Osama I I Soliman1, Sakir Akin2,3, Rahatullah Muslem2,4, Eric Boersma2, Olivier C Manintveld2, Thomas Krabatsch5, Jan F Gummert6, Theo M M H de By7, Ad J J C Bogers4, Felix Zijlstra2, Paul Mohacsi8, Kadir Caliskan2. 1. Department of Cardiology, Thoraxcenter (O.I.I.S., S.A., R.M., E.B., O.C.M., F.Z., K.C.) o.soliman@erasmusmc.nl. 2. Department of Cardiology, Thoraxcenter (O.I.I.S., S.A., R.M., E.B., O.C.M., F.Z., K.C.). 3. Intensive Care (S.A.). 4. Cardiothoracic Surgery (R.M., A.J.J.C.B.). 5. Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, the Netherlands. Department of Cardiac Surgery, German Heart Centre Berlin, Germany (T.K.). 6. Department for Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Heart and Diabetes Centre NRW, Ruhr-University Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany (J.F.G.). 7. EUROMACS Registry, EACTS, Windsor, UK (T.M.M.H.d.B.). 8. Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Bern, University of Bern, Switzerland (P.M.).
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to derive and validate a novel risk score for early right-sided heart failure (RHF) after left ventricular assist device implantation. METHODS: The EUROMACS (European Registry for Patients with Mechanical Circulatory Support) was used to identify adult patients undergoing continuous-flow left ventricular assist device implantation with mainstream devices. Eligible patients (n=2988) were randomly divided into derivation (n=2000) and validation (n=988) cohorts. The primary outcome was early (<30 days) severe postoperative RHF, defined as receiving short- or long-term right-sided circulatory support, continuous inotropic support for ≥14 days, or nitric oxide ventilation for ≥48 hours. The secondary outcome was all-cause mortality and length of stay in the intensive care unit. Covariates found to be associated with RHF (exploratory univariate P<0.10) were entered into a multivariable logistic regression model. A risk score was then generated using the relative magnitude of the exponential regression model coefficients of independent predictors at the last step after checking for collinearity, likelihood ratio test, c index, and clinical weight at each step. RESULTS: A 9.5-point risk score incorporating 5 variables (Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support class, use of multiple inotropes, severe right ventricular dysfunction on echocardiography, ratio of right atrial/pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, hemoglobin) was created. The mean scores in the derivation and validation cohorts were 2.7±1.9 and 2.6±2.0, respectively (P=0.32). RHF in the derivation cohort occurred in 433 patients (21.7%) after left ventricular assist device implantation and was associated with a lower 1-year (53% versus 71%; P<0.001) and 2-year (45% versus 58%; P<0.001) survival compared with patients without RHF. RHF risk ranged from 11% (low risk score 0-2) to 43.1% (high risk score >4; P<0.0001). Median intensive care unit stay was 7 days (interquartile range, 4-15 days) versus 24 days (interquartile range, 14-38 days) in patients without versus with RHF, respectively (P<0.001). The c index of the composite score was 0.70 in the derivation and 0.67 in the validation cohort. The EUROMACS-RHF risk score outperformed (P<0.0001) previously published scores and known individual echocardiographic and hemodynamic markers of RHF. CONCLUSIONS: This novel EUROMACS-RHF risk score outperformed currently known risk scores and clinical predictors of early postoperative RHF. This novel score may be useful for tailored risk-based clinical assessment and management of patients with advanced HF evaluated for ventricular assist device therapy.
BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to derive and validate a novel risk score for early right-sided heart failure (RHF) after left ventricular assist device implantation. METHODS: The EUROMACS (European Registry for Patients with Mechanical Circulatory Support) was used to identify adult patients undergoing continuous-flow left ventricular assist device implantation with mainstream devices. Eligible patients (n=2988) were randomly divided into derivation (n=2000) and validation (n=988) cohorts. The primary outcome was early (<30 days) severe postoperative RHF, defined as receiving short- or long-term right-sided circulatory support, continuous inotropic support for ≥14 days, or nitric oxide ventilation for ≥48 hours. The secondary outcome was all-cause mortality and length of stay in the intensive care unit. Covariates found to be associated with RHF (exploratory univariate P<0.10) were entered into a multivariable logistic regression model. A risk score was then generated using the relative magnitude of the exponential regression model coefficients of independent predictors at the last step after checking for collinearity, likelihood ratio test, c index, and clinical weight at each step. RESULTS: A 9.5-point risk score incorporating 5 variables (Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support class, use of multiple inotropes, severe right ventricular dysfunction on echocardiography, ratio of right atrial/pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, hemoglobin) was created. The mean scores in the derivation and validation cohorts were 2.7±1.9 and 2.6±2.0, respectively (P=0.32). RHF in the derivation cohort occurred in 433 patients (21.7%) after left ventricular assist device implantation and was associated with a lower 1-year (53% versus 71%; P<0.001) and 2-year (45% versus 58%; P<0.001) survival compared with patients without RHF. RHF risk ranged from 11% (low risk score 0-2) to 43.1% (high risk score >4; P<0.0001). Median intensive care unit stay was 7 days (interquartile range, 4-15 days) versus 24 days (interquartile range, 14-38 days) in patients without versus with RHF, respectively (P<0.001). The c index of the composite score was 0.70 in the derivation and 0.67 in the validation cohort. The EUROMACS-RHF risk score outperformed (P<0.0001) previously published scores and known individual echocardiographic and hemodynamic markers of RHF. CONCLUSIONS: This novel EUROMACS-RHF risk score outperformed currently known risk scores and clinical predictors of early postoperative RHF. This novel score may be useful for tailored risk-based clinical assessment and management of patients with advanced HF evaluated for ventricular assist device therapy.
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Authors: Yaron D Barac; Alina Nicoara; Muath Bishawi; Jacob N Schroder; Mani A Daneshmand; Nazish K Hashmi; Eric Velazquez; Joseph G Rogers; Chetan B Patel; Carmelo A Milano Journal: JACC Heart Fail Date: 2019-12-11 Impact factor: 12.035