| Literature DB >> 29263283 |
D R Daversa1,2,3, A Fenton4, A I Dell5,6, T W J Garner2, A Manica3.
Abstract
Animal movement impacts the spread of human and wildlife diseases, and there is significant interest in understanding the role of migrations, biological invasions and other wildlife movements in spatial infection dynamics. However, the influence of processes acting on infections during transient phases of host movement is poorly understood. We propose a conceptual framework that explicitly considers infection dynamics during transient phases of host movement to better predict infection spread through spatial host networks. Accounting for host transient movement captures key processes that occur while hosts move between locations, which together determine the rate at which hosts spread infections through networks. We review theoretical and empirical studies of host movement and infection spread, highlighting the multiple factors that impact the infection status of hosts. We then outline characteristics of hosts, parasites and the environment that influence these dynamics. Recent technological advances provide disease ecologists unprecedented ability to track the fine-scale movement of organisms. These, in conjunction with experimental testing of the factors driving infection dynamics during host movement, can inform models of infection spread based on constituent biological processes.Entities:
Keywords: epidemiology; host–parasite interactions; metapopulations; movement; networks; spatial modelling
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 29263283 PMCID: PMC5745403 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2017.1807
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Proc Biol Sci ISSN: 0962-8452 Impact factor: 5.349
Figure 1.Metapopulation-based spatial disease models track locations of hosts and either (a) simulate infection spread based on connectivity measures without explicitly considering host movement or (b) define proportion of hosts that change locations between time steps (white arrow) with infection spread occurring from a proportion of hosts that change from infected locations to susceptible locations (striped arrow). (c) Coupled metapopulation models link local processes such as transmission (thin black arrow) to the between-location processes of host movement and infection spread. (d) Individual-based network models track movements of each host (denoted by subscripts i,j).
Figure 2.(a) Framework for capturing transient phase infection dynamics. The movement path of hosts and their infections (intensity/probability represented by darker shading of the arrow being higher intensity/probability) are categorized into three phases: departure, transience and arrival. During transience, infections are lost/reduced through background or disease-induced mortality of infected hosts, or as conditions during transience decrease exposure and/or cause deterioration of infections (i.e. recovery). Mechanisms that drive recovery include: (b–c) movement through habitats unsuitable for infections, which may occur with protozoal infections during monarch butterfly migrations [6] and with tick infections during ranging movements of livestock [41]; (d) enhancement of immune function during periods of movement, which may occur in migratory red knots [42]; and (e) dispersion of hosts that reduces contact, as evidenced by sea lice infections in migratory pink salmon [43]. Mechanisms that increase the force of infection during transience include: (g–f) movement through habitats with viable infective stages, which occurs with parasitic nematodes in migratory saiga [8] and dispersing pygmy blue tongue lizards [9]; (h) immunosuppression, such as the proliferation of latent bacterial infections in migratory redwing thrushes [44]; and (i) host aggregation, which occurs with avian influenza virus (AIV) infections during stopovers by migrating sandpipers [45]. (Online version in colour.)
Figure 3.Dynamics of the total number of hosts and the number of infected ones during the transient moving phase as predicted from a mathematical model, assuming parasite transmission from the environment. (a) Total number of individuals (M) and number of infected individuals (I) undergoing transient movement through time. (b) Cumulative total number of individuals (A) and number of infected individuals arriving at the destination location through time (AI). We emphasize that this figure is for illustrative purposes only, created using arbitrary parameter values that do not relate to values from any particular empirical system (d = 1, α = 0.1, Λ = 1, σ = 0.1, υ = 0.2). (Online version in colour.)