| Literature DB >> 29273801 |
C López-Calderón1, K A Hobson2,3, A Marzal4, J Balbontín5, M Reviriego4, S Magallanes4, L García-Longoria4, F de Lope4, Anders P Møller6.
Abstract
Previous studies have linked winter habitat with subsequent breeding phenology and physical condition of migratory birds, but few have found delayed effects of winter habitat on subsequent reproductive success. The aim of this study was to test if African winter habitat is related to subsequent reproductive success of house martins (Delichon urbicum) breeding at a colony in Spain. We measured stable isotope (δ2H, δ13C, δ15N) values from feathers moulted in West Africa and used confirmatory path analysis to test if isotopic values of winter-grown feathers were related to reproductive success through the mediation of breeding phenology and body condition. We conducted separate analyses for males, females and age classes (yearlings vs ≥ 2 years old). Experienced males wintering in habitats of higher rainfall (as inferred from lower feather δ2H values) were in better body condition and produced more offspring during the subsequent breeding season. In contrast, we did not find any effect of winter habitat on reproductive success of young males or females. These findings provide evidence consistent with a complex causal link between winter habitat quality and subsequent breeding success of long-distance migratory songbirds.Entities:
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Year: 2017 PMID: 29273801 PMCID: PMC5741763 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-18497-2
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Path diagrams of the models developed for experienced male house martins (a), young males (b), experienced females (c) and young females (d). One-headed arrows represent a causal effect of one variable on another (i.e. a path). Double-headed arrows link variables with correlated errors. The width of the arrows reflects the magnitude of standardized path coefficients. Black arrows indicate significant positive effects, red arrows significant negative effects and grey arrows non-significant effects.
Summary results from confirmatory path analyses built for each age and sex class. Estimates shown here are standardized path coefficients (i.e. slopes of effects). R2 shown here is the conditional R2, based on fixed and random effects. Sample size is 38, 28, 52 and 77, respectively, for experienced males, experienced females, young males and young females. Significant effects are highlighted in bold.
| Model | Response | Predictor | estimate | SE | P | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| No. fledglings |
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| 0.340 |
| Laying date | −0.261 | 0.162 | 0.136 | |||
| Laying date | δ2H | 0.217 | 0.153 | 0.169 | 0.418 | |
| δ13C | −0.273 | 0.182 | 0.160 | |||
| δ15N | −0.021 | 0.163 | 0.899 | |||
| Scaled body mass index |
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| 0.338 | |
| δ13C | 0.147 | 0.180 | 0.450 | |||
| δ15N | 0.109 | 0.163 | 0.516 | |||
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| No. fledglings | Scaled body mass index | 0.017 | 0.141 | 0.908 | 0.025 |
| Laying date | −0.161 | 0.141 | 0.299 | |||
| Laying date | δ2H | 0.249 | 0.141 | 0.099 | 0.350 | |
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| Scaled body mass index | δ2H | −0.122 | 0.145 | 0.430 | 0.340 | |
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| No. fledglings | Scaled body mass index | −0.034 | 0.204 | 0.896 | 0.002 |
| Laying date | 0.017 | 0.204 | 0.939 | |||
| Laying date | δ2H | 0.229 | 0.197 | 0.279 | 0.205 | |
| δ13C | −0.207 | 0.206 | 0.379 | |||
| δ15N | 0.242 | 0.198 | 0.244 | |||
| Scaled body mass index | δ2H | −0.088 | 0.194 | 0.664 | 0.285 | |
| δ13C | −0.229 | 0.209 | 0.316 | |||
| δ15N | −0.142 | 0.191 | 0.472 | |||
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| Number of fledglings | Scaled body mass index | −0.025 | 0.118 | 0.841 | 0.038 |
| Laying date | −0.133 | 0.123 | 0.369 | |||
| Laying date | δ2H | −0.010 | 0.100 | 0.923 | 0.477 | |
| δ13C | −0.105 | 0.094 | 0.269 | |||
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| Scaled body mass index | δ2H | 0.150 | 0.110 | 0.179 | 0.519 | |
| δ13C | 0.114 | 0.103 | 0.273 | |||
| δ15N | −0.046 | 0.103 | 0.656 |
Figure 2Relationship between feather δ2H and reproductive success of experienced male house martins from Badajoz (southwestern Spain). Points represent observed values. The line shows predicted values obtained from the standardized path coefficients of the confirmatory path analysis fitted for experienced males. The increase across feather δ2H range of values is predicted to decrease one fledgling reared by experienced males. Predicted values were obtained leaving δ13C and δ15N constant at their means, and taking into account only fixed effects.
Figure 3Assigned wintering areas for house martin Delichon urbicum breeding at Badajoz (southwestern Spain). African isotopic clusters were generated in ArcGis 10.2.2. (http://support.esri.com/es/Products/Desktop/arcgis-desktop/arcmap/10-2-2), following previously described methods[44]. Land cover classification layer was obtained from freely available images[55].