| Literature DB >> 28714876 |
Leonardo Lorente1, María M Martín2, Antonia Pérez-Cejas3, José Ferreres4, Jordi Solé-Violán5, Lorenzo Labarta6, César Díaz7, Alejandro Jiménez8.
Abstract
Previously, researchers found higher serum substance P (SP) concentrations in survivors of severe sepsis than in non-survivors at the time of severe sepsis diagnosis. The objectives of our current study were to determine whether there is an association between serum SP levels during the first week and sepsis mortality, sepsis severity, serum levels of tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α and interleukin (IL)-10, and whether serum SP levels during the first week could be used as a biomarker of sepsis mortality. We determined serum concentration of SP, TNF-α, and IL-10 at days 1, 4, and 8. The end-point of the study was mortality at 30 days. We found that non-survivor (n = 104) compared to survivor patients (n = 206) showed lower serum SP levels at days 1, 4, and 8 (p < 0.001). Multiple logistic regression analyses showed an association between 30-day mortality and serum SP levels at days 1, 4, and 8 (p < 0.001) controlling for SOFA score, diabetes mellitus, age, and lactic acid levels. The most interesting findings of our study were that there is an association between serum SP levels during the first week and sepsis mortality, and that serum SP levels during the first week could be used as a biomarker of sepsis mortality.Entities:
Keywords: mortality; outcome; patients; sepsis; substance P
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28714876 PMCID: PMC5536019 DOI: 10.3390/ijms18071531
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Mol Sci ISSN: 1422-0067 Impact factor: 5.923
Comparisons between non-survivor and survivor severe septic patients on demographic and clinical characteristics at the time of severe sepsis diagnosis.
| Characteristic | Non–Survivors ( | Survivors ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex female— | 36 (34.6) | 66 (32.0) | 0.70 |
| Ischemic heart disease— | 10 (9.6) | 21 (10.2) | 0.99 |
| Diabetes mellitus— | 42 (40.4) | 52 (25.2) | 0.009 |
| COPD— | 13 (12.5) | 28 (13.6) | 0.86 |
| Chronic renal failure—n (%) | 11 (10.6) | 12 (5.8) | 0.17 |
| SOFA score—median (p 25–75) | 11 (9–14) | 9 (7–11) | <0.001 |
| Platelets (cells/mm3)—median × 103 (p 25–75) | 133 (68–225) | 197 (131–271) | <0.001 |
| PaO2/FIO2 ratio—median (p 25–75) | 169 (103–240) | 180 (123–270) | 0.17 |
| Leukocytes (cells/mm3)—median × 103 (p 25–75) | 14.9 (6.8–20.4) | 14.4 (9.1–18.9) | 0.84 |
| Lactic acid (mmol/L)—median (p 25–75) | 3.56 (1.60–6.00) | 2.00 (1.15–3.50) | <0.001 |
| INR—median (p 25–75) | 1.42 (1.15–1.90) | 1.25 (1.10–1.50) | 0.003 |
| Creatinine (mg/dL)—median (p 25–75) | 1.63 (1.00–2.95) | 1.30 (0.80–2.10) | 0.007 |
| Bilirubin (mg/dL)—median (p 25–75) | 0.94 (0.50–2.17) | 0.87 (0.47–1.40) | 0.26 |
| aPTT (seconds)—median (p 25–75) | 36 (29–46) | 32 (28–39) | 0.005 |
| APACHE–II score—median (p 25–75) | 23 (19–28) | 19 (15–23) | <0.001 |
| Age—median years (p 25–75) | 64 (56–74) | 60 (47–69) | 0.003 |
| Bloodstream infection— | 17 (16.3) | 30 (14.6) | 0.74 |
| Empiric antimicrobial treatment adequate | 0.72 | ||
| Unknown due to negative cultures— | 55 (52.9) | 105 (51.0) | |
| Adequate— | 42 (40.4) | 83 (40.3) | |
| Inadequate— | 3 (2.9) | 4 (1.9) | |
| Unknown due to antigenuria diagnosis— | 4 (3.8) | 14 (6.8) | |
| Microorganism responsibles | |||
| Unknwon— | 55 (52.9) | 105 (51.0) | 0.81 |
| Gram-positive— | 26 (25.0) | 50 (24.3) | 0.89 |
| Gram-negative— | 23 (22.1) | 51 (24.8) | 0.67 |
| Fungii— | 4 (3.8) | 4 (1.9) | 0.45 |
| Anaerobe— | 1 (1.0) | 2 (1.0) | 0.99 |
| Site of infection | 0.75 | ||
| Respiratory— | 61 (58.7) | 118 (57.3) | |
| Abdominal— | 26 (25.0) | 58 (28.2) | |
| Neurological | 1 (1.0) | 4 (1.9) | |
| Urinary— | 5 (4.8) | 11 (5.3) | |
| Skin— | 5 (4.8) | 9 (4.4) | |
| Endocarditis— | 5 (4.8) | 6 (2.9) | |
| Osteomyelitis | 1 (0.9) | 0 | |
| Substance P (pg/mL)—median (p 25–75) | 278 (113–429) | 422 (314–522) | <0.001 |
| TNF-α (pg/mL)—median (p 25–75) | 36 (18–74) | 30 (19–49) | 0.24 |
| Interleukin-10 median pg/mL (p 25–75) | 38 (8–118) | 10 (5–37) | <0.001 |
COPD = Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease; SOFA = Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment; PaO2/FIO2 = pressure of arterial oxygen/fraction inspired oxygen; INR = International normalized ratio; aPTT = Activated partial thromboplastin time; Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-II score; TNF = tumor necrosis factor; data are presented as number (percentage) or median (interquartile range).
Comparisons on evolution of serum levels of substance P, TNF-α and IL-10, and SOFA score during the first week of severe sepsis.
| Parameters—Median (p 25−75) | Nonsurvivors | Survivors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ( | ( | ||
| Substance P (pg/mL)—median (p 25–75) | 278 (113–429) | 422 (314–522) | <0.001 |
| SOFA score—median (p 25–75) | 11 (9–14) | 9 (7–11) | <0.001 |
| TNF-α—median pg/mL (p 25–75) | 36 (18–74) | 30 (19–49) | 0.24 |
| Interleukin-10 median pg/mL (p 25–75) | 38 (8–118) | 10 (5–37) | <0.001 |
| ( | ( | ||
| Substance P (pg/mL)—median (p 25–75) | 162 (117–199) | 292 (201–380) | <0.001 |
| SOFA score—median (p 25–75) | 10 (7–15) | 6 (3–10) | <0.001 |
| TNF-α—median pg/mL (p 25–75) | 35 (26–49) | 22 (14–32) | 0.001 |
| Interleukin-10 median pg/mL (p 25–75) | 13 (6–37) | 6 (5–13) | <0.001 |
| ( | ( | ||
| Substance P (pg/mL)—median (p 25–75) | 124 (107–202) | 242 (175–299) | <0.001 |
| SOFA score—median (p 25–75) | 10 (6–13) | 4 (1–7) | <0.001 |
| TNF-α—median pg/mL (p 25–75) | 26 (15–48) | 17 (12–29) | 0.04 |
| Interleukin-10 median pg/mL (p 25–75) | 12 (6–28) | 5 (5–9) | 0.001 |
p 25−75 = percentiles 25–75; SOFA = Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score; TNF = tumor necrosis factor.
Figure 1Serum substance P levels in survivor and non-survivor severe septic during the first week.
Correlations between serum levels of substance P, TNF-α and IL-10, and SOFA score during the first week of severe sepsis.
| Header | Day 1 | Day 4 | Day 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOFA score | |||
| TNF-α (pg/mL) | |||
| Interleukin-10 (pg/mL) |
TNF = tumor necrosis factor; SOFA = Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score. After Bonferroni correction only p < 0.005 are statistically signifcant.
Receiver operation characteristic analysis using serum Substance P levels at days 1, 4, and 8 as predictor of mortality at 30 days in severe septic patients: sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios, positive and negative predicted values.
| Header | Day 1 | Day 4 | Day 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cut-off of Substance P (pg/mL) | <339 | <203 | <148 |
| AUC, 95% CI, and | 0.71 (0.65–0.76) | 0.78 (0.73–0.83) | 0.74 (0.68–0.79) |
| Sensitivity and 95% CI | 66.4 (56.4–75.3) | 81.5 (70.0–90.1) | 67.3 (53.3–79.3) |
| Specificity and 95% CI | 69.4 (62.6–75.6) | 74.3 (67.7–80.1) | 81.1 (75.0–86.2) |
| Positive likelihood ratio and 95% CI | 2.2 (1.7–2.8) | 3.2 (2.4–4.1) | 3.6 (2.5–5.0) |
| Negative likelihood ratio and 95% CI | 0.5 (0.4–0.6) | 0.3 (0.1–0.4) | 0.4 (0.3–0.6) |
| Positive predicted value and 95% CI | 52.3 (43.4–61.0) | 50.0 (40.1–59.9) | 48.7 (37.0–60.4) |
| Negative predicted value and 95% CI | 80.3 (73.7–85.9) | 92.7 (87.6–96.2) | 90.3 (85.1–94.1) |
AUC: area under curve; CI: confidence intervals.
Figure 2Curves of receiver operation characteristic analysis using serum Substance P levels at days 1, 4, and 8 as a predictor of mortality at 30 days in severe septic patients.
Multiple logistic regression analyses to predict mortality at 30 days.
| Header | Hazard Ratio | 95% Confidence Interval | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP levels < 339 pg/mL at day 1 | 4.296 | 2.470–7.471 | <0.001 |
| SOFA at day 1 | 1.165 | 1.070–1.267 | <0.001 |
| Lactic acid (mmol/L) at day 1 | 1.110 | 1.008–1.223 | 0.03 |
| Diabetes Mellitus | 1.789 | 0.989–3.237 | 0.055 |
| Age (years) | 1.022 | 1.002–1.042 | 0.03 |
| SP levels < 203 pg/mL at day 4 | 14.619 | 6.304–33.900 | <0.001 |
| SOFA at day 4 | 1.118 | 1.017–1.229 | 0.02 |
| Lactic acid (mmol/L) at day 4 | 1.652 | 1.241–2.198 | 0.001 |
| Diabetes Mellitus | 2.001 | 0.917–4.365 | 0.08 |
| Age (years) | 1.027 | 1.001–1.054 | 0.04 |
| SP levels < 148 pg/mL at day 8 | 6.003 | 2.711–13.290 | <0.001 |
| SOFA at day 8 | 1.212 | 1.111–1.323 | <0.001 |
| Lactic acid (mmol/L) at day 8 | 1.557 | 0.933–2.599 | 0.09 |
| Diabetes Mellitus | 1.669 | 0.734–3.793 | 0.22 |
| Age (years) | 1.026 | 0.997–1.056 | 0.08 |
SP = substance P; SOFA = Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment.
Figure 3Survival curves at 30 days using serum substance P levels higher or lower than 339 pg/mL.