| Literature DB >> 29291094 |
Surina Esterhuyse1, Frank Sokolic1, Nola Redelinghuys2, Marinda Avenant1, Andrzej Kijko3, Jan Glazewski4, Lisa Plit4, Marthie Kemp1, Ansie Smit3, A Tascha Vos1, Michael J von Maltitz5.
Abstract
Various biophysical and socio-economic impacts may be associated with unconventional oil and gas (UOG) extraction. A vulnerability map may assist governments during environmental assessments, spatial planning and the regulation of UOG extraction, as well as decision-making around UOG extraction in fragile areas. A regional interactive vulnerability map was developed for UOG extraction in South Africa. This map covers groundwater, surface water, vegetation, socio-economics and seismicity as mapping themes, based on impacts that may emanate from UOG extraction. The mapping themes were developed using a normative approach, where expert input during the identification and classification of vulnerability indicators may increase the acceptability of the resultant map. This article describes the development of the interactive vulnerability map for South Africa, where UOG extraction is not yet allowed and where regulations are still being developed to manage this activity. The importance and policy implications of using vulnerability maps for managing UOG extraction impacts in countries where UOG extraction is planned are highlighted in this article.Entities:
Keywords: South Africa; environmental assessment and protection; regulation; unconventional oil and gas; vulnerability map
Year: 2017 PMID: 29291094 PMCID: PMC5717668 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.171044
Source DB: PubMed Journal: R Soc Open Sci ISSN: 2054-5703 Impact factor: 2.963
Figure 1.Process for the development of the interactive vulnerability map.
Experts used during the development of the UOG vulnerability map.
| respondent information | surface water | groundwater | vegetation | socio-economics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| number of respondents approached | 20 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| number of informants participating | 10 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| profile of respondents | invertebrate specialists; vertebrate specialists; water quality specialists in academia, government and industry | groundwater specialists in academia, consultancy and government | vegetation specialists in consultancy and academia | academia; agricultural economists; environmental consultants; human geographers; population–environment–development (PED) specialists |
Base layer and overlay indicators.
| indicators | surface water | groundwater | seismicity | socio-economics | vegetation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base layer indicators | river condition/vulnerability ( | drastic groundwater vulnerability | peak ground acceleration | aggregated map ( | aggregated map |
| population indicators: population density per area ( | ecosystem threat status | ||||
| wetland vulnerability ( | environment indicators: % of population dependent on groundwater per area ( | ecosystem protection level | |||
| development indicators: % of population employed by agriculture per area ( | |||||
| overlay indicators | wetland clusters | Vegter's groundwater regions | population density | assessment in areas as identified in regulations under the | aquifer-dependent ecosystems |
| threatened and near threatened fish species | subterranean groundwater control areas | subterranean groundwater control areas | critical biodiversity areas and associated ecological support areas | ||
| strategic water sources | boreholes | vegetation of South Africa | |||
| rivers | |||||
| water management areas | |||||
| geological structures (1 : 1 000 000 scale) and springs | |||||
| mining and petroleum resource production legally prohibited | |||||
| onshore PASA permit areas (TCP and ER areas) | |||||
| roads | |||||
Vulnerability classes for river condition using the DEC from the 2011–2013 PESEIS data [22] and for wetland ranks, using the wetland rank data from the NFEPA study [24].
| river condition | wetland ranks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vulnerability description | suggested classes | colour code | vulnerability description | suggested classes | colour code |
| uncategorized | DEC = uncategorized | grey | not applicable | ||
| very low | DEC = E/F (E, seriously modified; F, critically modified) | blue | very low | no wetland | blue |
| low | DEC = D (largely modified) | green | low | not WetFEPA | green |
| moderate | DEC = C (moderately modified) | yellow | moderate | presence of frogs and or CWAC (coordinated waterbird counts) | yellow |
| high | DEC = B (largely natural/few modifications) | orange | high | presence of cranes | orange |
| very high | DEC = A (unmodified/natural) | red | very high | presence of WetFEPA and/or Ramsar site | red |
Figure 2.(a) Map indicating river condition/vulnerability using DEC data from the 2011–2013 PESEIS data [22]. (b) Wetland vulnerability according to five vulnerability classes using wetland rank data from the NFEPA study [22].
Base layer indicators per mapping dimension of the PED nexus.
| mapping dimension | base layer indicator |
|---|---|
| population | population density per area |
| % of population under 5 years of age per area | |
| environment | % of population dependent on groundwater per area |
| development | % of population employed by agriculture per area |
| % of female-headed households per area |
Vulnerability classification of base layer socio-economic indicators.
| indicator | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vulnerability description | colour code | number of people per km2 | % of children under 5 per area | % of population dependent on groundwater as a domestic water source | % of the population employed by agriculture per area | % of female-headed households per area |
| very low vulnerability | blue | 0–10 | <11.49 | 0–10% | 0–1.99% | <36% |
| low vulnerability | green | 11–50 | 11.5–12.49 | 11–20% | 2–3.99% | 37–40% |
| medium vulnerability | yellow | 51–100 | 12.5–13.99 | 21–30% | 4–7.99% | 41–45% |
| high vulnerability | orange | 101–500 | 14–15.49 | 31–50% | 8–15.99% | 46–50% |
| very high vulnerability | red | >500 | ≥15.5 | ≥51% | ≥16% | ≥51% |
Socio-economic theme base layer weighting percentages.
| indicator | weight |
|---|---|
| population density | 5% |
| children under 5 years | 15% |
| groundwater dependence | 40% |
| female-headed households | 10% |
| employment | 30% |
Figure 3.(a) Population density—data sources [29,30]. (b) Percentage of children under 5 years per area—data sources [29,30]. (c) Groundwater dependence for domestic use per area—data sources [29,30]. (d) Percentage of people employed by agriculture per area—data sources [29,30]. (e) Percentage of female-headed households per area—data sources [29,30]. (f) Aggregated map for socio-economics area—data sources [29,30].