IGA nephropathy: a retrospective evaluation of prognostic indices in 176 patients.

One hundred and seventy-six patients with mesangial IgA nephropathy have been studied retrospectively. Mean follow up from apparent onset of the disease was 9.3 years and with follow up from the diagnostic renal biopsy of 4.6 years. Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic significance of sex, age and type of symptoms at onset. The degree of proteinuria, presence of hypertension or decreased renal function, histological lesions and IFL pattern at the time of the diagnostic renal biopsy were recorded. 17 of the patients developed End Stage Renal Failure (ESRF) during the study. According to the Logrank test (renal survival) and Cox stepwise proportional hazard model, severity of glomerular mesangial lesions and degree of proteinuria are the most important indicators of a poor prognosis. The significance of all other parameters disappear after correction for histological lesions and degree of proteinuria. Our conclusion is that a semiquantitative light microscopical examination is an excellent prognostic index in IgA nephropathy, as is a simple determination of protein excretion in the urine.