Literature DB >> 28951289

Use of a nomogram to predict the closure rate of diverting ileostomy after low anterior resection: A retrospective cohort study.

Shinya Abe1, Kazushige Kawai2, Hiroaki Nozawa2, Keisuke Hata2, Tomomichi Kiyomatsu2, Toshiaki Tanaka2, Takeshi Nishikawa2, Kensuke Otani2, Kazuhito Sasaki2, Manabu Kaneko2, Koji Murono2, Shigenobu Emoto2, Toshiaki Watanabe2.   

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Although temporary ileostomy is widely used to prevent complications due to anastomotic leakage after middle and low rectal cancer surgery, some patients fail to achieve stoma closure after primary surgery. The aim of this study was to identify the risk factors for permanent stoma following low anterior resection (LAR) or intersphincteric resection (ISR) with a temporary ileostomy for rectal cancer, while focusing on the time course, to develop a nomogram that can predict the rate of unreversed ileostomy 1 year after initial surgery.
METHOD: A total of 212 consecutive rectal cancer patients who underwent LAR or ISR with or without a temporary stoma between 2012 and 2015 at the University of Tokyo Hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Data analyses were performed using JMP Pro 11.0 and R 3.0.1 with rms and Hmisc packages to identify the risk factors for diverting ileostomy resulting in un-reversed stoma, and to develop a nomogram using these factors.
RESULTS: Among 212 patients, diverting ileostomy and colostomy were performed in 116 and 11 patients, respectively, and a stoma was not created in 85 patients. Among the ileostomy cases, 94 underwent stoma reversal, and the median interval from initial surgery to stoma closure was 6.9 months. Three patients eventually underwent stoma re-creation, and hence, 25 patients had permanent stoma. The following variables were correlated with the stoma non-reversal rate and were included in the nomogram: depth of invasion (p = 0.02), presence of metastatic organs (p = 0.07), and preoperative chemoradiotherapy (p = 0.03). The nomogram C-index was 0.612, indicating moderate predictive ability.
CONCLUSIONS: The most common factors preventing stoma closure included distant metastasis or rectal cancer recurrence. The nomogram developed in the present study can help identify rectal cancer patients with high risk of stoma non-reversal.
Copyright © 2017 IJS Publishing Group Ltd. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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Year:  2017        PMID: 28951289     DOI: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2017.09.057

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Int J Surg        ISSN: 1743-9159            Impact factor:   6.071


  6 in total

1.  Low preoperative maximum squeezing pressure evaluated by anorectal manometry is a risk factor for non-reversal of diverting stoma.

Authors:  Risa Fukui; Hiroaki Nozawa; Yugo Hirata; Kazushige Kawai; Keisuke Hata; Toshiaki Tanaka; Takeshi Nishikawa; Yasutaka Shuno; Kazuhito Sasaki; Manabu Kaneko; Koji Murono; Shigenobu Emoto; Hirofumi Sonoda; Hiroaki Ishii; Soichiro Ishihara
Journal:  Langenbecks Arch Surg       Date:  2020-10-19       Impact factor: 3.445

2.  Patient and surgeon preferences for early ileostomy closure following restorative proctectomy for rectal cancer: why aren't we doing it?

Authors:  Fateme Rajabiyazdi; Marylise Boutros; Natasha G Caminsky; Jeongyoon Moon; Nancy Morin; Karim Alavi; Rebecca C Auer; Liliana G Bordeianou; Sami A Chadi; Sébastien Drolet; Amandeep Ghuman; Alexander Sender Liberman; Tony MacLean; Ian M Paquette; Jason Park; Sunil Patel; Scott R Steele; Patricia Sylla; Steven D Wexner; Carol-Ann Vasilevsky
Journal:  Surg Endosc       Date:  2022-10-04       Impact factor: 3.453

3.  A nomogram to predict the incidence of permanent stoma in elderly patients with rectal cancer.

Authors:  Chuangkun Li; Xiusen Qin; Zifeng Yang; Wentai Guo; Rongkang Huang; Huaiming Wang; Hui Wang
Journal:  Ann Transl Med       Date:  2021-02

4.  Timing of Closure of a Protective Loop-Ileostomy Can Be Crucial for Restoration of a Functional Digestion.

Authors:  Jens M Werner; Paul Kupke; Matthias Ertl; Sabine Opitz; Hans J Schlitt; Matthias Hornung
Journal:  Front Surg       Date:  2022-03-28

5.  Nomogram to predict permanent stoma in rectal cancer patients after sphincter-saving surgery.

Authors:  Chih-Yu Kuo; Po-Li Wei; Chia-Che Chen; Yen-Kuang Lin; Li-Jen Kuo
Journal:  World J Gastrointest Surg       Date:  2022-08-27

6.  Assessment of the risk of permanent stoma after low anterior resection in rectal cancer patients.

Authors:  Marcin Zeman; Marek Czarnecki; Andrzej Chmielarz; Adam Idasiak; Maciej Grajek; Agnieszka Czarniecka
Journal:  World J Surg Oncol       Date:  2020-08-14       Impact factor: 2.754

  6 in total

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