| Literature DB >> 29391455 |
Florent Fuchs1,2,3, Clémentine Lefevre4, Marie-Victoire Senat4,5,6, Hervé Fernandez4,5,6.
Abstract
Our goal was to evaluate the performance of fetal fibronectin (fFN) test alone or combined with cervical length (CL), to predict spontaneous preterm birth (PTB) in symptomatic twin pregnancies. We carry out a short pilot study including all uncomplicated diamniotic twin pregnancies with symptoms of preterm labor (PTL) and intact membranes at 24-33 weeks + 6 days of gestation. Studied outcome were spontaneous delivery within 7 and 14 days of testing and spontaneous PTB at <34 and <37 weeks of gestation. Among 40 women, fFN test was positive in 3 of them (7.5%). Regardless of the outcome studied CL did not significantly predict PTB. Performance of fFN was sensitivity (66.7%), specificity (97.2%), positive predictive value (66.7%), negative predictive value (97.2%), positive likelihood ratio (LR) (24.0), and negative LR (0.3) to predict spontaneous PTB within 7 days (p = 0.01). Thus, 66.1% of patients with a positive fFN test would deliver within 7 days versus 2.4% if negative testing; starting with a pre-test probability of 7.5%. Combining CL and fFN did not enable to increase enough positive LR or decrease significantly negative LR. In conclusion, fFN test alone might have a better ability to detect spontaneous delivery within 7 days among symptomatic twin pregnancies.Entities:
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Year: 2018 PMID: 29391455 PMCID: PMC5795002 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-20447-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Population characteristics.
| Characteristics | N = 40 |
|---|---|
| Maternal age, years (mean +/− SD) | 29.3 +/− 5.2 |
|
| |
| Europe and Nord Africa | 29 (72.5) |
| Central and West Africa | 5 (12.5) |
| Asian and Indian | 4 (10.0) |
| Other | 2 (5.0) |
| Body Mass Index*, (mean +/−SD) | 22.8 +/−4.3 |
| <18.5 kg/m² (underweight), n (%) | 9 (22.5) |
| 18.5–24.9 kg/m² (normal), n (%) | 22 (55.0) |
| 25–29.9 kg/m² (overweight), n (%) | 5 (12.5) |
| >30 kg/m² (obese), n (%) | 4 (10.0) |
| Nulliparous, n (%) | 29 (72.5) |
| Gestational age at inclusion, weeks (mean +/− SD) | 29.6 +/− 2.8 |
|
| |
| Bishop <5 | 31 (79.55) |
| Bishop ≥5 | 8 (20.5) |
| Cervical length at inclusion, mm (mean +/− SD) | 16.1 +/−8.4 |
| Positive fetal Fibronectin, n (%) | 3 (7.5) |
| Gestational age at delivery, weeks (mean +/− SD) | 34.5+/−3.5 |
| Inclusion to delivery interval, days (median (1st–3rd quartile)) | 28.7 (21.4–47.3) |
| Spontaneous delivery <7 days, n (%) | 3 (7.5) |
| Spontaneous delivery <14 days, n (%) | 6 (15.0) |
*At the beginning of pregnancy
†1 missing data.
Frequency (n) and performance (p value) of positive cervical fetal Fibronectin test and short cervical length at various cut off in predicting the risk of spontaneous preterm delivery (<32 weeks, <34 weeks and <37 weeks) and the risk of spontaneous delivery within 7 days and 14 days of testing, in twin pregnancies with symptoms of preterm labor.
| <7 days | <14 days | <32 weeks | <34 weeks | <37 weeks | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positive cervical fetal fibronectin | n = 2 p = 0.01 | n = 3 p = 0.002 | n = 3 p = 0.01 | n = 3 p = 0.03 | n = 3 p = 0.54 |
| Cervical length <15 mm | n = 3 p = 0.08 | n = 4 p = 0.38 | n = 7 p = 0.14 | n = 7 p = 0.44* | n = 12 p = 0.92* |
| Cervical length <20 mm | n = 3 p = 0.56 | n = 5 p = 1.0 | n = 8 p = 1.0 | n = 10 p = 1.0 | n = 21 p = 0.70 |
| Cervical length <25 mm | n = 3 p = 1.0 | n = 5 p = 0.49 | n = 9 p = 1.0 | n = 12 p = 1.0 | n = 24 p = 1.0 |
Tests used were Fisher exact test except *Chi-2 test.
Prediction performance of different diagnostic methods for different outcomes.
| Sensitivity (%) (95%CI) | Specificity (%) (95%CI) | PPV** (%) (95%CI) | NPV° (%) (95%CI) | LR+† | LR−‡ (95%CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||
| fFN | 11.5 (2.5–30.2) | 100 (75.3–100) | 100 (29.2–100) | 36.1 (20.8–53.8) | — | 0.9 (0.8–1.0) |
| Bishop score ≥5 | 19.2 (6.6–39.4) | 76.9 (46.2–95) | 62.5 (24.5–91.5) | 32.3 (16.7–51.4) | 0.8 (0.2–3.0) | 1.0 (0.7–1.5) |
| Cervical length <25 mm | 88.5 (69.8–97.6) | 7.7 (0.2–36) | 65.7 (47.8–80.9) | 25.0 (0.6–80.6) | 1.0 (0.8–1.2) | 1.5 (0.2–13.0) |
| Positive combination test* | 44.4 (25.5–64.7) | 53.8 (25.1–80.8) | 66.7 (41–86.7) | 31.8 (13.9–54.9) | 1.0 (0.5–2.0) | 1.0 (0.6–1.9) |
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| fFN | 25.0 (5.5–57.2) | 100 (87.2–100) | 100 (29.2–100) | 75.0 (57.8–87.9) | — | 0.8 (0.5–1.0) |
| Bishop score ≥5 | 41.7 (15.2–72.3) | 88.9 (70.8–97.6) | 62.5 (24.5–91.5) | 77.4 (58.9–90.4) | 3.8 (1.1–13.2) | 0.7 (0.4–1.1) |
| Cervical length <25 mm | 91.7 (61.5–99.8) | 11.1 (2.4–29.2) | 31.4 (16.9–49.3) | 75.0 (19.4–99.4) | 1.0 (0.8–1.3) | 0.8 (0.1–6.5) |
| Positive combination test* | 53.8 (25.1–80.8) | 59.3 (38.8–77.6) | 38.9 (17.3–64.3) | 72.7 (49.8–89.3) | 1.3 (0.7–2.6) | 0.8 (0.4–1.5) |
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| fFN | 33.3 (7.5–70.1) | 100 (88.4–100) | 100 (29.2–100) | 83.3 (67.2–93.6) | — | 0.7 (0.4–1.1) |
| Bishop score ≥5 | 55.6 (21.2–86.3) | 90.0 (73.5–97.9) | 62.5 (24.5–91.5) | 87.1 (70.2–96.4) | 5.6 (1.6–18.9) | 0.5 (0.2–1.0) |
| Cervical length <25 mm | 88.9 (51.8–99.7) | 10.0 (2.11–26.5) | 22.9 (10.4–40.1) | 75.0 (19.4–99.4) | 1.0 (0.8–1.3) | 1.1 (0.1–9.4) |
| Positive combination test* | 70.0 (34.8–93.3) | 63.3 (43.9–80.1) | 38.9 (17.3–64.3) | 86.4 (65.1–97.1) | 1.9 (1.0–3.6) | 0.5 (0.2–1.3) |
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| ffn | 66.7 (9.4–99.2) | 97.2 (85.5–99.9) | 66.7 (9.4–99.2) | 97.2 (85.5–99.9) | 24.0 (3.0–194) | 0.3 (0.1–1.7) |
| Bishop score ≥5 | 66.7 (9.4–99.2) | 83.3 (67.2–93.6) | 25.0 (3.2–65.1) | 96.8 (83.3–99.9) | 4.0 (1.4–11.8) | 0.4 (0.1–2.0) |
| Cervical length <25 mm | 100 (29.2–100) | 11.1 (3.11–26.1) | 8.6 (1.8–23.1) | 100 (39.8–100) | 1.1 (1.0–1.3) | — |
| Positive combination test* | 100 (29.2–100) | 59.5 (42.1–75.2) | 16.7 (3.6–41.4) | 100 (84.6–100) | 2.5 (1.7–3.6) | — |
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| fFN | 50.0 (11.8–88.2) | 100 (89.4–100) | 100 (29.2–100) | 91.7 (77.5–98.2) | 0.5 (0.2–1.1) | |
| Bishop score ≥5 | 33.3 (4.3–77.7) | 81.8 (64.5–93 | 25.0 (3.2–65.1) | 87.1 (70.2–96.4) | 1.8 (0.5–7) | 0.8 (0.5–1.5) |
| Cervical length <25 mm | 83.3 (35.9–99.6) | 9.1 (1.9–24.3) | 14.3 (4.8–30.3) | 75.0 (19.4–99.4) | 0.9 (0.6–1.3) | 1.8 (0.2–14.8) |
| Positive combination test* | 66.7 (22.3–95.7) | 58.8 (40.7–75.4) | 22.2 (6.4–47.6) | 90.9 (70.8–98.9) | 1.62 (0.8–3.2) | 0.6 (0.2–1.8) |
*Positive test if cervical length <15 mm or if cervical length = 15–24.9 mm with positive fetal fibronectin (fFN). Negative test if cervical length ≥25 mm or if cervical length = 15–24.9 mm with negative fFN. **Positive Predictive value. °Negative predictive value. †Positive Likelihood ratio. ‡Negative Likelihood ratio.