Azra Ramezankhani1, Fereidoun Azizi2, Farzad Hadaegh3, Amir Abbas Momenan1. 1. Prevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Floor 3th, Number 24, Yemen Street, Shahid Chamran Highway, P.O. Box: 19395-4763, Tehran, Iran. 2. Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. 3. Prevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Floor 3th, Number 24, Yemen Street, Shahid Chamran Highway, P.O. Box: 19395-4763, Tehran, Iran. fzhadaegh@endocrine.ac.ir.
Abstract
AIMS: We quantified the impact of type 2 diabetes on incidence of non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality, considering CVD as a continuum from occurrence of diabetes to the end point, and estimated the 15-year life expectancy with and without CVD. METHODS: A total of 7239 Iranian adults (3246 men), aged ≥ 30 years, were followed from 1999 to 2014. We applied a multi-state semi-Markov model with three transitions including CVD-free to non-fatal CVD, CVD-free to death and non-fatal CVD to death, and studied the influence of diabetes on each transition rate, stratifying by sex and adjusting for confounders. RESULTS: Diabetes was significantly associated with increased risk of non-fatal CVD in men [hazard ratio, 1.70 (1.36-3.53)] and women [2.19 (1.74-2.77)], and of all-cause death [2.72 (2.03-3.63) and 1.92 (1.37-2.67) in men and women, respectively]. An increased risk of mortality was found only among diabetic men, when non-fatal CVD was occurred [2.19 (1.36-3.53)]. Men with diabetes experienced first non-fatal CVD and death without CVD 1.7 and 1.4 years, respectively, earlier than those without diabetes; the corresponding values were 1.4 and 0.7 years for women. Moreover, diabetic men lived 1.3 years less than non-diabetic counterparts when non-fatal CVD was occurred. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes increased the risk of non-fatal CVD events and all-cause mortality and consequently decreased the number of years lived without CVD. A decrease in LE was found only among diabetic men compared to non-diabetics after non-fatal CVD occurred.
AIMS: We quantified the impact of type 2 diabetes on incidence of non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality, considering CVD as a continuum from occurrence of diabetes to the end point, and estimated the 15-year life expectancy with and without CVD. METHODS: A total of 7239 Iranian adults (3246 men), aged ≥ 30 years, were followed from 1999 to 2014. We applied a multi-state semi-Markov model with three transitions including CVD-free to non-fatal CVD, CVD-free to death and non-fatal CVD to death, and studied the influence of diabetes on each transition rate, stratifying by sex and adjusting for confounders. RESULTS:Diabetes was significantly associated with increased risk of non-fatal CVD in men [hazard ratio, 1.70 (1.36-3.53)] and women [2.19 (1.74-2.77)], and of all-cause death [2.72 (2.03-3.63) and 1.92 (1.37-2.67) in men and women, respectively]. An increased risk of mortality was found only among diabeticmen, when non-fatal CVD was occurred [2.19 (1.36-3.53)]. Men with diabetes experienced first non-fatal CVD and death without CVD 1.7 and 1.4 years, respectively, earlier than those without diabetes; the corresponding values were 1.4 and 0.7 years for women. Moreover, diabeticmen lived 1.3 years less than non-diabetic counterparts when non-fatal CVD was occurred. CONCLUSIONS:Diabetes increased the risk of non-fatal CVD events and all-cause mortality and consequently decreased the number of years lived without CVD. A decrease in LE was found only among diabeticmen compared to non-diabetics after non-fatal CVD occurred.