OBJECTIVES: Pediatric submersion victims often require admission. We wanted to identify a cohort of children at low risk for submersion-related injury who can be safely discharged from the emergency department (ED) after a period of observation. METHODS: This was a single-center retrospective derivation/validation cross-sectional study of children (0-18 years) who presented postsubmersion to a tertiary care, children's hospital ED from 2008 to 2015. We reviewed demographics, comorbidities, and prehospital and ED course. Primary outcome was safe discharge at 8 hours postsubmersion: normal mentation and vital signs. To identify potential scoring factors, any p-value of ≤0.25 was included in binary logistic regression; p-values < 0.05 were included in the final score. In the validation data set, we generated a one-point scoring system for each normal ED item. Receiver operating characteristic curves with area under the curve (AUC) were generated to test sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: The derivation data set consisted of 356 patients and validation data set of 89 patients. Five factors generated a safe discharge score at 8 hours: normal ED mentation, normal ED respiratory rate, absence of ED dyspnea, absence of need for airway support (bag-valve mask ventilation, intubation, and CPAP), absence of ED systolic hypotension (maximum score = 5; range = 0-5). Only the 80 patients with values for all five factors were included in the sensitivity/specificity analysis. This resulted in an AUC of 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.71-0.91; p < 0.001). Based on the sensitivity/specificity analysis, the discriminative ability peaks at 75% with a score of ≥3.5. A score of 4 or higher in the ED would suggest a safe discharge at 8 hours (sensitivity = 88.2% [95% CI = 72.5%-96.7%]; specificity = 62.9% [95% CI = 44.9%-78.5%]; positive predictive value = 69.8% [95% CI = 53.9%-82.8%]; negative predictive value = 84.6% [95% CI = 65.1%-95.6%]). CONCLUSIONS: A risk score can identify children at low risk for submersion-related injury who can be safely discharged from the ED after observation.
OBJECTIVES: Pediatric submersion victims often require admission. We wanted to identify a cohort of children at low risk for submersion-related injury who can be safely discharged from the emergency department (ED) after a period of observation. METHODS: This was a single-center retrospective derivation/validation cross-sectional study of children (0-18 years) who presented postsubmersion to a tertiary care, children's hospital ED from 2008 to 2015. We reviewed demographics, comorbidities, and prehospital and ED course. Primary outcome was safe discharge at 8 hours postsubmersion: normal mentation and vital signs. To identify potential scoring factors, any p-value of ≤0.25 was included in binary logistic regression; p-values < 0.05 were included in the final score. In the validation data set, we generated a one-point scoring system for each normal ED item. Receiver operating characteristic curves with area under the curve (AUC) were generated to test sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: The derivation data set consisted of 356 patients and validation data set of 89 patients. Five factors generated a safe discharge score at 8 hours: normal ED mentation, normal ED respiratory rate, absence of ED dyspnea, absence of need for airway support (bag-valve mask ventilation, intubation, and CPAP), absence of ED systolic hypotension (maximum score = 5; range = 0-5). Only the 80 patients with values for all five factors were included in the sensitivity/specificity analysis. This resulted in an AUC of 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.71-0.91; p < 0.001). Based on the sensitivity/specificity analysis, the discriminative ability peaks at 75% with a score of ≥3.5. A score of 4 or higher in the ED would suggest a safe discharge at 8 hours (sensitivity = 88.2% [95% CI = 72.5%-96.7%]; specificity = 62.9% [95% CI = 44.9%-78.5%]; positive predictive value = 69.8% [95% CI = 53.9%-82.8%]; negative predictive value = 84.6% [95% CI = 65.1%-95.6%]). CONCLUSIONS: A risk score can identify children at low risk for submersion-related injury who can be safely discharged from the ED after observation.
Authors: Myra H Wyckoff; Eunice M Singletary; Jasmeet Soar; Theresa M Olasveengen; Robert Greif; Helen G Liley; David Zideman; Farhan Bhanji; Lars W Andersen; Suzanne R Avis; Khalid Aziz; Jason C Bendall; David C Berry; Vere Borra; Bernd W Böttiger; Richard Bradley; Janet E Bray; Jan Breckwoldt; Jestin N Carlson; Pascal Cassan; Maaret Castrén; Wei-Tien Chang; Nathan P Charlton; Adam Cheng; Sung Phil Chung; Julie Considine; Daniela T Costa-Nobre; Keith Couper; Katie N Dainty; Peter G Davis; Maria Fernanda de Almeida; Allan R de Caen; Edison F de Paiva; Charles D Deakin; Therese Djärv; Matthew J Douma; Ian R Drennan; Jonathan P Duff; Kathryn J Eastwood; Walid El-Naggar; Jonathan L Epstein; Raffo Escalante; Jorge G Fabres; Joe Fawke; Judith C Finn; Elizabeth E Foglia; Fredrik Folke; Karoline Freeman; Elaine Gilfoyle; Craig A Goolsby; Amy Grove; Ruth Guinsburg; Tetsuo Hatanaka; Mary Fran Hazinski; George S Heriot; Karen G Hirsch; Mathias J Holmberg; Shigeharu Hosono; Ming-Ju Hsieh; Kevin K C Hung; Cindy H Hsu; Takanari Ikeyama; Tetsuya Isayama; Vishal S Kapadia; Mandira Daripa Kawakami; Han-Suk Kim; David A Kloeck; Peter J Kudenchuk; Anthony T Lagina; Kasper G Lauridsen; Eric J Lavonas; Andrew S Lockey; Carolina Malta Hansen; David Markenson; Tasuku Matsuyama; Christopher J D McKinlay; Amin Mehrabian; Raina M Merchant; Daniel Meyran; Peter T Morley; Laurie J Morrison; Kevin J Nation; Michael Nemeth; Robert W Neumar; Tonia Nicholson; Susan Niermeyer; Nikolaos Nikolaou; Chika Nishiyama; Brian J O'Neil; Aaron M Orkin; Osokogu Osemeke; Michael J Parr; Catherine Patocka; Jeffrey L Pellegrino; Gavin D Perkins; Jeffrey M Perlman; Yacov Rabi; Joshua C Reynolds; Giuseppe Ristagno; Charles C Roehr; Tetsuya Sakamoto; Claudio Sandroni; Taylor Sawyer; Georg M Schmölzer; Sebastian Schnaubelt; Federico Semeraro; Markus B Skrifvars; Christopher M Smith; Michael A Smyth; Roger F Soll; Takahiro Sugiura; Sian Taylor-Phillips; Daniele Trevisanuto; Christian Vaillancourt; Tzong-Luen Wang; Gary M Weiner; Michelle Welsford; Jane Wigginton; Jonathan P Wyllie; Joyce Yeung; Jerry P Nolan; Katherine M Berg Journal: Resuscitation Date: 2021-11-11 Impact factor: 5.262