| Literature DB >> 29263709 |
Seigo Minami1, Yoshitaka Ogata1, Shouichi Ihara1, Suguru Yamamoto1, Kiyoshi Komuta1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Various biomarkers have been shown to predict prognosis in various types of cancers. However, these biomarkers have not been studied in advanced small cell lung cancer (SCLC). The modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) is based on serum albumin level and C-reactive protein (CRP). The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is a combination of serum albumin level and absolute lymphocyte count. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of mGPS and PNI in SCLC.Entities:
Keywords: modified Glasgow prognostic score; overall survival; prognostic nutritional index; progression-free survival; small cell lung cancer
Year: 2017 PMID: 29263709 PMCID: PMC5726358 DOI: 10.2147/LCTT.S142880
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Lung Cancer (Auckl) ISSN: 1179-2728
Clinical manifestations according to mGPS and PNI at first-line chemotherapy
| Variables | All patients | mGPS
| PNI
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 2 | Low (<44.3) | High (≥44.3) | ||||
| Patients (N) | 97 | 65 | 32 | 46 | 51 | ||
| Age (years), mean ± SD | 70.5±8.7 | 70.0±8.8 | 71.7±8.4 | 0.36 | 72.3±7.5 | 69.0±9.4 | 0.06 |
| Sex, male/female (n) | 77/20 | 51/14 | 26/6 | 1.00 | 38/8 | 39/12 | 0.62 |
| Stage IIIB/IV (n) | 18/79 | 14/51 | 4/28 | 0.41 | 6/40 | 12/39 | 0.20 |
| Extrathoracic distant metastasis (n) | |||||||
| Brain | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1.00 | 6 | 8 | 0.78 |
| Liver | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0.49 | 14 | 15 | 1.00 |
| Bone | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.56 | 8 | 7 | 0.78 |
| Adrenal gland | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0.20 | 9 | 3 | 0.06 |
| ECOG-PS 0–1/2/3 (n) | 66/20/11 | 47/15/3 | 19/5/8 | 0.02 | 26/9/11 | 40/11/0 | <0.01 |
| Smoking status | |||||||
| NS or Ex/CS (n) | 30/67 | 19/46 | 11/21 | 0.65 | 13/33 | 17/34 | 0.66 |
| BMI (kg/m2), mean ± SD | 22.7±4.0 | 23.5±3.7 | 21.3±4.2 | 0.02 | 21.2±3.8 | 24.1±3.6 | <0.01 |
| First-line regimen (n) | |||||||
| CDDP/CBDCA | 21/76 | 17/48 | 4/28 | 0.19 | 5/41 | 16/35 | 0.02 |
| VP-16/CPT-11 | 82/15 | 52/13 | 30/2 | 0.13 | 42/4 | 40/11 | 0.10 |
| Second-line, yes/no (n) | 57/40 | 42/23 | 15/17 | 0.13 | 21/25 | 36/15 | 0.01 |
| Response to first-line regimen (n) | |||||||
| Complete response | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | ||
| Partial response | 60 | 41 | 19 | 26 | 34 | ||
| Stable disease | 14 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 5 | ||
| Progressive disease | 12 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 | ||
| Not evaluated | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | ||
| RR, % (95% CI) | 64.9 (54.6–74.4) | 67.7 (54.9–78.8) | 59.4 (40.6–76.3) | 0.50 | 56.5 (41.1–71.1) | 72.5 (58.3–84.1) | 0.14 |
| DCR, % (95% CI) | 79.4 (70.0–86.9) | 81.5 (70.0–90.1) | 75.0 (56.6–88.5) | 0.59 | 76.1 (61.2–87.4) | 82.4 (69.1–91.6) | 0.46 |
| Laboratory data, mean ± SD | |||||||
| Lym (×103/μL) | 1.6±0.7 | 1.7±0.7 | 1.5±0.8 | 0.36 | 1.2±0.6 | 2.0±0.6 | <0.01 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | 3.5±0.6 | 3.9±0.3 | 2.9±0.4 | <0.01 | 3.1±0.5 | 3.9±0.4 | <0.01 |
| CRP (mg/dL) | 3.1±5.4 | 1.3±2.2 | 6.9±7.6 | <0.01 | 4.9±7.0 | 1.6±2.5 | <0.01 |
Notes:
Welch’s t-test,
Fisher’s exact test.
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CBDCA, carboplatin; CDDP, cisplatin; CPT-11, irinotecan; CI, confidence interval; CRP, C-reactive protein; CS, current smoker; DCR, disease control rate; ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status; Ex, ex-smoker, Lym, lymphocyte count; mGPS, modified Glasgow prognostic score; NS, never smoker, PNI, prognostic nutritional index; RR, response rate; SD, standard deviation; VP-16, etoposide.
Figure 1Kaplan–Meier curves of overall survival according to mGPS and PNI.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; mGPS, modified Glasgow prognostic score; n, number of patients; PNI, prognostic nutritional index.
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier curves of PFS according to mGPS and PNI.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; mGPS, modified Glasgow prognostic score; n, number of patients; PFS, progression-free survival; PNI, prognostic nutritional index.
Univariate Cox hazard analysis of factors associated with OS and PFS
| Variables | OS
| PFS
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Age (years) | ||||||
| <75 vs ≥75 | 1.11 | 0.69–1.78 | 0.67 | 1.23 | 0.79–1.92 | 0.36 |
| Sex | ||||||
| Female vs male | 0.87 | 0.50–1.49 | 0.61 | 1.17 | 0.69–1.96 | 0.57 |
| Stage | ||||||
| IIIB vs IV | 1.41 | 0.78–2.52 | 0.25 | 1.11 | 0.65–1.90 | 0.71 |
| Extrathoracic distant metastasis | ||||||
| Brain | 1.98 | 1.03–3.81 | 0.04 | 2.03 | 1.08–3.83 | 0.03 |
| Liver | 1.73 | 1.04–2.89 | 0.03 | 1.19 | 0.74–1.93 | 0.47 |
| Bone | 1.85 | 1.01–3.40 | 0.046 | 1.30 | 0.73–2.31 | 0.37 |
| Adrenal gland | 1.97 | 0.97–4.00 | 0.06 | 2.05 | 1.04–4.06 | 0.04 |
| Smoking | ||||||
| Ex, NS vs CS | 0.94 | 0.59–1.53 | 0.82 | 0.87 | 0.56–1.36 | 0.54 |
| ECOG-PS | ||||||
| 0–1 vs 2–4 | 3.33 | 2.05–5.41 | <0.01 | 2.00 | 1.27–3.16 | <0.01 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | ||||||
| ≥18.5 vs <18.5 | 1.70 | 0.93–3.11 | 0.09 | 1.45 | 0.80–2.64 | 0.22 |
| Platinum based | ||||||
| CDDP vs CBDCA | 1.40 | 0.78–2.51 | 0.26 | 1.50 | 0.88–2.56 | 0.14 |
| Partner drugs | ||||||
| CPT-11 vs VP-16 | 1.51 | 0.77–2.96 | 0.23 | 1.89 | 1.00–3.59 | 0.05 |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | 0.90 | 0.80–1.02 | 0.09 | 0.92 | 0.82–1.04 | 0.17 |
| RDW (%) | 1.03 | 0.83–1.28 | 0.79 | 1.13 | 0.93–1.38 | 0.22 |
| Ccr (mL/min) (×10−1) | 0.88 | 0.76–1.01 | 0.07 | 0.92 | 0.81–1.05 | 0.21 |
| Sodium (mEq/L) (×10−1) | 0.65 | 0.40–1.06 | 0.08 | 0.56 | 0.36–0.86 | <0.01 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | 0.41 | 0.26–0.64 | <0.01 | 0.59 | 0.40–0.88 | 0.01 |
| LDH (IU/L) (×10−2) | 1.21 | 1.08–1.37 | <0.01 | 1.12 | 1.01–1.24 | 0.04 |
| ALP (IU/L) (×10−2) | 1.08 | 1.01–1.16 | 0.04 | 1.10 | 1.02–1.19 | 0.02 |
| CRP (mg/dL) | 1.05 | 1.01–1.09 | 0.02 | 1.05 | 1.01–1.09 | 0.02 |
| mGPS | ||||||
| 0, 1 vs 2 | 1.92 | 1.19–3.07 | 0.01 | 1.47 | 0.95–2.29 | 0.09 |
| PNI (×10−1) | 0.51 | 0.35–0.73 | <0.01 | 0.72 | 0.52–0.98 | 0.04 |
Abbreviations: ALP, alkaline phosphatase; BMI, body mass index; CBDCA, carboplatin; Ccr, creatinine clearance; CDDP, cisplatin; CI, confidence interval; CPT-11, irinotecan; CRP, C-reactive protein; CS, current smoker; ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status; Ex, ex-smoker; HR, hazard ratio; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; mGPS, modified Glasgow prognostic score; NS, never smoker; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; PNI, prognostic nutritional index; RDW, red cell distribution width; VP-16, etoposide.
Multivariate Cox hazard analysis of the association between OS and mGPS or PNI
| Variables | mGPS
| PNI
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Brain metastasis | 2.91 | 1.23–6.84 | 0.01 | 3.82 | 1.57–9.31 | <0.01 |
| Liver metastasis | 1.07 | 0.55–2.08 | 0.85 | 1.41 | 0.72–2.76 | 0.31 |
| Bone metastasis | 1.46 | 0.69–3.07 | 0.32 | 1.60 | 0.75–3.42 | 0.22 |
| Adrenal gland metastasis | 1.04 | 0.40–2.69 | 0.94 | 0.76 | 0.28–2.07 | 0.59 |
| ECOG-PS | ||||||
| 0–1 vs 2–4 | 4.11 | 2.20–7.67 | <0.01 | 3.67 | 1.96–6.85 | <0.01 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | ||||||
| ≥18.5 vs <18.5 | 1.19 | 0.52–2.73 | 0.68 | 1.30 | 0.57–2.94 | 0.53 |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | 1.13 | 0.95–1.34 | 0.17 | 1.15 | 0.97–1.36 | 0.11 |
| Ccr (mL/min) (×10−1) | 0.97 | 0.81–1.16 | 0.74 | 1.01 | 0.84–1.21 | 0.96 |
| Sodium (mEq/L) (×10−1) | 0.82 | 0.47–1.43 | 0.49 | 0.99 | 0.57–1.73 | 0.98 |
| LDH (IU/L) (×10−2) | 1.07 | 0.91–1.25 | 0.44 | 1.06 | 0.89–1.26 | 0.54 |
| ALP (IU/L) (×10−2) | 1.06 | 0.94–1.20 | 0.32 | 1.03 | 0.91–1.15 | 0.66 |
| CRP (mg/dL) | NA | NA | NA | 1.05 | 0.99–1.11 | 0.13 |
| mGPS | ||||||
| 0, 1 vs 2 | 2.34 | 1.27–4.31 | <0.01 | NA | NA | NA |
| PNI (×10−1) | NA | NA | NA | 0.50 | 0.31–0.78 | <0.01 |
Abbreviations: ALP, alkaline phosphatase; BMI, body mass index; Ccr, creatinine clearance; CI, confidence interval; CRP, C-reactive protein; ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status; HR, hazard ratio; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; mGPS, modified Glasgow prognostic score; NA, not applicable; OS, overall survival; PNI, prognostic nutritional index.
Multivariate Cox hazard analysis of the association between PFS and mGPS or PNI
| Variables | mGPS
| PNI
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Brain metastasis | 1.98 | 0.93–4.23 | 0.08 | 2.22 | 1.02–4.83 | 0.04 |
| Adrenal gland metastasis | 1.29 | 0.53–3.16 | 0.57 | 1.10 | 0.43–2.79 | 0.85 |
| ECOG-PS | ||||||
| 0–1 vs 2–4 | 1.69 | 1.04–2.76 | 0.04 | 1.76 | 1.06–2.91 | 0.03 |
| Partner drugs | ||||||
| CPT-11 vs VP-16 | 1.41 | 0.71–2.81 | 0.32 | 1.39 | 0.68–2.84 | 0.37 |
| Sodium (mEq/L) (×10−1) | 0.60 | 0.37–0.98 | 0.04 | 0.64 | 0.39–1.06 | 0.08 |
| LDH (IU/L) (×10−2) | 1.04 | 0.92–1.18 | 0.54 | 1.02 | 0.90–1.16 | 0.73 |
| ALP (IU/L) (×10−2) | 1.06 | 0.97–1.17 | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.96–1.18 | 0.23 |
| CRP (mg/dL) | NA | NA | NA | 1.03 | 0.98–1.08 | 0.28 |
| mGPS | ||||||
| 0, 1 vs 2 | 1.05 | 0.64–1.71 | 0.85 | NA | NA | NA |
| PNI (×10−1) | NA | NA | NA | 1.02 | 0.70–1.49 | 0.92 |
Abbreviations: ALP, alkaline phosphatase; CI, confidence interval; CPT-11, irinotecan; CRP, C-reactive protein; ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status; HR, hazard ratio; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; mGPS, modified Glasgow prognostic score; NA, not applicable; PFS, progression-free survival; PNI, prognostic nutritional index; VP-16, etoposide.
Review of multivariate analyses for prediction of survival outcomes in patients with SCLC
| Reference | Patients (number)
| Multivariate analyses
| |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total/ED/chemo/TRT | Outcome variables | Explanatory variables
| |||||||
| Age | Sex | Stage | PS | LDH | Index type | Index signficance | |||
| Hong et al | 724/323/724/271 | OS | N | N | Y | Y | Y | PNI | Y |
| Hong et al | 919/367/760/ND | OS | N | N | Y | N | Y | PNI | N |
| Zhou et al | 359/196/359/166 | OS | N | Y | Y | Y | Y | mGPS | Y |
| Kurishima et al | 319/216/276/ND | OS | N | NE | Y | N | NE | mGPS | Y |
| Our study | 96/78/96/0 | OS | NE | NE | NE | Y | N | mGPS, PNI | Y |
| PFS | NE | NE | NE | Y | N | mGPS, PNI | N | ||
Abbreviations: chemo, chemotherapy; ED, extensive disease; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; mGPS, modified Glasgow prognostic score; N, not significant; ND, not described; NE, not evaluated; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; PNI, prognostic nutritional index; PS, performance status; SCLC, small cell lung cancer; TRT, thoracic radiotherapy; Y, statistically significant.