Age-Corrected Trends and Toxic Equivalence of PCDD/F and CP-PCBs in Lake Trout and Walleye from the Great Lakes: 2004-2014.

Our research reports polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs), polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs), and coplanar polychlorinated biphenyls (CP-PCBs) concentrations and age-corrected trends for lake trout and walleye in the Great Lakes over the 2004-2014 period. We determined that age-contaminant corrections are required to accurately report contaminant trends due to significant lake trout age structure changes. The age-trend model (ATM) described here uses a lake-specific age-contaminant regression to mitigate the effect of a fluctuating lake trout age structure to directly improve the log-linear regression model. ATM results indicate that half-life (t1/2) and percent decreases for PCDD/Fs, CP-PCBs, and toxic equivalence (TEQ) (average -56 to 70%) were fairly uniform and consistent across the Great Lakes over the 2004-2014 period. The vast majority of TEQ associated with all Great Lakes lake trout and walleye samples is due to the nonortho CP-PCBs (average = 79%) as compared with PCDD/Fs (average = 21%). On average, CP-PCB_126 individually accounted for over 95% of the total CP-PCB TEQ. A retrospective analysis (1977-2014) of 2378-TCDF and 2378-TCDD raw concentrations in Lake Ontario lake trout revealed decreases of 94% and 96%, respectively. Tissue residue guidelines for wildlife protection based on lake trout and walleye total TEQ were uniformly exceeded in all the Great Lakes.