Undiagnosed and Uncontrolled Chronic Conditions in China: Could Social Health Insurance Consolidation Make a Change?

Policy makers in China are considering consolidating the country's fragmented health insurance programs. This system consists of three components. The Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance (UEBMI) covers formal employees, the New Cooperative Medical Scheme (NCMS) covers rural residents, and the Urban Resident Basic Medical Insurance (URBMI) covers urban residents. Consolidation could, in theory, create a more efficient health system that is better able to address noncommunicable diseases. Using national survey data during 2011 to 2013, I found that 44% to 76% cases of hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia went undiagnosed among Chinese adults aged 45 and older. I found that the UEBMI enrollees had a greater number of health checks and 10% higher rates of diagnosis. Assuming that this level of efficiency would be possible under an integrated system, I conducted microsimulation analyses to project future benefits. Such consolidation could result in 46.2 million new diagnoses, and 30.0 million of these cases would be controlled.