Carlo Federico Zambon1, Vittorio Pengo2, Stefania Moz3, Dania Bozzato3, Paola Fogar4, Andrea Padoan3, Mario Plebani3, Francesca Groppa3, Giovanni De Rosa3, Roberto Padrini5. 1. Department of Biomedical Sciences DSB, Medical School, University of Padova, Via Giustiniani 2, 35128, Padua, Italy. 2. Department of Cardiac, Thoracic and Vascular Sciences, Medical School, University of Padova, Via Giustiniani 2, 35128, Padua, Italy. 3. Department of Medicine DIMED, Medical School, University of Padova, Via Giustiniani 2, 35128, Padua, Italy. 4. Department of Laboratory Medicine, Azienda Ospedaliera di Padova, Via Giustiniani 2, 35128, Padua, Italy. 5. Department of Medicine DIMED, Medical School, University of Padova, Via Giustiniani 2, 35128, Padua, Italy. roberto.padrini@unipd.it.
Abstract
PURPOSE: A previous trial failed to demonstrate the superiority of a demographic-genetic algorithm in predicting warfarin (W) dose over a standard clinical approach. The purpose of the present study is to re-analyse the results in subgroups of patients with differing baseline sensitivity to W, integrated with additional pharmacokinetic data. METHODS: The original trial allocated 180 treatment-naïve patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation to a control arm (CTL, n = 92) or a genetic-guided arm (GEN, n = 88). Before starting anticoagulation treatment, all patients were genotyped for CYP2C9, VKORC1 and CYP4F2 variants and classified into four quartiles (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4) according to the algorithm-predicted W maintenance dose. International normalised ratios (INR) and plasma concentrations of S-warfarin [S-W]s and R-warfarin [R-W]s were measured at baseline and on days 5, 7, 9, 12, 15 and 19 of therapy. RESULTS: In the lowest dose quartile (Q1), the number of INRs > 3 and mean INR values on days 5 and 7 were significantly higher in CTL than in GEN. In Q3 and Q4, the mean INR values reached therapeutic level (> 2) 2 days later in CTL than in GEN. During follow-up, the mean time courses of INRs and [S-W]s in GEN were remarkably stable in all dose quartiles. Thus, mean changes from starting to final doses were significantly smaller in GEN than in CTL. Plasma concentrations of R-W (a partially active enantiomer) steadily increased from day 5 to day 19 in all Qs in both CTL and GEN, except in the Q1 CTL group, due to the marked dose reduction required. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis showed that the demographic-genetic algorithm used to predict the W dose can identify patients with differing degrees of sensitivity to W and to 'normalise' their average anticoagulant responses. The progressive rise in [R-W]s throughout the 19-day follow-up indicates that the (partial) contribution of R-W to the W anticoagulant effect changes continually during the early phase of treatment.
RCT Entities:
PURPOSE: A previous trial failed to demonstrate the superiority of a demographic-genetic algorithm in predicting warfarin (W) dose over a standard clinical approach. The purpose of the present study is to re-analyse the results in subgroups of patients with differing baseline sensitivity to W, integrated with additional pharmacokinetic data. METHODS: The original trial allocated 180 treatment-naïve patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation to a control arm (CTL, n = 92) or a genetic-guided arm (GEN, n = 88). Before starting anticoagulation treatment, all patients were genotyped for CYP2C9, VKORC1 and CYP4F2 variants and classified into four quartiles (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4) according to the algorithm-predicted W maintenance dose. International normalised ratios (INR) and plasma concentrations of S-warfarin [S-W]s and R-warfarin [R-W]s were measured at baseline and on days 5, 7, 9, 12, 15 and 19 of therapy. RESULTS: In the lowest dose quartile (Q1), the number of INRs > 3 and mean INR values on days 5 and 7 were significantly higher in CTL than in GEN. In Q3 and Q4, the mean INR values reached therapeutic level (> 2) 2 days later in CTL than in GEN. During follow-up, the mean time courses of INRs and [S-W]s in GEN were remarkably stable in all dose quartiles. Thus, mean changes from starting to final doses were significantly smaller in GEN than in CTL. Plasma concentrations of R-W (a partially active enantiomer) steadily increased from day 5 to day 19 in all Qs in both CTL and GEN, except in the Q1 CTL group, due to the marked dose reduction required. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis showed that the demographic-genetic algorithm used to predict the W dose can identify patients with differing degrees of sensitivity to W and to 'normalise' their average anticoagulant responses. The progressive rise in [R-W]s throughout the 19-day follow-up indicates that the (partial) contribution of R-W to the W anticoagulant effect changes continually during the early phase of treatment.
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