| Literature DB >> 28819381 |
Xiao-Hui Li1, Wen-Shen Gu2, Xue-Ping Wang1, Jian-Hua Lin1, Xin Zheng1, Lin Zhang1,3, Ting Kang1, Zhi-Xian Zhang2, Wan-Li Liu1.
Abstract
Background: Although various inflammation-based indexes in esophageal carcinoma have been documented, but the prognostic value of the albumin-to-globulin ratio(AGR) and its correlation with fibrinogen in resectable ESCC remain unknown.Entities:
Keywords: CRP; albumin-to-globulin ratio; esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; fibrinogen; survival
Year: 2017 PMID: 28819381 PMCID: PMC5556647 DOI: 10.7150/jca.19062
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Cancer ISSN: 1837-9664 Impact factor: 4.207
Main Clinical Characteristics and Parameter in 447 Patients with ESCC
| Characteristics | Median (25th-75th percentile) or no.(%) |
|---|---|
| Gender(n) | |
| Male | 346(77.4) |
| Female | 101(22.6) |
| Age | |
| < 59 years | 233(52.1) |
| ≥59 years | 214(47.9) |
| Alcohol(n) | |
| No | 261(58.4) |
| Yes | 186(41.6) |
| Stage(n) | |
| I and II | 235(52.6) |
| III and IV | 212(47.4) |
| Treatment(n) | |
| Surgery only | 238(53.3) |
| Surgery and chemotherapy | 179(40.0) |
| Surgery and radiotherapy | 6(1.3) |
| Surgery and chemotherapy and radiotherapy | 24(5.4) |
| Tumor location* | |
| Upper | 40(9.0%) |
| Middle | 278(62.1%) |
| Lower | 128(28.6%) |
| Dead(n) | |
| No | 199(44.5) |
| Yes | 248(55.5) |
| Tests | |
| CRP(mg/L)a | 2.29(0.94-5.89) |
| fibrinogen(g/L)b | 3.16(2.63-3.75) |
| TP(g/L) | 68.88(64.46-72.65) |
| ALB(g/L) | 42.75(40.28-44.80) |
| GLB(g/L) | 26.50(22.78-29.69) |
| AGRc | 1.61(1.43-1.88) |
a n=437, b n=428, c n=442
*One patient has tumors both located in upper and lower esophagus.
Univariate and multivariate cox hazards analysis for OS in 447 patients with ESCC
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | HR | 95%CI | HR | 95%CI | ||
| Gender | ||||||
| Male vs. Female | 1.119 | 0.837-1.497 | 0.448 | |||
| Age (years) | ||||||
| <59 vs.≥59 | 0.985 | 0.768-1.264 | 0.905 | |||
| T classification | ||||||
| T3-4 vs. T1-2 | 1.888 | 1.384-2.576 | 0.000 | |||
| N classification | ||||||
| Yes vs. No | 3.045 | 2.337-3.969 | 0.000 | |||
| Metastasis | ||||||
| Yes vs. No | 4.047 | 2.307-7.098 | 0.000 | |||
| TNM stage♯ | ||||||
| III-IV vs. I-II | 3.132 | 2.048-4.074 | 0.000 | |||
| Alcohol history | ||||||
| Yes vs. No | 1.346 | 1.049-1.728 | 0.020 | |||
| Treatment(n) | ||||||
| Surgery only | 1.235 | 1.063-1.434 | 0.006 | |||
| Surgery and chemotherapy | ||||||
| Surgery and radiotherapy | ||||||
| Surgery and chemotherapy and radiotherapy | ||||||
| Tumor location | 1.221 | 0.987-1.510 | 0.066 | |||
| Upper | ||||||
| Middle | ||||||
| Lower | ||||||
| CRP(mg/L) | ||||||
| ≥10.0 vs. <10.0 | 1.512 | 1.102-2.073 | 0.010 | |||
| fibrinogen(g/L) | ||||||
| ≥4.0 vs. <4.0 | 1.467 | 1.087-1.980 | 0.012 | |||
| ALB(g/L) | ||||||
| ≥35.0 vs.<35.0 | 2.456 | 1.261-4.781 | 0.008 | |||
| GLB(g/L) | ||||||
| ≥26.33 vs.<26.33 | 1.232 | 0.958-1.583 | 0.104 | |||
| AGR | ||||||
| ≥1.66 vs. <1.66 | 1.511 | 1.169-1.954 | 0.002 | |||
Bold italics indicate significant differences (p < 0.05).
HR, Hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; CRP,C-reactive protein; TP, total protein; ALB, albumin; GLB, globulin; AGR, albumin/globulin.
*Cox hazard regression model.
♯TNM denotes tumor-node-metastasis.
Figure 1ROC curve of AGR. The Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the AGR in the patients with ESCC. The appropriate cutoff value for the AGR to be 1.66 (sensitivity: 54.5% and specificity: 60.7%). Area under the curve =0.597, 95%CI: 0.534-0.640, p = 0.002.
Figure 2Prognostic significance of CPR in ESCC. The five-year overall survival rate was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and analyzed with the log-rank test. A low CPR level was a favorable prognostic factor in the entire ESCC cohort. For CRP, the differences can be found in T3-T4 subgroup(c), N1-N2 subgroup (e) and M0 subgroup (f).
Figure 3Prognostic significance of AGR in ESCC. The five-year overall survival rate was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and analyzed with the log-rank test. A high AGR level was a favorable prognostic factor in the entire ESCC cohort. For AGR, the differences can be found in T1-T2 subgroup(b), T3-T4 subgroup (c), N0 subgroup (d) and M0 subgroup (f).
Relationship between the AGR and the clinical characteristics and acute phase reactants
| Cases | AGR | Lower AGR | Higher AGR | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | (n) | Median(25th-75th %) | <1.66 | ≥1.66 | ||
| Number of cases | 423a | 1.61(1.43-1.87) | 229 | 194 | ||
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 325 | 1.61(1.43-1.88) | 0.931 | 176 | 149 | 0.990 |
| Female | 98 | 1.59(1.43-1.85) | 53 | 45 | ||
| Age (≥59) | ||||||
| No | 221 | 1.61(1.43-1.89) | 0.388 | 118 | 103 | 0.748 |
| Yes | 202 | 1.59(1.42-1.85) | 111 | 91 | ||
| Alcohol history | ||||||
| No | 252 | 1.61(1.42-1.88) | 0.875 | 135 | 117 | 0.777 |
| Yes | 171 | 1.60(1.43-1.85) | 94 | 77 | ||
| Differentiationb | ||||||
| Poor | 110 | 1.60(1.43-1.86) | 0.975 | 59 | 51 | 0.995 |
| Moderate | 208 | 1.60(1.43-1.88) | 116 | 96 | ||
| Well | 76 | 1.64(1.41-1.89) | 42 | 34 | ||
| Tis | 7 | 1.57(1.50-2.1) | 4 | 3 | ||
| Treatment(n) | ||||||
| Surgery only | 233 | 1.64(1.45-1.86) | 0.890 | 115 | 108 | 0.596 |
| S + CHEMO | 179 | 1.59(1.42-1.89) | 100 | 74 | ||
| S + RAD | 6 | 1.56(1.38-1.88) | 4 | 2 | ||
| S + CHEMO + RAD | 24 | 1.66(1.33-1.96) | 10 | 10 | ||
| T classification | ||||||
| T1 | 47 | 1.61(1.44-1.90) | 0.134 | 25 | 22 | 0.314 |
| T2 | 70 | 1.66(1.47-1.92) | 33 | 37 | ||
| T3 | 278 | 1.60(1.43-1.87) | 152 | 126 | ||
| T4 | 28 | 1.53(1.31-1.75) | 19 | 9 | ||
| N classification | ||||||
| No | 197 | 1.61(1.43-1.89) | 0.929 | 105 | 92 | 0.747 |
| Yes | 226 | 1.60(1.43-1.86) | 124 | 102 | ||
| Metastasis | ||||||
| No | 409 | 1.61(1.43-1.88) | 0.032 | 218 | 191 | 0.062 |
| Yes | 14 | 1.44(1.36-1.55) | 11 | 3 | ||
| TNM stage♯ | ||||||
| I-II | 221 | 1.63(1.45-1.90) | 0.134 | 115 | 106 | 0.364 |
| III-IV | 202 | 1.58(1.40-1.84) | 114 | 88 | ||
| CRP(≥10.0 mg/L) | ||||||
| No | 362 | 1.66(1.47-1.90) | 179 | 183 | ||
| Yes | 71 | 1.43(1.25-1.70) | 56 | 15 | ||
| fibrinogen(≥4.0g/L) | ||||||
| No | 338 | 1.66(1.47-1.90) | 167 | 171 | ||
| Yes | 85 | 1.44(1.26-1.67) | 62 | 23 |
an=423, b n=401 (22 cases were excluded because their differentiation were between well & moderate & poor)
Bold italics indicate significant differences (p < 0.05). AGR, albumin/globulin; S + CHEMO, surgery + chemotherapy; S + RAD, surgery + radiotherapy; S + CHEMO + RAD, surgery + chemotherapy + radiotherapy.
*p values were calculated using Mann-Whitney U test or Kruskal-Wallis H, p <0.05 indicated significant differences.
**p values were calculated using the chi-squared test (χ2 test), p <0.05 indicated significant differences.
♯TNM denotes tumor-node-metastasis.
Figure 4Correlation of fibrinogen and AGR in ESCC patients. The pre-therapy serum fibrinogen level was negatively correlated with AGR (r =-3.17, p < 0.001).
Figure 5Prognosis significance of combining fibrinogen and AGR. The patients were classified to four groups according to the cut-off values of fibrinogen (4.0 g/L) and AGR (1.66). Group 1: low fibrinogen and low AGR; group 2: high fibrinogen and low AGR; group 3: low fibrinogen and high AGR; group 4: high fibrinogen and high AGR. The five-years overall survival rates of the four groups were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method and analyzed by the log-rank test.
Figure 6A nomogram predicts survival risk based on AGR and CRP(a) and Calibration graphs for the 3-year OS and 5-year OS(b). The nomogram is used by totaling the points identified at the top of the scale for each independent factor. This total point score is then identified on the total points scale to determine the probability of risk prediction. The Harrell's c-index for OS prediction was 0.687(a). The calibration curve for probability of 3-year OS and 5-year OS showed good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation(b).