Importance: Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is now an accepted alternative to immediate surgery, but experience with this approach outside of Japan is limited. The kinetics (probability, rate, and magnitude) of PTC tumor growth under active surveillance have not been well defined. Objective: To describe the kinetics of PTC tumor growth during active surveillance. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cohort study of 291 patients undergoing active surveillance for low-risk PTC (intrathyroidal tumors ≤1.5 cm) with serial tumor measurements via ultrasonography at a tertiary referral center in the United States. Intervention: Active surveillance. Main Outcomes and Measures: The cumulative incidence, rate, and magnitude of the change in tumor diameter or volume, as well as associations with patient and tumor characteristics. Results: Of the 291 patients, 219 (75.3%) were women; mean (SD) age was 52 (15) years. During a median (range) active surveillance of 25 (6-166) months, growth in tumor diameter of 3 mm or more was observed in 11 of 291 (3.8%) patients, with a cumulative incidence of 2.5% (2 years) and 12.1% (5 years). No regional or distant metastases developed during active surveillance. In all cases, 3-dimensional measurements of tumor volume allowed for earlier identification of growth (median, 8.2 months; range, 3-46 months before increase in tumor diameter). In multivariable analysis, both younger age at diagnosis (hazard ratio per year, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87-0.98; P = .006) and risk category at presentation (hazard ratio for inappropriate, 55.17; 95% CI, 9.4-323.19; P < .001) were independently associated with the likelihood of tumor growth. Of the tumors experiencing volume growth, kinetics demonstrated a classic exponential growth pattern, with a median doubling time of 2.2 years (range, 0.5-4.8 years; median r2 = 0.75; range, 0.42-0.99). Conclusions and Relevance: The rates of tumor growth during active surveillance in a US cohort with PTCs measuring 1.5 cm or less were low. Serial measurement of tumor volumes may facilitate early identification of tumors that will continue to grow and thereby inform the timing of surveillance imaging and therapeutic interventions.
Importance: Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is now an accepted alternative to immediate surgery, but experience with this approach outside of Japan is limited. The kinetics (probability, rate, and magnitude) of PTC tumor growth under active surveillance have not been well defined. Objective: To describe the kinetics of PTC tumor growth during active surveillance. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cohort study of 291 patients undergoing active surveillance for low-risk PTC (intrathyroidal tumors ≤1.5 cm) with serial tumor measurements via ultrasonography at a tertiary referral center in the United States. Intervention: Active surveillance. Main Outcomes and Measures: The cumulative incidence, rate, and magnitude of the change in tumor diameter or volume, as well as associations with patient and tumor characteristics. Results: Of the 291 patients, 219 (75.3%) were women; mean (SD) age was 52 (15) years. During a median (range) active surveillance of 25 (6-166) months, growth in tumor diameter of 3 mm or more was observed in 11 of 291 (3.8%) patients, with a cumulative incidence of 2.5% (2 years) and 12.1% (5 years). No regional or distant metastases developed during active surveillance. In all cases, 3-dimensional measurements of tumor volume allowed for earlier identification of growth (median, 8.2 months; range, 3-46 months before increase in tumor diameter). In multivariable analysis, both younger age at diagnosis (hazard ratio per year, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87-0.98; P = .006) and risk category at presentation (hazard ratio for inappropriate, 55.17; 95% CI, 9.4-323.19; P < .001) were independently associated with the likelihood of tumor growth. Of the tumors experiencing volume growth, kinetics demonstrated a classic exponential growth pattern, with a median doubling time of 2.2 years (range, 0.5-4.8 years; median r2 = 0.75; range, 0.42-0.99). Conclusions and Relevance: The rates of tumor growth during active surveillance in a US cohort with PTCs measuring 1.5 cm or less were low. Serial measurement of tumor volumes may facilitate early identification of tumors that will continue to grow and thereby inform the timing of surveillance imaging and therapeutic interventions.
Authors: Salvatore Vaccarella; Silvia Franceschi; Freddie Bray; Christopher P Wild; Martyn Plummer; Luigino Dal Maso Journal: N Engl J Med Date: 2016-08-18 Impact factor: 91.245
Authors: Bryan R Haugen; Erik K Alexander; Keith C Bible; Gerard M Doherty; Susan J Mandel; Yuri E Nikiforov; Furio Pacini; Gregory W Randolph; Anna M Sawka; Martin Schlumberger; Kathryn G Schuff; Steven I Sherman; Julie Ann Sosa; David L Steward; R Michael Tuttle; Leonard Wartofsky Journal: Thyroid Date: 2016-01 Impact factor: 6.568
Authors: Kepal N Patel; Trevor E Angell; Joshua Babiarz; Neil M Barth; Thomas Blevins; Quan-Yang Duh; Ronald A Ghossein; R Mack Harrell; Jing Huang; Giulia C Kennedy; Su Yeon Kim; Richard T Kloos; Virginia A LiVolsi; Gregory W Randolph; Peter M Sadow; Michael H Shanik; Julie A Sosa; S Thomas Traweek; P Sean Walsh; Duncan Whitney; Michael W Yeh; Paul W Ladenson Journal: JAMA Surg Date: 2018-09-01 Impact factor: 14.766
Authors: Alexandra Koshkina; Rouhi Fazelzad; Iwao Sugitani; Akira Miyauchi; Lehana Thabane; David P Goldstein; Sangeet Ghai; Anna M Sawka Journal: JAMA Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg Date: 2020-06-01 Impact factor: 6.223
Authors: Giovanni Mauri; Laszlo Hegedüs; Steven Bandula; Roberto Luigi Cazzato; Agnieszka Czarniecka; Oliver Dudeck; Laura Fugazzola; Romana Netea-Maier; Gilles Russ; Göran Wallin; Enrico Papini Journal: Eur Thyroid J Date: 2021-05-25