Liam D Cato1, Christopher M Wearn1, Jonathan R B Bishop2, Matthew J Stone3, Paul Harrison4, Naiem Moiemen5. 1. The Scar Free Foundation Birmingham Centre for Burns Research, Birmingham, UK; Institute of Inflammation and Ageing, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK; Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Mindelsohn Way, Birmingham B15 2WB, UK. 2. NIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiology Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, UK. 3. Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Mindelsohn Way, Birmingham B15 2WB, UK. 4. The Scar Free Foundation Birmingham Centre for Burns Research, Birmingham, UK; Institute of Inflammation and Ageing, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK. 5. The Scar Free Foundation Birmingham Centre for Burns Research, Birmingham, UK; NIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiology Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, UK; Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Mindelsohn Way, Birmingham B15 2WB, UK. Electronic address: naiem.moiemen@uhb.nhs.uk.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Platelet cells, or thrombocytes, have additional roles to haemostasis. After burn injury, platelet counts drop to a nadir at days 2-5 then rise to a peak between days 10-18. The nadir has previously been associated with mortality but there is currently no thorough investigation of its potential to predict sepsis in adults. The primary objective of this study is to assess whether platelet count can predict survival and sepsis in adults with severe burn injuries. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A retrospective cohort analysis of platelet count and other blood parameters in 145 burn patients with a TBSA greater than 20%. AUROC analysis revealed that the platelet count and rBaux score together produce moderate discrimination for survival at less than 24h after injury (AUROC=0.848, 95%CI 0.765-0.930). Platelet count at day 3 combined with TBSA has a modest association with sepsis (AUROC=0.779, 95%CI 0.697-0.862). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed platelet peak was the strongest predictor of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: A reduced peak platelet count is a strong predictor of 50-day mortality. Platelet count nadir may have some association with sepsis.
BACKGROUND: Platelet cells, or thrombocytes, have additional roles to haemostasis. After burn injury, platelet counts drop to a nadir at days 2-5 then rise to a peak between days 10-18. The nadir has previously been associated with mortality but there is currently no thorough investigation of its potential to predict sepsis in adults. The primary objective of this study is to assess whether platelet count can predict survival and sepsis in adults with severe burn injuries. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A retrospective cohort analysis of platelet count and other blood parameters in 145 burn patients with a TBSA greater than 20%. AUROC analysis revealed that the platelet count and rBaux score together produce moderate discrimination for survival at less than 24h after injury (AUROC=0.848, 95%CI 0.765-0.930). Platelet count at day 3 combined with TBSA has a modest association with sepsis (AUROC=0.779, 95%CI 0.697-0.862). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed platelet peak was the strongest predictor of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: A reduced peak platelet count is a strong predictor of 50-day mortality. Platelet count nadir may have some association with sepsis.
Authors: Liam D Cato; Benjamin Bailiff; Joshua Price; Christos Ermogeneous; Jon Hazeldine; William Lester; Gillian Lowe; Christopher Wearn; Jonathan R B Bishop; Janet M Lord; Naiem Moiemen; Paul Harrison Journal: Burns Trauma Date: 2021-10-20