Nadya Dimitrova1, Ariana Znaor2, Dominic Agius3, Sultan Eser4, Mario Sekerija5, Anton Ryzhov6, Maja Primic-Žakelj7, Jan Willem Coebergh8. 1. Bulgarian National Cancer Registry, Sofia, Bulgaria. Electronic address: dimitrova.nadia@gmail.com. 2. Cancer Surveillance Unit, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France. 3. Malta National Cancer Registry, Guardamangia, Malta. 4. Hacettepe University, Institute of Public Health, Ankara and Cancer Registry of Izmir, Izmir, Turkey. 5. Croatian Institute of Public Health, Croatian National Cancer Registry, Andrija Stampar School of Public Health, School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia. 6. National Cancer Registry of Ukraine, National Institute of Cancer, Kyiv, Ukraine. 7. Epidemiology and Cancer Registry, Ljubljana, Slovenia. 8. Oegstgeest, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Marked variations exist in the incidence and mortality trends of major cancers in South-Eastern European (SEE) countries which have now been detailed by age for breast cancer (BC) to seek clues for improvement. METHODS: We brought together and analysed data from 14 cancer registries (CRs), situated in SEE countries or directly adjacent. Age-standardised rate at world standard (ASRw) and truncated incidence and mortality rates during 2000-2010 by year, and for four age groups, were calculated. Average annual percentage change of rates was estimated using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: Annual incidence rates increased significantly in countries and age groups, by 2-4% (15-39 years), 2-5% (40-49), 1-4% (50-69) and 1-6% (at 70+). Mortality rates decreased significantly in all age-groups in most countries, but increased up to 5% annually above age 55 in Ukraine, Serbia, Moldova and Cyprus. The BC data quality was evaluated by internationally agreed indicators which appeared suboptimal for Moldova, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Romania. CONCLUSION: The observed variations of incidence trends reflect the influence of risk factors, as well as levels of early detection activities (screening). While mortality rates were mostly decreasing, probably due to improved cancer care and introduction of more effective systemic treatment regimens, the worrying increasing mortality trends in the 55-plus age groups in some countries have to be addressed by health professionals and policymakers. In order to assess and monitor the effects of cancer control activities in the region, the CRs need substantial investments.
BACKGROUND: Marked variations exist in the incidence and mortality trends of major cancers in South-Eastern European (SEE) countries which have now been detailed by age for breast cancer (BC) to seek clues for improvement. METHODS: We brought together and analysed data from 14 cancer registries (CRs), situated in SEE countries or directly adjacent. Age-standardised rate at world standard (ASRw) and truncated incidence and mortality rates during 2000-2010 by year, and for four age groups, were calculated. Average annual percentage change of rates was estimated using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: Annual incidence rates increased significantly in countries and age groups, by 2-4% (15-39 years), 2-5% (40-49), 1-4% (50-69) and 1-6% (at 70+). Mortality rates decreased significantly in all age-groups in most countries, but increased up to 5% annually above age 55 in Ukraine, Serbia, Moldova and Cyprus. The BC data quality was evaluated by internationally agreed indicators which appeared suboptimal for Moldova, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Romania. CONCLUSION: The observed variations of incidence trends reflect the influence of risk factors, as well as levels of early detection activities (screening). While mortality rates were mostly decreasing, probably due to improved cancer care and introduction of more effective systemic treatment regimens, the worrying increasing mortality trends in the 55-plus age groups in some countries have to be addressed by health professionals and policymakers. In order to assess and monitor the effects of cancer control activities in the region, the CRs need substantial investments.