Christian M Madsen1,2,3, Anette Varbo1,2, Børge G Nordestgaard1,2,3. 1. Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev Ringvej 75, 2730 Herlev, Denmark. 2. The Copenhagen General Population Study, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, Copenhagen University Hospital, Denmark. 3. Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Abstract
Aims: To identify individuals at high risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), who are not definite statin eligible according to the 2016 European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society (ESC/EAS) guidelines, based on high concentrations of plasma triglycerides. Methods and results: From the Copenhagen General Population Study (2003-2015) 58 547 individuals aged 40-65 and free of ASCVD, diabetes, and statin use at baseline were included. Of these, 14% were definite statin eligible, 7% were not eligible and had triglycerides ≥3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL), and 79% were not statin eligible and had triglycerides <3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL). During 456 057 person-years of follow-up, 1770 individuals experienced a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) and 734 experienced a myocardial infarction (MI). The cumulative incidences of MACE at age 70 were 8.1% (95% confidence interval 7.3-8.9%) and 14.6% (12.6-16.8%) in statin non-eligible individuals with triglycerides <3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL) and ≥3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL), and 16.5% (14.0-19.3%) in statin eligible individuals. Corresponding cumulative incidences of MI were 3.0% (2.7-3.3%), 7.8% (6.4-9.5%), and 7.1% (5.9-8.4%), respectively. The estimated 10-year risks of MACE were 2.8% (2.6-3.0%) and 5.7% (4.9-6.6%) in statin non-eligible individuals with triglycerides <3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL) and ≥3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL), and 7.6% (6.9-8.3%) in statin eligible individuals; the median age in these three groups were 51, 51, and 60 years, respectively. Corresponding risks of MI were 1.0% (0.9-1.1%), 3.0% (2.4-3.7%), and 3.3% (2.8-3.7%), respectively. Conclusion: Statin non-eligible individuals with triglycerides ≥3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL) had risk of ASCVD similar to statin eligible individuals, defined according to the 2016 ESC/EAS guidelines. This illustrates an unmet need for primary prevention, calling for expansion of guidelines on statin eligibility, and the potential for placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials in individuals with hypertriglyceridaemia. Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved.
Aims: To identify individuals at high risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), who are not definite statin eligible according to the 2016 European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society (ESC/EAS) guidelines, based on high concentrations of plasma triglycerides. Methods and results: From the Copenhagen General Population Study (2003-2015) 58 547 individuals aged 40-65 and free of ASCVD, diabetes, and statin use at baseline were included. Of these, 14% were definite statin eligible, 7% were not eligible and had triglycerides ≥3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL), and 79% were not statin eligible and had triglycerides <3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL). During 456 057 person-years of follow-up, 1770 individuals experienced a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) and 734 experienced a myocardial infarction (MI). The cumulative incidences of MACE at age 70 were 8.1% (95% confidence interval 7.3-8.9%) and 14.6% (12.6-16.8%) in statin non-eligible individuals with triglycerides <3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL) and ≥3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL), and 16.5% (14.0-19.3%) in statin eligible individuals. Corresponding cumulative incidences of MI were 3.0% (2.7-3.3%), 7.8% (6.4-9.5%), and 7.1% (5.9-8.4%), respectively. The estimated 10-year risks of MACE were 2.8% (2.6-3.0%) and 5.7% (4.9-6.6%) in statin non-eligible individuals with triglycerides <3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL) and ≥3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL), and 7.6% (6.9-8.3%) in statin eligible individuals; the median age in these three groups were 51, 51, and 60 years, respectively. Corresponding risks of MI were 1.0% (0.9-1.1%), 3.0% (2.4-3.7%), and 3.3% (2.8-3.7%), respectively. Conclusion: Statin non-eligible individuals with triglycerides ≥3.0 mmol/L (264 mg/dL) had risk of ASCVD similar to statin eligible individuals, defined according to the 2016 ESC/EAS guidelines. This illustrates an unmet need for primary prevention, calling for expansion of guidelines on statin eligibility, and the potential for placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials in individuals with hypertriglyceridaemia. Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved.
Authors: Jennifer G Robinson; Kevin Jon Williams; Samuel Gidding; Jan Borén; Ira Tabas; Edward A Fisher; Chris Packard; Michael Pencina; Zahi A Fayad; Venkatesh Mani; Kerry Anne Rye; Børge G Nordestgaard; Anne Tybjærg-Hansen; Pamela S Douglas; Stephen J Nicholls; Neha Pagidipati; Allan Sniderman Journal: J Am Heart Assoc Date: 2018-10-16 Impact factor: 5.501