.60) |
| 80–84 | 364 | 8568 | 42.5 (38.2–47.1) | 1448 | 28,733 | 50.4 (47.8–53.1) | 1.19 (1.06–1.33) |
| 85–89 | 470 | 8887 | 52.9 (48.2–57.9) | 2497 | 42,418 | 58.9 (56.6–61.2) | 1.11 (1.01–1.23) |
| 90–94 | 282 | 4493 | 62.8 (55.7–70.5) | 1555 | 24,518 | 63.4 (60.3–66.7) | 1.01 (0.89–1.15) |
| ≥95 | 64 | 962 | 66.6 (51.3–85.0) | 341 | 5540 | 61.5 (55.2–68.4) | 0.92 (0.71–1.21) |
| 0/I | 948 | 21,060 | 45.0 (42.2–48.0) | 4937 | 89,880 | 54.9 (53.4–56.5) | 1.22 (1.14–1.31) |
| II | 538 | 12,852 | 41.9 (38.4–45.6) | 1909 | 37,214 | 51.3 (49.0–53.7) | 1.22 (1.11–1.35) |
| III | 52 | 2286 | 22.7 (17.0–29.8) | 153 | 5296 | 28.9 (24.5–33.8) | 1.27 (0.93–1.75) |
| 1538 | 36,198 | 42.5 (40.4–44.7) | 6999 | 132,390 | 52.9 (51.6–54.1) | 1.24 (1.18–1.32) | |
* First hip fracture after nursing home admission. † Number of hip fractures. ☐ per 1000 person-years. PY, person-years; IR, incidence rate.
Figure 1Incidence rates of hip fractures stratified by the period after nursing home admission with 95% CI, by sex.
Time after admission stratified hip fracture rates * in newly admitted nursing homes residents between 2010 and 2014, by sex.
| Women | Men | Total | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| PY | IR ☐ (95% CI) |
| PY | IR ☐ (95% CI) |
| PY | IR ☐ (95% CI) | ||
| Months after admission | ||||||||||
| 1 | 732 | 7345 | 99.7 (92.6–107.1) | 190 | 2439 | 77.9 (67.2–89.8) | 922 | 9784 | 94.2 (88.2–100.5) | |
| 2 | 509 | 6652 | 76.5 (70.0–83.5) | 123 | 2137 | 57.6 (47.8–68.7) | 632 | 8789 | 71.9 (66.4–77.7) | |
| 3 | 403 | 6194 | 65.1 (58.9–71.7) | 98 | 1947 | 50.3 (40.9–61.3) | 501 | 8140 | 61.5 (56.3–67.2) | |
| 4 | 398 | 5842 | 68.1 (61.6–75.2) | 82 | 1803 | 45.5 (36.2–56.5) | 480 | 7645 | 62.8 (57.3–68.7) | |
| 5 | 348 | 5546 | 62.7 (56.3–69.7) | 66 | 1681 | 39.3 (30.4–50.0) | 414 | 7227 | 57.3 (51.9–63.1) | |
| 6 | 301 | 5286 | 56.9 (50.7–63.8) | 63 | 1578 | 39.9 (30.7–51.1) | 364 | 6864 | 53.0 (47.7–58.8) | |
| 7 | 291 | 5059 | 57.5 (51.1–64.5) | 65 | 1488 | 43.7 (33.7–55.7) | 356 | 6546 | 54.4 (48.9–60.3) | |
| 8 | 248 | 4837 | 51.3 (45.1–58.1) | 55 | 1406 | 39.1 (29.5–50.9) | 303 | 6244 | 48.5 (43.2–54.3) | |
| 9 | 254 | 4632 | 54.8 (48.3–62.0) | 59 | 1331 | 44.3 (33.8–57.2) | 313 | 5963 | 52.5 (46.8–58.6) | |
| 10 | 196 | 4433 | 44.2 (38.2–50.9) | 52 | 1260 | 41.3 (30.8–54.1) | 248 | 5693 | 43.6 (38.3–49.3) | |
| 11 | 178 | 4245 | 41.9 (36.0–48.6) | 40 | 1195 | 33.5 (23.9–45.6) | 218 | 5440 | 40.1 (34.9–45.8) | |
| 12 | 185 | 4054 | 45.6 (39.3–52.7) | 55 | 1134 | 48.5 (36.5–63.1) | 240 | 5189 | 46.3 (40.6–52.5) | |
* First hip fracture after nursing home admission. † Number of hip fractures. ☐ per 1000 person-years. PY, person-years.
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier-Plot: Survival probability of the hip fracture group (n = 8535) and in controls (n = 8535) with 95% Hall–Wellner Bands and number of individuals at risk.
Mortality in the hip fracture group (n = 8535) and in controls * (n = 8535) with 95% CI in different periods after index-date.
| Women | Men | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cases | Controls | Cases | Controls | Cases | Controls | |
| Mortality in % (95% CI) | ||||||
| 0.5 year | 27.6 | 14.3 | 44.3 | 21.3 | 30.6 | 15.6 |
| (26.6–28.7) | (13.5–15.2) | (41.7–46.8) | (19.9–23.6) | (29.6–31.7) | (14.8–16.4) | |
| 1 year | 36.7 | 24.1 | 54.3 | 35.4 | 39.9 | 26.1 |
| (35.5–38.0) | (23.0–25.2) | (51.7–57.0) | (32.9–38.1) | (38.8–41.1) | (25.1–27.1) | |
| 2 years | 51.2 | 40.6 | 67.4 | 57.1 | 54.1 | 43.5 |
| (49.8–52.6) | (39.2–42.0) | (64.6–70.2) | (54.0–60.3) | (52.8–55.4) | (42.2–44.8) | |
| 3 years | 63.1 | 54.4 | 78.1 | 70.8 | 65.8 | 57.2 |
| (61.5–64.8) | (52.6–56.1) | (74.9–81.2) | (67.2–74.4) | (64.3–67.3) | (55.6–58.8) | |
| 4 years | 71.7 | 65.1 | 88.2 | 78.3 | 74.6 | 67.4 |
| (69.6–73.9) | (62.7–67.7) | (83.7–91.9) | (73.8–82.6) | (72.7–76.5) | (65.3–69.6) | |
* Matched for sex, age, level of care and time under risk.
Multivariable adjusted mortality risk in the hip fracture group (n = 8535) and in controls * (n = 8535) with 95% CI.
| Women (HR (95% CI)) | Men (HR (95% CI)) | Combined (HR (95% CI)) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| x 1–2 months | 2.65 (2.37–2.99) | 3.34 (2.78–4.01) | 2.82 (2.57–3.11) |
| x 3–4 months | 1.92 (1.65–2.23) | 2.07 (1.58–2.72) | 1.96 (1.72–2.23) |
| x 5–6 months | 1.48 (1.24–1.76) | 1.35 (0.96–1.92) | 1.46 (1.25–1.70) |
| x 7–12 months | 1.11 (0.98–1.26) | 1.05 (0.83–1.33) | 1.10 (0.98–1.22) |
| x >12 months | 1.05 (0.96–1.14) | 0.94 (0.78–1.13) | 1.03 (0.95–1.11) |
| - | - | 1.72 (1.62–1.81) | |
| 65–74 years | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 75–84 years | 1.34 (1.17–1.53) | 1.50 (1.24–1.82) | 1.40 (1.25–1.56) |
| 85–94 years | 1.89 (1.66–2.15) | 2.06 (1.71–2.47) | 1.95 (1.76–2.17) |
| ≥95 years | 2.70 (2.30–3.16) | 3.08 (2.36–4.04) | 2.82 (2.47–3.23) |
| 0/I | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| II | 1.23 (1.17–1.30) | 1.22 (1.11–1.35) | 1.12 (1.17–1.29) |
| III | 1.74 (1.50–2.03) | 1.31 (1.02–1.69) | 1.60 (1.40–1.82) |
* Matched for sex, age, level of care and time under risk.