Literature DB >> 28857266

Avoiding premature closure and reaching diagnostic accuracy: some key predictive factors.

Edward Krupat1, Jolie Wormwood2, Richard M Schwartzstein1, Jeremy B Richards1.   

Abstract

CONTEXT: Early studies suggested that experienced clinicians simply generate more accurate diagnoses than those less experienced. However, more recent studies indicate that experienced clinicians may be subject to biases in formulating and confirming hypotheses that lead to inaccuracy.
OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to identify factors associated with the ability to process information in ways that overcome premature closure and result in accurate diagnosis using a set of vignettes in which inconsistent information was introduced midway.
METHODS: Seventy-five participants (25 Year 3 medical students, 25 internal medicine residents in their second year of residency and 25 internal medicine faculty) were recruited to solve each of four complex clinical vignettes. In each vignette, the first four rounds of information pointed toward a narrowing range of diagnostic possibilities, but patient information presented in and after the fifth round was inconsistent with prior findings. In addition to accuracy, outcome measures were length of differential diagnosis, certainty of diagnosis, persistence in data collection and tendency to switch diagnoses.
RESULTS: There were no significant differences in diagnostic accuracy across the three groups, each of which differed in level of training. However, across experience levels, diagnostic accuracy was associated with the mean number of items in the differential, tendency to persist (e.g. to request a greater number of rounds of information), and openness to switch (e.g. to change the most likely diagnosis on receipt of disconfirming information).
CONCLUSIONS: Level of training (i.e. clinical experience) was not associated with accuracy on this task. As faculty clinicians certainly have more knowledge than their junior counterparts, it is important to identify ways in which cognitive factors can lead to more or less persistence and openness, and to teach clinicians how to overcome tendencies associated with error.
© 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd and The Association for the Study of Medical Education.

Entities:  

Mesh:

Year:  2017        PMID: 28857266     DOI: 10.1111/medu.13382

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Med Educ        ISSN: 0308-0110            Impact factor:   6.251


  3 in total

1.  Efficacy of Artificial-Intelligence-Driven Differential-Diagnosis List on the Diagnostic Accuracy of Physicians: An Open-Label Randomized Controlled Study.

Authors:  Yukinori Harada; Shinichi Katsukura; Ren Kawamura; Taro Shimizu
Journal:  Int J Environ Res Public Health       Date:  2021-02-21       Impact factor: 3.390

2.  A Bayesian Network Analysis of the Diagnostic Process and Its Accuracy to Determine How Clinicians Estimate Cardiac Function in Critically Ill Patients: Prospective Observational Cohort Study.

Authors:  Thomas Kaufmann; José Castela Forte; Bart Hiemstra; Marco A Wiering; Marco Grzegorczyk; Anne H Epema; Iwan C C van der Horst
Journal:  JMIR Med Inform       Date:  2019-10-30

3.  Effects of a Differential Diagnosis List of Artificial Intelligence on Differential Diagnoses by Physicians: An Exploratory Analysis of Data from a Randomized Controlled Study.

Authors:  Yukinori Harada; Shinichi Katsukura; Ren Kawamura; Taro Shimizu
Journal:  Int J Environ Res Public Health       Date:  2021-05-23       Impact factor: 3.390

  3 in total

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