| Literature DB >> 28860264 |
Holger Woehrle1,2, Martin R Cowie3, Christine Eulenburg4, Anna Suling5, Christiane Angermann6, Marie-Pia d'Ortho7, Erland Erdmann8, Patrick Levy9, Anita K Simonds10, Virend K Somers11, Faiez Zannad12, Helmut Teschler13, Karl Wegscheider5.
Abstract
This on-treatment analysis was conducted to facilitate understanding of mechanisms underlying the increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction and predominant central sleep apnoea randomised to adaptive servo ventilation versus the control group in the SERVE-HF trial.Time-dependent on-treatment analyses were conducted (unadjusted and adjusted for predictive covariates). A comprehensive, time-dependent model was developed to correct for asymmetric selection effects (to minimise bias).The comprehensive model showed increased cardiovascular death hazard ratios during adaptive servo ventilation usage periods, slightly lower than those in the SERVE-HF intention-to-treat analysis. Self-selection bias was evident. Patients randomised to adaptive servo ventilation who crossed over to the control group were at higher risk of cardiovascular death than controls, while control patients with crossover to adaptive servo ventilation showed a trend towards lower risk of cardiovascular death than patients randomised to adaptive servo ventilation. Cardiovascular risk did not increase as nightly adaptive servo ventilation usage increased.On-treatment analysis showed similar results to the SERVE-HF intention-to-treat analysis, with an increased risk of cardiovascular death in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction patients with predominant central sleep apnoea treated with adaptive servo ventilation. Bias is inevitable and needs to be taken into account in any kind of on-treatment analysis in positive airway pressure studies.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28860264 PMCID: PMC5593355 DOI: 10.1183/13993003.01692-2016
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur Respir J ISSN: 0903-1936 Impact factor: 16.671
FIGURE 1Schematic representing different possible patterns of device usage and intervals in the different on-treatment analyses (OTA) (follow-up times are indicative only). Solid lines show periods where treatment was as randomised (control, blue; or ASV, red) and dotted lines show periods were treatment was not as randomised (e.g. no ASV use in the ASV group, or ASV use in the control group). a) Possible usage and adherence patterns to allocated treatment. Patients with continuous use remained in their randomised group and adherent to treatment throughout the study. The intermittent use examples show patients in both the ASV (red line) and control groups (blue line) switching between their allocated treatment (solid lines) and the alternative treatment (dotted lines). Early crossover in the ASV group refers to patient refusal of ASV despite randomisation to the ASV group, and early crossover in the control group refers to initiation of ASV within the first 2 weeks after randomisation in a patient randomised to the control group. Late crossover in the ASV group refers to withdrawal of ASV >2 weeks after randomisation in patients randomised to the ASV group, and late crossover in the control group refers to initiation of ASV >2 weeks after randomisation in patients randomised to the control group. b) Treatment intervals for six different hypothetical patients included in the on-treatment analyses (intention-to-treat, as-treated, as-treated-as-randomised). Intention-to-treat analysis allocates all follow-up intervals to the randomised treatment group, regardless of usage. As-treated analysis includes periods allocated on the basis of actual treatment during different follow-up intervals (ASV, red boxes; or control, blue boxes). As-treated-as-randomised analysis also allocates intervals on the basis of actual treatment received but only includes intervals where patients used the treatment to which they had been initially randomised (ASV, red boxes; or control, blue boxes). For all examples, patients 1 and 2 remained continuously in their randomised group, patients 3 and 4 had intermittent time in their randomised group and patients 5 and 6 crossed over from randomised treatment to the alternative group.
Factors influencing cardiovascular death risk (backwards selection model)
| 1.08 (1.02–1.15) | 0.013 | |
| 0.52 (0.34–0.82) | 0.005 | |
| 0.80 (0.69–0.92) | 0.001 | |
| 1.43 (1.11–1.85) | 0.005 | |
| 0.86 (0.79–0.93) | <0.001 | |
| 1.41 (1.12–1.78) | 0.003 | |
| Right | 1.57 (1.05–2.35) | 0.029 |
| Left | 1.51 (1.15–1.98) | 0.003 |
| Other | 1.50 (1.13–1.98) | 0.004 |
| 1.32 (1.06–1.64) | 0.012 | |
| 0.98 (0.97–0.99) | <0.001 | |
| 1.01 (1.00–1.02) | 0.011 | |
| 1.003 (1.001–1.004) | <0.001 |
AHI: apnoea–hypopnoea index; BMI: body mass index; GFR: glomerular filtration rate; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; HF: heart failure; NYHA: New York Heart Association.
Risk of cardiovascular death based on randomised treatment groups
| 1.34 (1.09–1.65) | 0.006 | 1.37 (1.10–1.69) | 0.004 | |
| 0.96 (0.78–1.19) | 0.738 | 1.09 (0.88–1.35) | 0.440 | |
| 1.17 (0.92–1.48) | 0.198 | 1.27 (1.00–1.62) | 0.051 | |
| 1.17 (0.92–1.47) | 0.198 | 1.28 (1.01–1.63) | 0.043 | |
ASV: adaptive servo ventilation; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio. #: Patients remained in the treatment group to which they were randomised, regardless of device usage or not. ¶: Analysis based on the treatment patients actually received during different follow-up intervals (ASV or control for each time interval), including all follow-up time intervals. +: Analysis based on the treatment patients actually received during different follow-up intervals (ASV or control for each time interval), only including time intervals where patients used the treatment to which they had been initially randomised.
Cardiovascular death incidence rates in usage and non-usage intervals of patients in different randomisation groups
| Randomised to control | 637 | 2002.47 | 156 | 7.79 (6.66–9.11) |
| Randomised to ASV (“early crossover” to control) | 53 | 143.22 | 14 | 9.78 (5.79–16.51) |
| Randomised to control (“early crossover” to ASV) | 22 | 65.68 | 2 | 3.05 (0.76–12.18) |
| Randomised to ASV | 613 | 1814.30 | 185 | 10.20 (8.83–11.78) |
ASV: adaptive servo ventilation; CI: confidence interval.
Crossover analysis
| 1.28 (1.01–1.63) | 0.043 | |
| ASV withdrawal | 1.44 (1.06–1.94) | 0.019 |
| Early crossover# from ASV to control (“never tried ASV”) | 1.67 (0.95–2.91) | 0.073 |
| Late crossover¶ from ASV to control (“discontinued ASV”) | 1.38 (0.99–1.92) | 0.056 |
| Crossover from control to ASV | 0.74 (0.42–1.30) | 0.295 |
| Early crossover# from control to ASV | 0.44 (0.11–1.83) | 0.258 |
| Late crossover¶ from control to ASV | 0.83 (0.46–1.52) | 0.551 |
ASV: adaptive servo ventilation; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio. #: Early crossover in the ASV group refers to patient refusal of ASV despite randomisation to the ASV group, and early crossover in the control group refers to initiation of ASV within the first 2 weeks after randomisation in a patient randomised to control. ¶: Late crossover in the ASV group refers to withdrawal of ASV >2 weeks after randomisation in patients randomised to the ASV group, and late crossover in the control group refers to initiation of ASV >2 weeks after randomisation in patients randomised to control.
Risk of cardiovascular death based on device usage intervals
| ASV usage interval (average daily usage; h/night) | ||||
| >0 to <3 (23% of observation time) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | ||
| 3 to <6 (29% of observation time) | 1.07 (0.69–1.67) | 0.766 | 1.06 (0.68–1.67) | 0.789 |
| ≥6 (28% of observation time) | 1.15 (0.74–1.78) | 0.540 | 1.03 (0.66–1.61) | 0.898 |
| ASV usage interval (average daily usage; h/night) | ||||
| >0 to <3 (23% of observation time) | 1.08 (0.74–1.57) | 0.686 | 1.23 (0.84–1.81) | 0.282 |
| 3 to <6 (29% of observation time) | 1.16 (0.84–1.61) | 0.361 | 1.33 (0.95–1.85) | 0.095 |
| ≥6 (28% of observation time) | 1.25 (0.91–1.71) | 0.170 | 1.28 (0.93–1.77) | 0.125 |
ASV: adaptive servo ventilation; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio.