| Literature DB >> 28958655 |
Jesus F Bermejo-Martin1, Catia Cilloniz2, Raul Mendez3, Raquel Almansa1, Albert Gabarrus2, Adrian Ceccato2, Antoni Torres4, Rosario Menendez5.
Abstract
The role of neutrophil and lymphocyte counts in blood as prognosis predictors in Community Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) has not been adequately studied. This was a derivation-validation retrospective study in hospitalized patients with CAP and no prior immunosuppression. We evaluated by multivariate analysis the association between neutrophil and lymphocyte counts and mortality risk at 30-days post hospital admission in these patients. The derivation cohort (n=1550 patients) was recruited in a multi-site study. The validation cohort (n=2846 patients) was recruited in a single-site study. In the derivation cohort, a sub-group of lymphopenic patients, those with <724lymphocytes/mm3, showed a 1.93-fold increment in the risk of mortality, independently of the CURB-65 score, critical illness, and receiving an appropriate antibiotic treatment. In the validation cohort, patients with <724lymphocytes/mm3 showed a 1.86-fold increment in the risk of mortality. The addition of 1 point to the CURB-65 score in those patients with <724lymphocytes/mm3 improved the performance of this score to identify non-survivors in both cohorts. In conclusion, lymphopenic CAP constitutes a particular immunological phenotype of the disease which is associated with an increased risk of mortality. Assessing lymphocyte counts could contribute to personalized clinical management in CAP.Entities:
Keywords: Acquired; Community; Lymphocyte; Mortality; Pneumonia
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28958655 PMCID: PMC5652132 DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2017.09.023
Source DB: PubMed Journal: EBioMedicine ISSN: 2352-3964 Impact factor: 8.143
Clinical characteristics of the studied cohorts. Data presented as n (%) or median (interquartile range). Microbiological data were calculated using the number of patients with positive microbiological identification. COPD: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease; ICU: Intensive care unit, ARDS: Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.
| Characteristics | Multi-site (derivation) cohort | Single-site (validation) cohort | P value | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N (%) | N for each variable | N (%) | N for each variable | |||
| Demographic data and treatment | Age (≥ 65 years) | 926 (59.7) | 1550 | 1948 (68.6) | 2838 | < 0.002 |
| Sex male | 962 (62.1) | 1550 | 1733 (60.9) | 2846 | ns | |
| Current smoking | 319 (21.9) | 1456 | 548 (19.5) | 2813 | ns | |
| Alcohol abuse | 131 (9.0) | 1451 | 382 (13.6) | 2805 | < 0.001 | |
| Pneumococcal vaccine | 162 (11.9) | 1352 | 467 (18.7) | 2496 | < 0.001 | |
| Influenza vaccine | 572 (40.1) | 1427 | 1204 (48.1) | 2502 | < 0.001 | |
| Oral steroids | 72 (4.6) | 1550 | 127 (4.5) | 2792 | ns | |
| Inhaled steroids | 364 (23.5) | 1550 | 567 (20.3) | 2788 | 0.015 | |
| Antibiotic last month | 384 (24.8) | 1550 | 663 (24.7) | 2686 | ns | |
| Comorbidity | Cardiac disease | 436 (28.3) | 1538 | 409 (14.5) | 2824 | < 0.001 |
| Chronic renal failure | 138 (9.0) | 1529 | 218 (7.7) | 2817 | ns | |
| Liver disease | 62 (4.1) | 1527 | 141 (5.0) | 2817 | ns | |
| Diabetes mellitus | 337 (22) | 1529 | 636 (22.7) | 2804 | ns | |
| Chronic pulmonary disease (COPD/asthma) | 421 (27.6) | 1525 | 1090 (39.3) | 2771 | < 0.001 | |
| Neurological disease | 254 (16.6) | 1526 | 574 (20.9) | 2750 | 0.001 | |
| Initial severity | Initial ICU admission | 131 (8.5) | 1550 | 586 (20.6) | 2846 | < 0.001 |
| CURB65 (≥ 3) | 219 (14.3) | 1534 | 488 (20.7) | 2355 | < 0.001 | |
| Microbiology | Known microbiology etiology | 702 (45.3) | 1550 | 1161 (40.8) | 2846 | 0.004 |
| Streptococcus pneumoniae | 435 (62.0) | 702 | 481 (41.4) | 1161 | < 0.001 | |
| Legionella pneumophila | 33 (4.7) | 702 | 61 (5.3) | 1161 | ns | |
| Polimicrobial etiology | 82 (11.7) | 702 | 153 (13.2) | 1161 | ns | |
| Virus | 95 (13.5) | 702 | 204 (17.6) | 1161 | 0.021 | |
| Complications and outcomes | Appropriate antibiotic | 1049 (85.8) | 1223 | 2313 (95.8) | 2414 | < 0.001 |
| Acute renal failure | 87 (5.6) | 1550 | 760 (27.2) | 2796 | < 0.001 | |
| Pleural effusion | 95 (6.1) | 1550 | 400 (14.4) | 2772 | < 0.001 | |
| Mechanical ventilation | 95 (6.3) | 1501 | 301 (13.1) | 2305 | < 0.001 | |
| ARDS | 56 (3.6) | 1550 | 123 (4.6) | 2667 | ns | |
| Septic shock | 65 (4.2) | 1550 | 158 (5.7) | 2789 | 0.034 | |
| Mortality at 30 days | 72 (4.6) | 1550 | 234 (8.2) | 2846 | < 0.001 | |
Univariate and multivariate regression analysis for mortality risk in the multi-site (derivation) cohort. OR: Odds Ratio; CI: confidence interval.
| Variable | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | CI 95% | p | OR | CI 95% | p | |
| Cardiac disease | 2.10 | 1.30–3.39 | 0.002 | – | – | – |
| Neurological disease | 2.60 | 1.55–4.36 | < 0.001 | – | – | – |
| Chronic renal failure | 3.41 | 1.92–6.06 | < 0.001 | 2.46 | 1.17–5.18 | 0.017 |
| CURB-65 ≥ 3 | 6.35 | 3.89–10.37 | < 0.001 | 4.13 | 2.23–7.65 | < 0.001 |
| Initial ICU admission | 3.39 | 1.88–6.09 | < 0.001 | 2.26 | 1.04–4.90 | 0.039 |
| Apropriate antibiotic treatment | 0.27 | 0.15–0.48 | < 0.001 | 0.26 | 0.14–0.49 | < 0.001 |
| Lymphocytes (cell/mm3) (Ln) | 0.57 | 0.42–0.78 | < 0.001 | 0.66 | 0.44–0.98 | 0.044 |
Univariate and Multivariate regression analysis for mortality risk in the single site (validation) cohort. OR: Odds Ratio; CI: confidence interval.
| Univariate | Multivariate | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | CI 95% | p | OR | CI 95% | p | |
| Smoking | < 0.001 | 0.059 | ||||
| No smoker | 1 | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| Smoker | 0.39 | 0.25–0.61 | < 0.001 | 0.47 | 0.25–0.88 | 0.019 |
| Ex-smoker | 0.69 | 0.51–0.94 | 0.017 | 0.80 | 0.53–1.21 | 0.29 |
| Cardiac disease | 1.45 | 1.02–2.04 | 0.038 | – | – | – |
| Chronic renal failure | 1.83 | 1.21–2.78 | 0.004 | – | – | – |
| Neurological disease | 3.64 | 2.75–4.82 | < 0.001 | 2.41 | 1.60–3.63 | < 0.001 |
| CURB-65 ≥ 3 | 3.42 | 2.51–4.66 | < 0.001 | 2.85 | 1.92–4.23 | < 0.001 |
| ARDS (complication) | 3.40 | 2.15–5.37 | < 0.001 | 3.29 | 1.78–6.09 | < 0.001 |
| Respiratory virus | 0.44 | 0.21–0.89 | 0.024 | – | – | – |
| Initial ICU admission | 1.54 | 1.14–2.09 | 0.005 | 1.91 | 1.22–2.99 | 0.005 |
| Appropriate antibiotic treatment | 0.34 | 0.20–0.57 | < 0.001 | 0.41 | 0.21–0.80 | 0.009 |
| Lymphocytes (cell/mm3) (Ln) | 0.92 | 0.86–0.98 | 0.008 | 0.89 | 0.81–0.98 | 0.023 |
Multivariate regression analysis to predict mortality risk in the multi-site (derivation) cohort. OR: Odds Ratio; CI: confidence interval.
| Variable | Multivariate analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OR | CI 95% | p | |
| Chronic renal failure | 2.47 | 1.18–5.19 | 0.017 |
| CURB-65 ≥ 3 | 3.99 | 2.15–7.40 | 0.000 |
| Initial ICU admission | 2.22 | 1.03–4.80 | 0.043 |
| Apropriate antibiotic treatment | 0.27 | 0.14–0.50 | 0.000 |
| < 724 lymphocyte/mm3 | 1.93 | 1.06–3.51 | 0.031 |
Multivariate regression analysis to predict mortality risk in the single site (validation) cohort. OR: Odds Ratio; CI: confidence interval.
| Multivariate analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| OR | CI 95% | p | |
| Smoking | 0.043 | ||
| No smoker | 1 | – | – |
| Smoker | 0.46 | 0.24–0.86 | 0.015 |
| Ex-smoker | 0.77 | 0.51–1.15 | 0.20 |
| Neurological disease | 2.36 | 1.57–3.54 | < 0.001 |
| CURB-65 ≥ 3 | 2.77 | 1.87–4.09 | < 0.001 |
| ARDS (complication) | 3.17 | 1.71–5.89 | < 0.001 |
| Initial ICU admission | 1.72 | 1.10–2.70 | 0.019 |
| Appropriate antibiotic treatment | 0.42 | 0.22–0.81 | 0.010 |
| < 724 lymphocytes/mm3 | 1.86 | 1.28–2.71 | 0.001 |
Fig. 1AUROC Analysis of Lymphocyte Concentrations in Blood to Predict Survival at 30-Days Post-Admission.The OOP was identified in the derivation cohort as < 724 lymphocytes/mm3. Sensitivity/Specificity for the OOP were 57%/68% in the derivation cohort and 67%/50% in the validation cohort.
Fig. 2Comparison of AUCs of CURB-65 and CURB-65L to Predict 30-Day Mortality: One extra point was added to the CURB-65 score of those patients with lymphocyte counts below 724 cells/mm3 to build the CURB-65L.