| Literature DB >> 28840057 |
Yasuo Chojin1, Tatsuji Kato1, Mariko Rikihisa2, Masami Omori2, Shingo Noguchi3,4, Kentaro Akata3, Takaaki Ogoshi3, Kazuhiro Yatera3, Hiroshi Mukae3,5.
Abstract
Elderly pneumonia patients have various underlying diseases and social backgrounds, and it is difficult to predict their mortality using the current severity assessment tools. However, aspiration is a risk factor for mortality in pneumonia patients. In the evaluation of aspiration, endoscopic and video fluoroscopic methods are reliable but cannot be performed in all pneumonia patients. We evaluated the significance of the Mann Assessment of Swallowing Ability (MASA) in these patients. This study was prospectively performed between December 2014 and June 2015, and all adult hospitalized patients with pneumonia were consecutively enrolled. The MASA score was evaluated soon after admission. The outcome measures were in-hospital mortality, a recurrence of pneumonia within 30 days, 6-month mortality, and the detection of antibiotic-resistant bacteria. A total of 153 patients were ultimately included. The proportion of in-hospital mortality was greater among the severe MASA score patients than normal score patients (p < 0.01), as was the proportion of recurrence of pneumonia (p < 0.01) and 6-month mortality (p < 0.01). In addition, patients with a moderate MASA score more often experienced recurrence of pneumonia than normal score patients (p < 0.05). Furthermore, patients with a mild MASA score more often experienced recurrence of pneumonia (p < 0.01) and 6-month mortality (p < 0.05) than normal score patients. The areas under the curve were 0.74 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.67-0.82) for in-hospital mortality, 0.75 (95% CI, 0.68-0.82) for recurrence of pneumonia, 0.72 (95% Cl, 0.64-0.81) for 6-month mortality, and 0.60 (95% CI, 0.46-0.73) for detection of antibiotic-resistant bacteria. A multivariate analysis showed an abnormal MASA score to be an independent risk factor for the recurrence of pneumonia (p = 0.001) and 6-month mortality (p = 0.005). The MASA is useful for predicting the mortality and recurrence of pneumonia in elderly patients.Entities:
Keywords: aspiration risk; elderly; mann assessment of swallowing ability; mortality; pneumonia; recurrence of pneumonia
Year: 2017 PMID: 28840057 PMCID: PMC5524805 DOI: 10.14336/AD.2017.0102
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Aging Dis ISSN: 2152-5250 Impact factor: 6.745
Figure 1.Flow chart.
Characteristics of 153 patients with pneumonia.
| Age (years), mean ± SD | 85.4 ± 9.9 |
| Female sex; n (%) | 96 (62.7) |
| Performance status ≥3; n (%) | 138 (90.2) |
| HCAP; n (%) | 100 (65.4) |
| Comorbidity; n (%) | |
| Malignancy | 38 (24.8) |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 87 (56.9) |
| Laryngopharynx disorder | 26 (17.0) |
| Chronic cardiovascular disease | 69 (45.1) |
| Chronic respiratory disease | 58 (37.9) |
| Chronic liver disease | 6 (3.9) |
| Chronic kidney disease | 8 (5.2) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 23 (15.0) |
| Dementia | 131 (85.6) |
| Clinical parameters; n (%) | |
| Orientation disturbance (confusion) | 9 (5.9) |
| Respiratory failure | 90 (58.8) |
| Systolic BP <90 mmHg or diastolic BP ≤60 mmHg | 3 (2.0) |
| Body temperature ≤35 or ≥40 °C | 8 (5.2) |
| Pulse rate ≥125 beats/min | 17 (11.1) |
| Laboratory findings | |
| BUN ≥10.7 mmol/L | 76 (49.7) |
| Glucose ≥13.9 mmol/L | 7 (4.6) |
| Hematocrit <30% | 23 (15.0) |
| Albumin <3.0 g/dl | 52 (34.0) |
| PSI score; n (%) | |
| I-III | 20 (13.1) |
| VI | 65 (42.5) |
| V | 68 (44.4) |
| Gastrogavage | 5 (3.3) |
| ICU admission | 13 (8.5) |
| Length of hospital stay (days) | 19.1 ± 11.9 |
| In-hospital mortality; n (%) | 14 (9.2) |
| Recurrence of pneumonia within 30 days; n (%)[ | 47 (32.4) |
| 6-month mortality [ | 29 (22.8) |
SD: standard deviation, HCAP: healthcare-associated pneumonia, BUN: blood urea nitrogen, PSI: pneumonia severity index, ICU: intensive care unit.
Recurrence of pneumonia within 30 days was evaluated in 145 patients.
Six-month mortality was evaluated in 127 patients.
Number of abnormality of the clinical assessment items of the Mann Assessment of Swallowing Ability.
| Clinical assessment items | Number of abnormality | |
|---|---|---|
| Alertness | 69 | (45.1) |
| Cooperation | 95 | (62.1) |
| Auditory comprehension | 119 | (77.8) |
| Respiration | 153 | (100) |
| Respiratory rate for swallowing | 121 | (79.1) |
| Dysphasia | 83 | (54.2) |
| Dyspraxia | 41 | (26.8) |
| Dysarthria | 103 | (67.3) |
| Saliva | 34 | (22.2) |
| Lip Seal | 95 | (62.1) |
| Tongue movement | 105 | (68.6) |
| Tongue strength | 122 | (79.7) |
| Tongue coordination | 131 | (85.6) |
| Oral preparation | 86 | (56.2) |
| Gag | 116 | (75.8) |
| Palate | 87 | (56.9) |
| Bolus clearance | 85 | (55.6) |
| Oral transit | 133 | (86.9) |
| Cough reflex | 109 | (71.2) |
| Voluntary cough | 101 | (66.0) |
| Voice | 95 | (62.1) |
| Trachea | 1 | (0.7) |
| Pharyngeal phase | 103 | (67.3) |
| Pharyngeal response | 27 | (17.6) |
Microbes identified in patients with pneumonia.
| 11 | (13.4) | |
| MSSA | 5 | (6.1) |
| MRSA | 6 | (7.3) |
| 1 | (1.2) | |
| 12 | (14.6) | |
| 1 | (1.2) | |
| 3 | (3.7) | |
| 11 | (13.4) | |
| BLNAR | 6 | (7.3) |
| 11 | (13.4) | |
| ESBL | 2 | (2.4) |
| 7 | (8.5) | |
| ESBL | 2 | (2.4) |
| 5 | (6.1) | |
| 2 | (2.4) | |
| 1 | (1.2) | |
| 1 | (1.2) | |
| Anaerobic bacteria | 4 | (4.9) |
| Oral bacteria | 65 | (79.3) |
| Others | 3 | (3.7) |
| Detected antibiotic-resistant bacteria[ | 16 | (19.5) |
Data are presented as n (%) unless otherwise stated. The percentages refer to 82 patients in whom some bacteria were identified.
MSSA: methicillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus, MRSA: methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, BLNAR: β-lactamase non-producing ampicillin-resistant, ESBL: Extended spectrum β-lactamase
MRSA, ESBL-producing bacteria, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Acinetobacter spp. were defined as antibiotic-resistant bacteria
Figure 2.Prediction of each parameter according to the MASA score
A) In-hospital mortality, B) Recurrence of pneumonia within 30 days, C) 6-month mortality, D) Detection of antibiotic-resistant bacteria.
Figure 3.The receiver operating characteristics curve for each parameter according to the MASA score
A) In-hospital mortality, B) Recurrence of pneumonia within 30 days, C) 6-month mortality, D) Detection of antibiotic-resistant bacteria.
Multivariate analysis of risk factors for each outcome
| A. In-hospital mortality
| |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds ratio | 95% Confidence interval | ||
| Cerebrovascular disease | 7.48 | 1.31-42.84 | 0.024 |
| Orientation disturbance | 11.04 | 1.46-83.66 | 0.020 |
| Hematocrit <30% | 3.64 | 0.93-14.18 | 0.063 |
| Albumin <3.0 g/dl | 2.67 | 0.77-9.24 | 0.121 |
Figure 4.The revised oral assessment guide according to MASA
A univariate analysis of the in-hospital mortality
| Odds ratio | 95% Confidence interval | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Age ≥ 75 years | 1.46 | 0.18-11.98 | 0.727 |
| Age ≥ 85 years | 2.47 | 0.66-9.27 | 0.179 |
| Female sex | 0.77 | 0.25-2.35 | 0.650 |
| HCAP | 0.68 | 0.22-2.08 | 0.500 |
| MASA score ≤ 169 | 1.00 | ||
| Performance status ≥ 3 | 1.00 | ||
| MMSE ≤ 26 | 0.98 | 0.29-3.29 | 0.967 |
| Neoplastic disease | 0.81 | 0.21-3.07 | 0.757 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 5.12 | 1.10-23.73 | 0.037 |
| Gastroesophageal disorder | 0.80 | 0.17-3.80 | 0.778 |
| Chronic heart disease | 1.24 | 0.41-3.73 | 0.699 |
| Chronic respiratory disease | 0.63 | 0.19-2.11 | 0.453 |
| Chronic liver disease | 1.00 | ||
| Chronic kidney disease | 1.45 | 0.17-12.72 | 0.737 |
| Collagen disease | 10.61 | 0.63-179.80 | 0.102 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 0.94 | 0.20-4.49 | 0.935 |
| Dementia | 2.31 | 0.29-18.63 | 0.431 |
| Sleeping medications | 2.41 | 0.75-7.81 | 0.141 |
| ACE inhibitor drugs | 2.41 | 0.47-12.44 | 0.294 |
| Inhaled corticosteroid | 1.00 | ||
| Gastrogavage | 2.60 | 0.27-25.0 | 0.409 |
| Orientation disturbance | 6.05 | 1.33-27.54 | 0.020 |
| BUN ≥ 21 mg/dl | 1.93 | 0.62-6.06 | 0.258 |
| Respiratory rate ≥ 30 breaths/min | 2.02 | 0.58-6.99 | 0.268 |
| Systolic BP < 90 mmHg or diastolic BP ≤ 60 mmHg | 1.00 | ||
| Body temperature ≥ 40 or ≤ 35 °C | 1.45 | 0.17-12.7 | 0.737 |
| Pulse rate ≥ 125 beats/min | 1.38 | 0.28-6.76 | 0.693 |
| SpO2 ≤ 90%, PaO2 ≤ 60 mmHg | 1.84 | 0.55-6.17 | 0.321 |
| Pleural effusion | 1.92 | 0.63-5.90 | 0.253 |
| Detected history of antibiotic-resistant bacteria | 1.96 | 0.50-7.73 | 0.338 |
| Inappropriate initial antibiotics | 2.15 | 0.70-6.61 | 0.183 |
| Antibiotic-resistant bacteria | 2.14 | 0.48-9.49 | 0.315 |
| Hematocrit < 30% | 3.73 | 1.12-12.40 | 0.031 |
| Albumin < 3.0 g/dl | 4.02 | 1.27-12.70 | 0.018 |
| Na < 130 mEq/ml | 1.45 | 0.17-12.72 | 0.737 |
| Glucose ≥ 250 mg/dl | 4.47 | 0.78-25.52 | 0.092 |
HCAP: healthcare-associated pneumonia, MASA: The Mann Assessment of Swallowing Ability, MMSE: Mini Mental State Examination, ACE: angiotensin-converting enzyme, BUN: blood urea nitrogen, BP: blood pressure
A univariate analysis of recurrence of pneumonia within 30 days of admission
| Odds ratio | 95% Confidence interval | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Age ≥ 75 years | 1.85 | 0.49-7.00 | 0.362 |
| Age ≥ 85 years | 1.34 | 0.65-2.76 | 0.434 |
| Female sex | 0.58 | 0.28-1.17 | 0.129 |
| HCAP | 0.82 | 0.40-1.68 | 0.585 |
| MASA score ≤ 169 | 33.09 | 4.38-249.78 | 0.001 |
| Performance status ≥ 3 | 1.00 | ||
| MMSE ≤ 26 | 0.99 | 0.46-2.16 | 0.989 |
| Neoplastic disease | 1.25 | 0.56-2.75 | 0.585 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 2.22 | 1.07-4.61 | 0.032 |
| Gastroesophageal disorder | 0.65 | 0.24-1.76 | 0.398 |
| Chronic heart disease | 0.52 | 0.25-1.06 | 0.072 |
| Chronic respiratory disease | 0.93 | 0.45-1.92 | 0.853 |
| Chronic liver disease | 4.47 | 0.79-25.31 | 0.091 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 2.95 | 0.63-13.73 | 0.169 |
| Collagen disease | 2.11 | 0.13-34.47 | 0.601 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.23 | 0.48-3.18 | 0.668 |
| Dementia | 5.41 | 1.20-24.31 | 0.028 |
| Sleeping medications | 1.46 | 0.62-3.42 | 0.389 |
| ACE inhibitor drugs | 0.89 | 0.22-3.59 | 0.866 |
| Inhaled corticosteroid | 1.00 | ||
| Gastrogavage | 3.27 | 0.53-20.29 | 0.203 |
| Orientation disturbance | 1.27 | 0.29-5.55 | 0.752 |
| BUN ≥ 21 mg/dl | 0.84 | 0.42-1.70 | 0.635 |
| Respiratory rate ≥ 30 breaths/min | 0.78 | 0.30-2.02 | 0.705 |
| Systolic BP < 90 mmHg or diastolic BP ≤ 60 mmHg | 1.04 | 0.092-11.81 | 0.973 |
| Body temperature ≥ 40 or ≤ 35 °C | 0.33 | 0.039-2.85 | 0.316 |
| Pulse rate ≥ 125 beats/min | 0.85 | 0.28-2.58 | 0.779 |
| SpO2 ≤ 90%, PaO2 ≤ 60 mmHg | 1.44 | 0.70-2.94 | 0.320 |
| Pleural effusion | 1.17 | 0.54-2.53 | 0.681 |
| Detected history of antibiotic-resistant bacteria | 1.38 | 0.50-3.83 | 0.532 |
| Inappropriate initial antibiotics | 2.28 | 1.06-4.87 | 0.034 |
| Antibiotic-resistant bacteria | 0.99 | 0.77-1.25 | 0.904 |
| Hematocrit < 30% | 1.93 | 0.77-4.88 | 0.161 |
| Albumin < 3.0 g/dl | 2.31 | 1.12-4.77 | 0.023 |
| Na < 130 mEq/ml | 2.19 | 0.52-9.15 | 0.284 |
| Glucose ≥ 250 mg/dl | 1.00 |
HCAP: healthcare-associated pneumonia, MASA: The Mann Assessment of Swallowing Ability, MMSE: Mini Mental State Examination, ACE: angiotensin-converting enzyme, BUN: blood urea nitrogen, BP: blood pressure
A univariate analysis of six-month mortality
| Odds ratio | 95% Confidence interval | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Age ≥ 75 years | 0.88 | 0.22-3.48 | 0.851 |
| Age ≥ 85 years | 2.05 | 0.83-5.08 | 0.120 |
| Female sex | 0.39 | 0.17-0.92 | 0.031 |
| HCAP | 1.13 | 0.46-2.75 | 0.791 |
| MASA score ≤ 169 | 16.98 | 2.22-130.10 | 0.006 |
| Performance status ≥ 3 | 1.00 | ||
| MMSE ≤ 26 | 0.85 | 0.34-2.08 | 0.715 |
| Neoplastic disease | 0.93 | 0.35-2.44 | 0.881 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 2.05 | 0.85-4.94 | 0.111 |
| Gastroesophageal disorder | 0.35 | 0.08-1.63 | 0.182 |
| Chronic heart disease | 0.56 | 0.24-1.32 | 0.185 |
| Chronic respiratory disease | 1.22 | 0.52-2.83 | 0.651 |
| Chronic liver disease | 7.68 | 1.33-44.35 | 0.023 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 2.71 | 0.57-12.89 | 0.210 |
| Collagen disease | 1.00 | ||
| Diabetes mellitus | 0.76 | 0.23-2.48 | 0.652 |
| Dementia | 5.06 | 0.64-40.06 | 0.125 |
| Sleeping medications | 1.41 | 0.52-3.81 | 0.494 |
| ACE inhibitor drugs | 0.40 | 0.05-3.35 | 0.400 |
| Inhaled corticosteroid | 0.59 | 0.12-2.81 | 0.504 |
| Gastrogavage | 1 | ||
| Orientation disturbance | 1.00 | ||
| BUN ≥ 21 mg/dl | 0.55 | 0.23-1.30 | 0.172 |
| Respiratory rate ≥ 30 breaths/min | 0.82 | 0.25-2.68 | 0.742 |
| Systolic BP < 90 mmHg or diastolic BP ≤ 60 mmHg | 1.00 | ||
| Body temperature ≥ 40 or ≤ 35 °C | 1.00 | ||
| Pulse rate ≥ 125 beats/min | 1.00 | ||
| SpO2 ≤ 90%, PaO2 ≤ 60 mmHg | 0.85 | 0.37-1.96 | 0.701 |
| Pleural effusion | 1.69 | 0.71-4.06 | 0.238 |
| Detected history of antibiotic-resistant bacteria | 1.65 | 0.52-5.20 | 0.395 |
| Inappropriate initial antibiotics | 3.61 | 1.48-8.82 | 0.005 |
| Antibiotic-resistant bacteria | 3.41 | 0.88-13.25 | 0.077 |
| Hematocrit < 30% | 2.80 | 0.96-8.19 | 0.060 |
| Albumin < 3.0 g/dl | 4.89 | 2.03-11.78 | ≤0.001 |
| Na < 130 mEq/ml | 2.71 | 0.57-12.89 | 0.210 |
| Glucose ≥ 250 mg/dl | 0.84 | 0.09-7.82 | 0.878 |
HCAP: healthcare-associated pneumonia, MASA: The Mann Assessment of Swallowing Ability, MMSE: Mini Mental State Examination, ACE: angiotensin-converting enzyme, BUN: blood urea nitrogen, BP: blood pressure