| Literature DB >> 29329341 |
Marcos D Robles, Dale S Turner, Jeanmarie A Haney.
Abstract
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0187875.].Year: 2018 PMID: 29329341 PMCID: PMC5766237 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0191443
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Climate-flow regression models.
Multiple linear regression models explaining variation in annual and monthly total streamflow for the Salt River near Roosevelt, Arizona [60] based on precipitation and temperature at McNary, Arizona [61]. Models built with full dataset (1914–2012) and re-run for two sub-periods. Final models included explanatory variables that were significant (* < = 0.05, ** < = 0.01, *** < = 0.001) and not correlated, except for precipitation polynomial terms that were needed to satisfy assumptions of linear fit (N.S. denotes non-significance for these terms). Months labeled with ‘75’ indicate only 75% of data were used to eliminate serial correlation of model residuals. Regression models described in more detail in methods section and S1 Table.
| Model | Precipitation | Temperature | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly Flow | Model Type | Time Period | # Years | adj r2 | SE | Prec 1 | Sign | p-value | Prec 2 | Sign | p-value | Temp 1 | Sign | p-value | Temp 2 | Sign | p-value |
| Annual | Linear P | 1915–2012 | 84 | 0.709 | 0.169 | Jul-Jun | + | *** | |||||||||
| " | Linear P | 1915–1963 | 39 | 0.721 | 0.152 | Jul-Jun | + | *** | |||||||||
| " | Linear P, T | 1964–2012 | 45 | 0.728 | 0.177 | Jul-Jun | + | *** | Jul-Jun | - | * | ||||||
| February | Quadratic P, T | 1914–2012 | 88 | 0.668 | 0.270 | Dec-Feb | + | *** | (Dec-Feb)2 | - | * | Nov | - | * | Feb | + | *** |
| " | Quadratic P, T | 1914–1963 | 42 | 0.497 | 0.311 | Dec-Feb | + | *** | (Dec-Feb)2 | - | * | Feb | + | ** | |||
| " | Quadratic P, T | 1964–2012 | 46 | 0.812 | 0.216 | Dec-Feb | + | *** | (Dec-Feb)2 | - | N.S. | Nov | - | *** | Feb | + | * |
| March | Quadratic P, T | 1914–2012 | 88 | 0.751 | 0.212 | Nov-Mar | + | *** | (Nov-Mar)2 | - | *** | Mar | + | * | |||
| " | Quadratic P | 1914–1963 | 42 | 0.637 | 0.205 | Nov-Mar | + | *** | (Nov-Mar)2 | - | * | ||||||
| " | Quadratic P | 1964–2012 | 46 | 0.778 | 0.232 | Nov-Mar | + | *** | (Nov-Mar)2 | - | *** | ||||||
| April | Quadratic P, T | 1914–2012 | 86 | 0.769 | 0.199 | Dec-Apr | + | *** | (Dec-Apr)2 | - | ** | Nov-Jan | - | *** | Mar | - | *** |
| " | Quadratic P, T | 1914–1963 | 40 | 0.595 | 0.247 | Dec-Apr | + | ** | (Dec-Apr)2 | - | N.S. | Mar | - | *** | |||
| " | Quadratic P, T | 1964–2012 | 46 | 0.879 | 0.153 | Dec-Apr | + | *** | (Dec-Apr)2 | - | *** | Nov-Jan | - | *** | Mar | - | * |
| May | Quadratic P, T | 1914–2012 | 85 | 0.820 | 0.167 | Dec-May | + | *** | (Dec-May)2 | - | ** | Nov-Dec | - | * | Mar-Apr | - | *** |
| " | Quadratic P, T | 1914–1963 | 39 | 0.657 | 0.198 | Dec-May | + | *** | (Dec-May)2 | - | * | Mar-Apr | - | *** | |||
| " | Quadratic P, T | 1964–2012 | 46 | 0.896 | 0.141 | Dec-May | + | *** | (Dec-May)2 | - | ** | Nov-Dec | - | * | Mar-Apr | - | *** |
| June | Quadratic P, T | 1914–2012 | 89 | 0.732 | 0.157 | Nov-May | + | *** | (Nov-May)2 | - | N.S. | Apr-May | - | *** | |||
| " | Quadratic P, T | 1914–1963 | 43 | 0.604 | 0.171 | Nov-May | + | * | (Nov-May)2 | - | N.S. | Apr-May | - | * | |||
| " | Quadratic P, T | 1964–2012 | 46 | 0.801 | 0.149 | Nov-May | + | *** | (Nov-May)2 | - | N.S. | Apr-May | - | * | |||
| July75 | Linear P | 1914–2012 | 67 | 0.278 | 0.181 | Jan-Mar | + | ** | Jul | + | *** | ||||||
| " | Linear P | 1914–1963 | 33 | 0.279 | 0.214 | Jul | + | *** | |||||||||
| " | Linear P | 1964–2012 | 34 | 0.280 | 0.144 | Jan-Mar | + | * | Jul | + | ** | ||||||
| August75 | Linear P, T | 1914–2012 | 69 | 0.405 | 0.210 | Jul-Aug | + | *** | Aug | - | ** | ||||||
| " | Linear P | 1914–1963 | 33 | 0.523 | 0.186 | Jul-Aug | + | *** | |||||||||
| " | Linear P, T | 1964–2012 | 36 | 0.369 | 0.221 | Jul-Aug | + | *** | Aug | - | ** | ||||||
| September | Linear P, T | 1914–2012 | 92 | 0.435 | 0.211 | Aug | + | *** | Sep | + | *** | Sep | - | ** | |||
| " | Linear P | 1914–1963 | 44 | 0.475 | 0.230 | Aug | + | ** | Sep | + | *** | ||||||
| " | Linear P, T | 1964–2012 | 48 | 0.382 | 0.193 | Aug | + | * | Sep | + | *** | Sep | - | * | |||
| November75 | Linear P, T | 1914–2012 | 71 | 0.552 | 0.190 | Oct | + | *** | Nov | + | *** | Oct | - | * | |||
| " | Linear P | 1914–1963 | 35 | 0.205 | 0.242 | Oct | + | * | Nov | + | ** | ||||||
| " | Linear P | 1964–2012 | 36 | 0.809 | 0.130 | Oct | + | *** | Nov | + | *** | ||||||