| Literature DB >> 29140293 |
Weiwei Sun1,2, Yun Zhou3,4, Zhuang Zhang5,6, Limin Cao7,8, Weihong Chen9,10.
Abstract
With the rapid development of the economy over the past 20 years, the mortality rates from cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and respiratory diseases (RDs) have changed in China. This study aimed to analyze the trends of mortality rates and years of life lost (YLLs) from CVDs and RDs in the rural and urban population from 1990 to 2015. Using data from Chinese yearbooks, joinpoint regression analysis was employed to estimate the annual percent change (APC) of mortality rates from CVDs and RDs. YLLs due to CVDs and RDs were calculated by a standard method, adopting recommended standard life expectancy at birth values of 80 years for men and 82.5 years for women. Age-standardized mortality rates and YLL rates were calculated by using the direct method based on the Chinese population from the sixth population census of 2010. Age-standardized mortality rates from CVDs for urban residents and from RDs for both urban and rural residents showed decreasing trends in China from 1990 to 2015. Age-standardized mortality rates from CVDs among rural residents remained constant during above period and outstripped those among urban residents gradually. The age-standardized YLL rates of CVDs for urban and rural residents decreased 35.2% and 8.3% respectively. Additionally, the age-standardized YLL rates of RDs for urban and rural residents decreased 64.2% and 79.0% respectively. The age-standardized mortality and YLL rates from CVDs and RDs gradually decreased in China from 1990 to 2015. We observed more substantial declines of the mortality rates from CVDs in urban areas and from RDs in rural areas.Entities:
Keywords: burden of disease; cardiovascular diseases; mortality; respiratory diseases; trends; years of life lost
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 29140293 PMCID: PMC5708030 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph14111391
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1The trend on the age-standardized mortality rates of CVDs and RDs in urban and rural areas during 1990 to 2015.
Joinpoint analysis of age-standardized a mortality rates from CVDs and RDs in urban and rural areas.
| Mortality Rate (per 100,000) | Total Study Period b | Period 1 | Period 2 | Period 3 | Period 4 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2015 | Average APC (%) | 95% CI | Years | APC (%) | Years | APC (%) | Years | APC (%) | Years | APC (%) | |
| CVDs in urban areas | 332.7 | 227.7 | −1.9 c | (−2.4, −1.4) | - | |||||||
| Chronic rheumatic heart diseases | 10.4 | 2.7 | −6.1 c | (−6.9, −5.2) | 1990–2011 | −7.2 c | 2011–2015 | 8.3 | ||||
| Hypertensive heart disease | 8.3 | 10.8 | 1.3 | (−0.3, 2.9) | 1990–2007 | −1.6 | 2007–2015 | 10.6 c | ||||
| Ischemic heart disease | 29.1 | 47.3 | 0.8 | (−0.2, 1.9) | 1990–1998 | 3.3 | 1998–2006 | −5.4 c | 2006–2015 | 8.5 c | ||
| Cerebrovascular disease | 181.1 | 107.2 | −2.8 c | (−3.4, −2.2) | 1990–2008 | −3.7 c | 2008–2015 | 0.8 | ||||
| CVDs in rural areas | 275.2 | 261.4 | 0.0 | (−0.5, 0.4) | 1990–2001 | 0.7 | 2001–2006 | −4.6 | 2006–2009 | 9.19 | 2009–2015 | −1.71 |
| Chronic rheumatic heart diseases | 10.8 | 2.9 | −5.9 c | (−6.8, −5.1) | - | |||||||
| Hypertensive heart disease | 9.9 | 16.5 | 1.0 | (−0.9, 2.9) | 1990–2006 | −3.2 c | 2006–2015 | 11.2 c | ||||
| Ischemic heart disease | 18.7 | 60.0 | 5.2 c | (3.7, 6.7) | 1990–2000 | 4.1 c | 2000–2005 | −8.2 | 2005–2008 | 37.0 | 2008–2015 | 5.7 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 159.5 | 131.6 | −0.6 c | (−1.1, −0.2) | - | |||||||
| RDs in urban areas | 143.5 | 60.7 | −4.2 c | (−4.9, −3.5) | 1990–2005 | −3.5 c | 2005–2008 | −14.4 | 2008–2015 | 1.9 | ||
| Chronic lower respiratory diseases | 117.9 | 44.0 | −5.6 c | (−6.7, −4.6) | - | |||||||
| Pneumonia | 13.9 | 11.7 | 0.0 | (−1.0, 1.0) | 1990–2005 | −2.7 c | 2005–2015 | 5.0 | ||||
| Pneumoconiosis | 0.8 | 0.6 | −2.3 c | (−3.4, −1.1) | - | |||||||
| RDs in rural areas | 232.1 | 67.5 | −5.3 c | (−6.0, −4.5) | - | |||||||
| Chronic lower respiratory diseases | 199.0 | 56.3 | −5.3 c | (−6.0, −4.5) | - | |||||||
| Pneumonia | 24.2 | 7.5 | −5.6 c | (−6.7, −4.5) | 1990–2000 | −2.5 c | 2000–2003 | 21.7 | 2003–2015 | −1.4 | ||
| Pneumoconiosis | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | (−1.1, 3.0) | - | |||||||
a Standardised to the China sixth population census in 2010. b Years 1990 to 2015. - No joinpoints identified. Abbreviations: APC, annual percent change; CVDs, cardiovascular diseases; RDs, respiratory diseases. c Significantly difference from zero (p < 0.05).
APC in age-specific mortality rates from CVDs and RDs in urban and rural areas.
| Age Group | CVDs in Urban Areas | CVDs in Rural Areas | RDs in Urban Areas | RDs in Rural Areas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average APC (%) | 95% CI | Average APC (%) | 95% CI | Average APC (%) | 95% CI | Average APC (%) | 95% CI | |
| 0 | 3.7 a | (0.4, 7.2) | 6.4 a | (2.5, 10.4) | −7.4 a | (−9.1, −5.8) | −13.6 a | (−15.4, −11.5) |
| 1–4 | 3.8 a | (1.6, 6.0) | 3.8 a | (1.1, 6.6) | −3.2 a | (−4.5, −1.8) | −9.1 a | (−11.1, −7.1) |
| 5–9 | 1.4 | (−0.6, 3.4) | 1.3 | (−0.8, 3.5) | −3.6 a | (−5.0, −2.1) | −10.9 a | (−13.7, −8.0) |
| 10–14 | 0.6 | (−0.9, 2.0) | 1.6 | (−0.0, 3.3) | −1.9 a | (−3.6, −0.1) | −9.9 a | (−12.8, −6.9) |
| 15–19 | 2.2 | (1.1, 3.3) | 0.9 | (−0.9, 2.7) | −1.2 | (−2.9, 0.5) | −5.8 a | (−9.1, −2.3) |
| 20–24 | 0.1 | (−0.9, 1.2) | −2.0 a | (−3.3, −0.6) | −2.4 a | (−3.9, 0.8) | −7.0 a | (−8.8, −5.1) |
| 25–29 | −0.2 | (−0.8, 0.5) | −1.8 a | (−3.4, −0.1) | −2.1 a | (−3.0, −1.1) | −8.0 a | (−10.2, −5.7) |
| 30–34 | −0.1 | (−0.8, 0.6) | −1.1 | (−2.7, 0.6) | −3.0 a | (−3.9, −2.0) | −7.4 a | (−9.4, −5.4) |
| 35–39 | −0.5 a | (−0.5, −0.0) | −0.0 | (−0.7, 0.6) | −3.4 a | (−4.3, −2.5) | −6.7 a | (−7.9, −5.4) |
| 40–44 | −0.4 | (−0.9, 0.1) | −0.1 | (−0.8, 0.7) | −3.4 a | (−4.1, −2.6) | −7.2 a | (−8.5, −5.7) |
| 45–49 | −1.3 a | (−2.0, −0.6) | −1.2 a | (−2.4, −0.1) | −3.6 a | (−4.5, −2.7) | −8.1 a | (−9.6, −6.5) |
| 50–54 | −1.0 a | (−1.7, −0.4) | −0.8 a | (−1.5, −0.1) | −3.3 a | (−4.3, −2.4) | −7.7 a | (−8.9, −6.6) |
| 55–59 | −2.6 a | (−3.2, −2.1) | −0.9 a | (−1.4, −0.5) | −4.6 a | (−5.5, −3.6) | −7.6 a | (−8.8, −6.5) |
| 60–64 | −3.4 a | (−4.2, −2.5) | −1.6 a | (−2.1, −1.0) | −5.7 a | (−6.8, −4.6) | −8.1 a | (−9.2, −7.1) |
| 65–69 | −3.3 a | (−4.1, −2.5) | −0.9 a | (−1.6, −0.3) | −5.6 a | (−6.6, −4.5) | −7.1 a | (−8.1, −6.0) |
| 70–74 | −3.1 a | (−3.8, −2.5) | −1.2 a | (−1.8, −0.6) | −5.5 a | (−6.4, −4.6) | −6.6 a | (−7.5, −5.7) |
| 75–79 | −2.3 a | (−2.8, −1.9) | −0.0 | (−0.5, 0.5) | −4.7 a | (−5.5, −4.0) | −5.1 a | (−5.9, −4.3) |
| 80–84 | −1.5 a | (−2.0, −1.1) | 0.4 | (−0.1, 0.9) | −4.0 a | (−4.7, −3.3) | −4.3 a | (−5.0, −3.6) |
| 85+ | 0.0 | (−0.6, 0.7) | 2.2 a | (1.2, 3.2) | −2.7 a | (−3.3, −2.2) | −2.4 a | (−3.2, −1.5) |
a Significantly difference from zero (p < 0.05). Abbreviations: APC, annual percent change; CVDs, cardiovascular diseases; RDs, respiratory diseases.
Figure 2The age-specific mortality rates of CVDs in urban and rural areas in 1990 and 2015.
Figure 3The age-specific mortality rates of RDs in urban and rural areas in 1990 and 2015.
YLLs and age-standardized YLL rates from CVDs and RDs for urban and rural areas in 1990 and 2015, with percent change between 1990 and 2015.
| YLLs (10,000) | Age-Standardized YLL Rate (per 100,000) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2015 | Percent Change (%), 1990–2015 | 1990 | 2015 | Percent Change (%), 1990–2015 | |
| CVDs in urban areas | 800.9 | 2385.6 | 197.9 | 4365.6 | 2828.4 | −35.2 |
| Chronic rheumatic heart disease | 50.9 | 34.4 | −32.4 | 234.1 | 40.7 | −82.6 |
| Hypertensive heart disease | 16.0 | 95.7 | 498.1 | 93.9 | 113.5 | 20.9 |
| Ischemic heart disease | 166.7 | 919.0 | 451.3 | 920.4 | 1085.7 | 18.0 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 428.3 | 1144.7 | 167.3 | 2369.5 | 1359.1 | −42.6 |
| CVDs in rural areas | 1983.3 | 2656.8 | 34.0 | 3745.4 | 3434.3 | −8.3 |
| Chronic rheumatic heart disease | 152.5 | 34.4 | −77.4 | 252.3 | 45.5 | −82.0 |
| Hypertensive heart disease | 60.3 | 139.7 | 131.7 | 118.8 | 175.0 | 47.3 |
| Ischemic heart disease | 281.0 | 941.4 | 235.0 | 524.5 | 1221.4 | 132.9 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 1069.9 | 1366.3 | 27.7 | 2069.5 | 1754.6 | −15.2 |
| RDs in urban areas | 371.0 | 532.5 | 43.5 | 1790.4 | 640.5 | −64.2 |
| Chronic lower respiratory disease | 226.8 | 361.8 | 59.5 | 1317.5 | 432.4 | −67.2 |
| Pneumonia | 117.6 | 120.0 | 2.0 | 337.1 | 147.4 | −56.3 |
| Pneumoconiosis | 2.5 | 5.6 | 124.0 | 12.8 | 6.8 | −46.9 |
| RDs in rural areas | 2783.0 | 590.9 | −78.8 | 3571.0 | 751.5 | −79.0 |
| Chronic lower respiratory disease | 1299.8 | 457.9 | −64.8 | 2511.4 | 568.1 | −77.4 |
| Pneumonia | 1420.1 | 88.1 | −93.8 | 937.7 | 121.5 | −87.0 |
| Pneumoconiosis | 5.3 | 7.7 | 45.3 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 4.0 |
Abbreviations: YLL, years of life lost; CVDs, cardiovascular diseases; RDs, respiratory diseases.