Elena Badal-Valero1, José A Alvarez-Jareño1, Jose M Pavía2. 1. Department of Applied Economics, University of Valencia, Avenida de los Naranjos, s/n, 46022 Valencia, Spain. 2. Department of Applied Economics, University of Valencia, Avenida de los Naranjos, s/n, 46022 Valencia, Spain. Electronic address: pavia@uv.es.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: This paper is based on the analysis of the database of operations from a macro-case on money laundering orchestrated between a core company and a group of its suppliers, 26 of which had already been identified by the police as fraudulent companies. In the face of a well-founded suspicion that more companies have perpetrated criminal acts and in order to make better use of what are very limited police resources, we aim to construct a tool to detect money laundering criminals. METHODS: We combine Benford's Law and machine learning algorithms (logistic regression, decision trees, neural networks, and random forests) to find patterns of money laundering criminals in the context of a real Spanish court case. RESULTS: After mapping each supplier's set of accounting data into a 21-dimensional space using Benford's Law and applying machine learning algorithms, additional companies that could merit further scrutiny are flagged up. CONCLUSIONS: A new tool to detect money laundering criminals is proposed in this paper. The tool is tested in the context of a real case.
OBJECTIVES: This paper is based on the analysis of the database of operations from a macro-case on money laundering orchestrated between a core company and a group of its suppliers, 26 of which had already been identified by the police as fraudulent companies. In the face of a well-founded suspicion that more companies have perpetrated criminal acts and in order to make better use of what are very limited police resources, we aim to construct a tool to detect money laundering criminals. METHODS: We combine Benford's Law and machine learning algorithms (logistic regression, decision trees, neural networks, and random forests) to find patterns of money laundering criminals in the context of a real Spanish court case. RESULTS: After mapping each supplier's set of accounting data into a 21-dimensional space using Benford's Law and applying machine learning algorithms, additional companies that could merit further scrutiny are flagged up. CONCLUSIONS: A new tool to detect money laundering criminals is proposed in this paper. The tool is tested in the context of a real case.