Y Toyonaga1, K Asayama2, Y Maehara1. 1. Department of Anesthesiology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan. 2. Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Surgical Apgar Score (SAS) is relatively weakly associated with post-operative outcomes in emergency surgery, compared with elective surgery. A combination of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and SAS may be useful for prediction of poor outcomes after emergency surgery. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted in patients who underwent emergency abdominal or cerebral surgery from January 2005 to December 2010. AKI was diagnosed using Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria for 2 days after surgery. Pre-operative SIRS was defined as SIRS score ≥ 2. Patients were divided into those with SAS ≥ 5 and < 5. Independent risk factors for post-operative AKI were identified. Ability to predict post-operative AKI was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: Of 742 patients, 175 (24%) had post-operative AKI. Pre-operative SIRS (OR 1.9, 95% CI: 1.2-2.9, P < 0.01) and SAS < 5 (OR 2.6, 95% CI: 1.7-4.1, P < 0.01) were independent risk factors for post-operative AKI. Patients without SIRS and SAS < 5 had an increased risk of post-operative AKI (odds ratio (OR) 3.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.9-6.7, P < 0.01) and those with SIRS and SAS < 5 had increased risks of post-operative AKI (OR 5.9, 95% CI: 3.7-9.3, P < 0.01) and hospital mortality (OR 3.5, 95% CI: 1.9-6.3, P < 0.01). In ROC analysis, the c-statistic using both SIRS and SAS < 5 was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77-0.84, P < 0.01) and higher than without use of these factors (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Pre-operative SIRS and SAS are independently associated with post-operative AKI. Simultaneous use of pre-operative SIRS and SAS may improve prediction of poor post-operative outcomes.
BACKGROUND: Surgical Apgar Score (SAS) is relatively weakly associated with post-operative outcomes in emergency surgery, compared with elective surgery. A combination of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and SAS may be useful for prediction of poor outcomes after emergency surgery. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted in patients who underwent emergency abdominal or cerebral surgery from January 2005 to December 2010. AKI was diagnosed using Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria for 2 days after surgery. Pre-operative SIRS was defined as SIRS score ≥ 2. Patients were divided into those with SAS ≥ 5 and < 5. Independent risk factors for post-operative AKI were identified. Ability to predict post-operative AKI was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: Of 742 patients, 175 (24%) had post-operative AKI. Pre-operative SIRS (OR 1.9, 95% CI: 1.2-2.9, P < 0.01) and SAS < 5 (OR 2.6, 95% CI: 1.7-4.1, P < 0.01) were independent risk factors for post-operative AKI. Patients without SIRS and SAS < 5 had an increased risk of post-operative AKI (odds ratio (OR) 3.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.9-6.7, P < 0.01) and those with SIRS and SAS < 5 had increased risks of post-operative AKI (OR 5.9, 95% CI: 3.7-9.3, P < 0.01) and hospital mortality (OR 3.5, 95% CI: 1.9-6.3, P < 0.01). In ROC analysis, the c-statistic using both SIRS and SAS < 5 was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77-0.84, P < 0.01) and higher than without use of these factors (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Pre-operative SIRS and SAS are independently associated with post-operative AKI. Simultaneous use of pre-operative SIRS and SAS may improve prediction of poor post-operative outcomes.
Authors: Lisette M Vernooij; Wilton A van Klei; Karel Gm Moons; Toshihiko Takada; Judith van Waes; Johanna Aag Damen Journal: Cochrane Database Syst Rev Date: 2021-12-21