| Literature DB >> 29302011 |
Terry P Hughes1, Kristen D Anderson1, Sean R Connolly1,2, Scott F Heron3,4, James T Kerry1, Janice M Lough1,5, Andrew H Baird1, Julia K Baum6, Michael L Berumen7, Tom C Bridge1,8, Danielle C Claar6, C Mark Eakin3, James P Gilmour9, Nicholas A J Graham1,10, Hugo Harrison1, Jean-Paul A Hobbs11, Andrew S Hoey1, Mia Hoogenboom1,2, Ryan J Lowe12, Malcolm T McCulloch12, John M Pandolfi13, Morgan Pratchett1, Verena Schoepf12, Gergely Torda1,5, Shaun K Wilson14.
Abstract
Tropical reef systems are transitioning to a new era in which the interval between recurrent bouts of coral bleaching is too short for a full recovery of mature assemblages. We analyzed bleaching records at 100 globally distributed reef locations from 1980 to 2016. The median return time between pairs of severe bleaching events has diminished steadily since 1980 and is now only 6 years. As global warming has progressed, tropical sea surface temperatures are warmer now during current La Niña conditions than they were during El Niño events three decades ago. Consequently, as we transition to the Anthropocene, coral bleaching is occurring more frequently in all El Niño-Southern Oscillation phases, increasing the likelihood of annual bleaching in the coming decades.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29302011 DOI: 10.1126/science.aan8048
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Science ISSN: 0036-8075 Impact factor: 47.728