Usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASc Score to Predict Outcome in Patients Who Underwent Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation.

Risk assessment for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) patients remains challenging, especially in elderly and high-risk candidates. Although several risk factors contribute to increased morbidity and mortality after TAVI, simple risk scores for routine use are lacking. Applying the CHA2DS2-VASC (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 years, diabetes, prior stroke, vascular disease, age 65-74 years, sex [female] category) score as a novel risk stratification tool for conditions other than atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention has been previously examined; however, its usefulness in a population of patients with aortic stenosis after TAVI has not been established. Thus, we investigated 633 consecutive patients who underwent TAVI between November 2008 and May 2017, and calculated the CHA2DS2-VASC score. Patients were stratified according to their CHA2DS2-VASC score into 3 categories (0 to 3, 4 to 6, 7 to 9), and the association between CHA2DS2-VASC score and 1-year clinical outcomes (stroke, all-cause mortality, and combined outcome of stroke or mortality) was evaluated. We found that both stroke and mortality at 1 year were significantly more frequent with increasing CHA2DS2-VASC score (p = 0.012 and p = 0.025, respectively). Each single-point rise in CHA2DS2-VASC score was associated with a 38% increase in the 1-year combined outcome of mortality or stroke (p = 0.022; C index 0.615). In conclusion, CHA2DS2-VASC score can be used as a simple and effective tool to predict 1-year clinical outcomes including death and stroke in patients who underwent TAVI.