| Literature DB >> 28734087 |
Emma E Hodgson1, Timothy E Essington1, Benjamin S Halpern2,3,4.
Abstract
Population endangerment typically arises from multiple, potentially interacting anthropogenic stressors. Extensive research has investigated the consequences of multiple stressors on organisms, frequently focusing on individual life stages. Less is known about population-level consequences of exposure to multiple stressors, especially when exposure varies through life. We provide the first theoretical basis for identifying species at risk of magnified effects from multiple stressors across life history. By applying a population modeling framework, we reveal conditions under which population responses from stressors applied to distinct life stages are either magnified (synergistic) or mitigated. We find that magnification or mitigation critically depends on the shape of density dependence, but not the life stage in which it occurs. Stressors are always magnified when density dependence is linear or concave, and magnified or mitigated when it is convex. Using Bayesian numerical methods, we estimated the shape of density dependence for eight species across diverse taxa, finding support for all three shapes.Keywords: Bayesian numerical methods; cumulative effects assessment; density dependence; environmental stressors; multiple stressors; non-additive effects; population modeling
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28734087 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.1961
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ecology ISSN: 0012-9658 Impact factor: 5.499