| Literature DB >> 29163838 |
Huaping Chen1, Siyuan Chen1, Shan Li1, Zhijian Chen1, Xuan Zhu1, Meiyu Dai1, Lingxi Kong1, Xiaodan Lv1, Zhili Huang1, Xue Qin1.
Abstract
Controversies about the combination of des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosing still exist. Hence, we performed this updated meta-analysis to estimate the diagnostic value of DCP , AFP and DCP + AFP in HCC. In addition, we conducted a validation study to analyze the performance of the candidate makers. After a systematic literature review, 27 studies from 20 articles were identified from four major databases. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 69% and 89%, respectively, for DCP; for AFP, they were 65% and 88%, respectively; and they were 82% and 85%, respectively, for DCP + AFP. The values of the area under the curve (AUC) for DCP, AFP, DCP + AFP, respectively, were 0.88, 0.75, and 0.90. The validation study confirmed that the performance of DCP + AFP (sensitivity = 84%, specificity = 86%; AUC = 0.887) was higher than that of DCP (sensitivity = 76%, specificity = 92%; AUC = 0.843) or AFP (sensitivity = 73%, specificity = 92%; AUC = 0.837) alone.Entities:
Keywords: AFP; des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin; diagnosis; hepatocellular cancer; meta-analysis
Year: 2017 PMID: 29163838 PMCID: PMC5685759 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.20153
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Oncotarget ISSN: 1949-2553
Figure 1Flow diagram of study selection process for eligible studies
Figure 2Forest plots of the sensitivity and specificity of candidate makers in the diagnosis of HCC
(A) DCP; (B) AFP; (C) DCP + AFP.
Figure 3SROC curve of candidate makers for diagnosing HCC
(A) DCP; (B) AFP; (C) DCP + AFP.
Meta-analysis results of DCP, AFP, DCP+AFP
| Maker | Se(95%CI)I2 | Sp(95%CI)I2 | PLR(95%CI)I2 | NLR(95%CI)I2 | DOR(95%CI)I2 | AUC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCP | 0.690.68-0.70)89.6% | 0.89(0.88-0.90)92.1% | 7.28(5.52-9.61)91.6% | 0.33(0.29-0.37)87.4% | 24.59(17.98-33.62)84.2% | 0.88 |
| AFP | 0.65(0.63-0.66)69.0% | 0.88(0.87-0.90)90.0% | 5.07(3.98-6.45)89.0% | 0.41(0.38-0.44)75.2% | 12.96(9.90-16.98)81.2% | 0.75 |
| DCP+AFP | 0.82(0.81-0.83)79.9% | 0.85(0.85-0.86)92.8% | 5.48(4.31-6.96)92.3% | 0.22(0.19-0.25)81.6% | 26.45(19.61-35.68)84.9% | 0.90 |
Se: sensitivity, Sp: specificity, PLR: positive likelihood ratio, NLR: negative likelihood ratio, DOR: diagnostic odds ratio, CI: confidence interval, AUC: area under ROC curve.
Meta-regression analyses of the heterogeneity in DCP and AFP
| Variable | DCP | AFP | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeff. | Sth.Err. | P-value | RDOR | (95%)CI | Coeff. | Sth.Err. | P-value | RDOR | (95%)CI | |
| Country | −0.132 | 0.0940 | 0.1736 | 0.88 | (0.72; 1.06) | −0.088 | 0.0394 | 0.0356 | 0.92 | (0.84; 0.99) |
| Method | 0.044 | 0.1454 | 0.7654 | 1.04 | (0.77; 1.41) | −0.106 | 0.0454 | 0.0291 | 0.90 | (0.82; 0.99) |
| Population | 0.000 | 0.0004 | 0.2863 | 1.00 | (1.00; 1.00) | 0.001 | 0.0003 | 0.0525 | 1.00 | (1.00; 1.00) |
Std.Err: standard error, RDOR: ratio of diagnostic odds ratio, CI: confidence interval.
Figure 4Begg's funnel plot of candidate makers for the studies included in the meta-analysis
(A) DCP; (B) AFP; (C) DCP+AFP.
Figure 5Levels of DCP and AFP in four different groups
DCP was measured in mAU/ml and AFP in ng/ml. Median of original data (minimum to maximum) was shown respectively in the figures.
Diagnostic values of candidate makers for hepatocellular carcinoma
| Makers | AUC | (95% CI) | Cut-off value | Se | Sp | Youden index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCP | ||||||
| HCC vs. cirrhosis | 0.860 | 0.770–0.925 | 40 mAU/ml | 0.76 | 0.86 | 0.62 |
| HCC vs. no-HCC | 0.843 | 0.781–0.894 | 0.76 | 0.92 | 0.67 | |
| AFP | ||||||
| HCC vs. cirrhosis | 0.805 | 0.707–0.882 | 11 ng/ml | 0.73 | 0.84 | 0.57 |
| HCC vs. no-HCC | 0.837 | 0.774–0.889 | 0.73 | 0.92 | 0.66 | |
| DCP+AFP | ||||||
| HCC vs. cirrhosis | 0.859 | 0.768–0.924 | - | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.61 |
| HCC vs. no-HCC | 0.887 | 0.830–0.930 | - | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.70 |
AUC: area under the curve; CI: confidence interval; Se: sensitivity; Sp: specificity.