| Literature DB >> 28904845 |
Ho Sun Shon1, Jang-Whan Bae2, Kyoung Ok Kim3, Eun Jong Cha4, Kyung Ah Kim4.
Abstract
N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a well-known biomarker for the diagnosis and prognosis of heart failure, and is directly associated with myocardial dysfunction. We evaluated the prognostic value of NT-proBNP for major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) among patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) from the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry during their mid-term follow-up period. In this paper, we analyzed NT-proBNP according to various MACE and level of NT-proBNP. We used multivariate logistic regression to determine the risk factors according to MACE type and NT-proBNP levels, and to identify the cutoff value for each MACE by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. NT-proBNP was a significant variable among cardiac deaths (p = 0.016), myocardial infarction (p = 0.000), and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (p = 0.000) in patients with MACE compared with those without MACE. Two-vessel coronary artery disease (CAD) (p = 0.037) and the maximum creatinine kinase (max-CK) (p = 0.031) produced significant results in repeat percutaneous coronary intervention. The area under the ROC curve was found to be statistically significant for cardiac death and CABG. NT-proBNP is a useful predictor for 12-month MACEs among patients with NSTEMI and in those with heart failure. We propose that a new index incorporating NT-proBNP, max-CK, and CAD vessel will be useful as a prognostic indicator of MACEs in the future.Entities:
Keywords: NT-proBNP; cardiac biomarker; heart disease; myocardial infarction
Year: 2017 PMID: 28904845 PMCID: PMC5594716 DOI: 10.24171/j.phrp.2017.8.4.02
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Osong Public Health Res Perspect ISSN: 2210-9099
Figure 1MACEs that occurred during the 12-month follow-up period after PCI. NSTEMI, non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction; STEMI, ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction; MACE, major adverse cardiac event; MI, myocardial infarction; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting.
Baseline characteristics of study patients with NSTEMI
| Characteristic | MACE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| No (821) | Yes (96) | ||
| Age (y) | 68.7 ± 12.38 | 72.4 ± 10.76 | 0.005 |
| Gender, male | 536 (65.3) | 54 (56.3) | 0.011 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 24.65 ± 11.02 | 25.52 ± 21.23 | 0.072 |
| Medical history | |||
| Hypertension (%) | 0.56 ± 0.53 | 0.64 ± 0.48 | 0.017 |
| Diabetes mellitus (%) | 0.36 ± 0.53 | 0.29 ± 0.52 | 0.079 |
| Dyslipidemia (%) | 0.45 ± 0.95 | 0.40 ± 0.93 | 0.508 |
| Ischemic heart disease | 0.19 ± 0.39 | 0.26 ± 0.44 | 0.004 |
| Smoking (pack/y) | 37.92 ± 59.14 | 38.39 ± 32.38 | 0.884 |
| Physical finding | |||
| Heart rate (beat/min) | 76.8 ± 17.5 | 79.8 ± 17.0 | 0.627 |
| Systolic BP (mmHg) | 129.9 ± 24.2 | 132.3 ± 22.8 | 0.262 |
| Diastolic BP (mmHg) | 77.8 ± 14.0 | 78.4 ± 13.4 | 0.141 |
| Laboratory findings | |||
| Glucose (mg/dL)/on admission | 158.8 ± 80.27 | 187.9 ± 112.66 | 0.002 |
| Creatinine (mg/dL)/on admission | 1.23 ± 1.53 | 1.52 ± 1.47 | 0.100 |
| Max-CK (IU/L) | 667.4 ± 982.9 | 687.3 ± 1,468.5 | 0.711 |
| Max-CK-MB (ng/mL) | 64.9 ± 109.0 | 59.2 ± 100.0 | 0.955 |
| Max-troponin I (ng/mL) | 17.2 ± 23.2 | 27.9 ± 75.8 | 0.010 |
| Max-troponin T (ng/mL) | 2.03 ± 5.14 | 2.75 ± 3.66 | 0.952 |
| Total cholesterol (mg/dL) | 182.4 ± 44.0 | 178.9 ± 53.6 | 0.234 |
| Triglyceride (mg/dL) | 135.8 ± 100.3 | 117.5 ± 59.0 | 0.016 |
| HDL-cholesterol (mg/dL) | 44.2 ± 16.6 | 44.8 ± 12.9 | 0.950 |
| LDL-cholesterol (mg/dL) | 114.9 ± 44.7 | 111.4 ± 51.9 | 0.922 |
| hs-CRP (mg/dL) | 21.8 ± 92.8 | 7.9 ± 19.8 | 0.020 |
| NT-proBNP (pg/mL) | 2,198.4 ± 4,909.0 | 7,735.3 ± 10,736.2 | 0.001 |
Values are presented as mean ± standard deviation or number (%).
NSTEMI, non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction; MACE, major adverse cardiac event; BP, blood pressure; Max, maximum; CK-MB, creatinine kinase-muscle brain; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; hs-CRP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide.
Logistic regression according to MACE and NT-proBNP level
| NT-proBNP | MACE | OR | 95% CI for OR | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | Yes | Lower bound | Upper bound | |||
| Level 1 | 125 | 10 | 1 | |||
| Level 2 | 125 | 7 | 0.70 | 0.483 | 0.26 | 1.90 |
| Level 3 | 112 | 12 | 1.34 | 0.514 | 0.56 | 3.22 |
| Level 4 | 93 | 32 | 4.30 | 0.000 | 2.01 | 9.19 |
MACE, major adverse cardiac event; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Multivariate logistic regression according to MACE type and NT-proBNP level
| MACE | B | SE | OR | 95% CI for OR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower bound | Upper bound | |||||
| Cardiac death | ||||||
| Intercept | −1.894 | 0.287 | 0.000 | - | - | |
| Level 1 | −20.307 | 5,920.518 | 1.516E−9 | 0.997 | 0.000 | |
| Level 2 | −2.935 | 1.044 | 0.053 | 0.005 | 0.007 | 0.411 |
| Level 3 | −1.216 | 0.540 | 0.297 | 0.024 | 0.103 | 0.854 |
| Level 4 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - |
| MI | ||||||
| Intercept | −3.839 | 0.715 | 0.000 | - | - | |
| Level 1 | −0.989 | 1.232 | 0.372 | 0.422 | 0.033 | 4.164 |
| Level 2 | −19.773 | 0.000 | 2.586E−9 | - | 2.586E−9 | 2.586E−9 |
| Level 3 | −0.186 | 1.010 | 0.830 | 0.854 | 0.115 | 6.009 |
| Level 4 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Re-PCI | ||||||
| Intercept | −2.923 | 0.459 | 0.000 | |||
| Level 1 | −0.113 | 0.621 | 0.893 | 0.855 | 0.264 | 3.014 |
| Level 2 | −0.296 | 0.647 | 0.744 | 0.648 | 0.209 | 2.645 |
| Level 3 | −1.102 | 0.848 | 0.332 | 0.194 | 0.063 | 1.752 |
| Level 4 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - |
| CABG | ||||||
| Intercept | −2.135 | 0.319 | 0.000 | |||
| Level 1 | −1.595 | 0.666 | 0.203 | 0.017 | 0.055 | 0.748 |
| Level 2 | −2.694 | 1.053 | 0.068 | 0.011 | 0.009 | 0.533 |
| Level 3 | −1.485 | 0.666 | 0.226 | 0.026 | 0.061 | 0.836 |
| Level 4 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - |
MACE, major adverse cardiac event; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide; SE, standard error; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; MI, myocardial infarction; Re-PCI, repeat percutaneous coronary intervention; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting.
The reference category is noMACE.
A floating-point overflow occurred while calculating this statistic. Therefore, the value of this statistic is set to system error.
This parameter is set to zero because it is redundant.
Risk factor estimates from multivariate logistic regression
| MACE | B | SE | OR | 95% CI for OR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower bound | Upper bound | |||||
| Cardiac death | ||||||
| Intercept | −3.035 | 0.497 | - | 0.000 | - | - |
| NT-proBNP | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000081 | 0.016 | 1.000015 | 1.000147 |
| Max-CK | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.999915 | 0.832 | 0.999127 | 1.000703 |
| [CAD_v1] | −1.273 | 0.836 | 0.279976 | 0.128 | 0.054435 | 1.439996 |
| [CAD_v2] | −0.638 | 0.672 | 0.528186 | 0.342 | 0.141621 | 1.969916 |
| [CAD_v3] | 0 | |||||
| MI | ||||||
| Intercept | −3.875 | 1.033 | - | 0.000 | - | - |
| NT-proBNP | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000153 | 0.000 | 1.000068 | 1.000239 |
| Max-CK | −0.002 | 0.002 | 0.997694 | 0.351 | 0.992866 | 1.002545 |
| [CAD_v1] | −19.099 | 0.000 | 0.000000 . | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | |
| [CAD_v2] | −0.908 | 1.226 | 0.403472 | 0.459 | 0.036491 | 4.461079 |
| [CAD_v3] | 0 | |||||
| Re-PCI | ||||||
| Intercept | −2.690 | 0.403 | - | 0.000 | - | - |
| NT-proBNP | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000038 | 0.424 | 0.999944 | 1.000132 |
| Max-CK | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000410 | 0.031 | 1.000038 | 1.000781 |
| [CAD_v1] | −21.781 | 0.000 | 0.000000 . | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | |
| [CAD_v2] | −1.411 | 0.675 | 0.243864 | 0.037 | 0.064944 | 0.915699 |
| [CAD_v3] | 0 | |||||
| CABG | ||||||
| Intercept | −2.791 | 0.532 | - | 0.000 | - | - |
| NT-proBNP | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000123 | 0.000 | 1.000065 | 1.000181 |
| Max-CK | −0.001 | 0.001 | 0.998612 | 0.121 | 0.996858 | 1.000368 |
| [CAD_v1] | 0.025 | 0.615 | 1.025292 | 0.968 | 0.307274 | 3.421133 |
| [CAD_v2] | −1.199 | 0.800 | 0.301380 | 0.134 | 0.062822 | 1.445838 |
| [CAD_v3] | 0 | |||||
MACE, major adverse cardiac event; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide; Max-CK, maximum creatinine kinase; CAD, coronary artery disease; MI, myocardial infarction; Re-PCI, repeat percutaneous coronary intervention; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting.
The reference category is noMACE.
This parameter is set to zero because it is redundant.
Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis results in each category of MACE type
| MACE | AUC | 95% CI | Cutoff value | Sensitivity | 95% CI | Specificity | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiac death | 0.816 | 0.0001 | 0.782–0.848 | 1,180 | 90.0 | 68.3–98.5 | 66.2 | 62.1–70.2 |
| MI | 0.651 | 0.2623 | 0.610–0.690 | 930 | 80.0 | 28.8–96.7 | 58.7 | 54.5–62.8 |
| Re-PCI | 0.539 | 0.5624 | 0.497–0.581 | 516 | 61.1 | 35.8–82.6 | 55.2 | 50.9–59.4 |
| CABG | 0.716 | 0.0019 | 0.676–0.753 | 3,903 | 61.1 | 35.8–82.6 | 83.5 | 80.1, 86.5 |
MACE, major adverse cardiac event; AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval; MI, myocardial infarction; Re-PCI, repeat percutaneous coronary intervention; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting.
Figure 2Receiver operating characteristic curve of myocardial infarction in terms of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).
Figure 3Receiver operating characteristic curve of repeat percutaneous coronary intervention in terms of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).
Figure 4Receiver operating characteristic curve of cardiac death in terms of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).
Figure 5Receiver operating characteristic curve of coronary artery bypass grafting in terms of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).