Frans K Gorus1,2, Eric V Balti1,2, Anissa Messaaoui3, Simke Demeester1,2, Annelien Van Dalem1,2, Olivier Costa1,2, Harry Dorchy3, Chantal Mathieu4, Luc Van Gaal5, Bart Keymeulen1,6, Daniël G Pipeleers1, Ilse Weets7,2. 1. Diabetes Research Center, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium. 2. Department of Clinical Chemistry, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel, Brussels, Belgium. 3. Department of Diabetology, Hôpital Universitaire des Enfants Reine Fabiola, Brussels, Belgium. 4. Department of Endocrinology, Universitair Ziekenhuis Leuven, Leuven, Belgium. 5. Department of Endocrinology, Diabetology and Metabolism, Universitair Ziekenhuis Antwerpen, Antwerp, Belgium. 6. Department of Diabetology, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel, Brussels, Belgium. 7. Diabetes Research Center, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium ilse.weets@uzbrussel.be.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether islet autoantibody profile, HLA-DQ genotype, and age influenced a 20-year progression to diabetes from first autoantibody positivity (autoAb+) in first-degree relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Persistently islet autoAb+ siblings and offspring (n = 462) under 40 years of age were followed by the Belgian Diabetes Registry. AutoAbs against insulin (IAA), GAD (GADA), IA-2 antigen (IA-2A), and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8A) were determined by radiobinding assay. RESULTS: The 20-year progression rate of multiple-autoAb+ relatives (n = 194) was higher than that for single-autoAb+ participants (n = 268) (88% vs. 54%; P < 0.001). Relatives positive for IAA and GADA (n = 54) progressed more slowly than double-autoAb+ individuals carrying IA-2A and/or ZnT8A (n = 38; P = 0.001). In multiple-autoAb+ relatives, Cox regression analysis identified the presence of IA-2A or ZnT8A as the only independent predictors of more rapid progression to diabetes (P < 0.001); in single-autoAb+ relatives, it identified younger age (P < 0.001), HLA-DQ2/DQ8 genotype (P < 0.001), and IAA (P = 0.028) as independent predictors of seroconversion to multiple positivity for autoAbs. In time-dependent Cox regression, younger age (P = 0.042), HLA-DQ2/DQ8 genotype (P = 0.009), and the development of additional autoAbs (P = 0.012) were associated with more rapid progression to diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: In single-autoAb+ relatives, the time to multiple-autoAb positivity increases with age and the absence of IAA and HLA-DQ2/DQ8 genotype. The majority of multiple-autoAb+ individuals progress to diabetes within 20 years; this occurs more rapidly in the presence of IA-2A or ZnT8A, regardless of age, HLA-DQ genotype, and number of autoAbs. These data may help to refine the risk stratification of presymptomatic type 1 diabetes.
OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether islet autoantibody profile, HLA-DQ genotype, and age influenced a 20-year progression to diabetes from first autoantibody positivity (autoAb+) in first-degree relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Persistently islet autoAb+ siblings and offspring (n = 462) under 40 years of age were followed by the Belgian Diabetes Registry. AutoAbs against insulin (IAA), GAD (GADA), IA-2 antigen (IA-2A), and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8A) were determined by radiobinding assay. RESULTS: The 20-year progression rate of multiple-autoAb+ relatives (n = 194) was higher than that for single-autoAb+ participants (n = 268) (88% vs. 54%; P < 0.001). Relatives positive for IAA and GADA (n = 54) progressed more slowly than double-autoAb+ individuals carrying IA-2A and/or ZnT8A (n = 38; P = 0.001). In multiple-autoAb+ relatives, Cox regression analysis identified the presence of IA-2A or ZnT8A as the only independent predictors of more rapid progression to diabetes (P < 0.001); in single-autoAb+ relatives, it identified younger age (P < 0.001), HLA-DQ2/DQ8 genotype (P < 0.001), and IAA (P = 0.028) as independent predictors of seroconversion to multiple positivity for autoAbs. In time-dependent Cox regression, younger age (P = 0.042), HLA-DQ2/DQ8 genotype (P = 0.009), and the development of additional autoAbs (P = 0.012) were associated with more rapid progression to diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: In single-autoAb+ relatives, the time to multiple-autoAb positivity increases with age and the absence of IAA and HLA-DQ2/DQ8 genotype. The majority of multiple-autoAb+ individuals progress to diabetes within 20 years; this occurs more rapidly in the presence of IA-2A or ZnT8A, regardless of age, HLA-DQ genotype, and number of autoAbs. These data may help to refine the risk stratification of presymptomatic type 1 diabetes.
Authors: Laura M Jacobsen; Laura Bocchino; Carmella Evans-Molina; Linda DiMeglio; Robin Goland; Darrell M Wilson; Mark A Atkinson; Tandy Aye; William E Russell; John M Wentworth; David Boulware; Susan Geyer; Jay M Sosenko Journal: Diabetologia Date: 2019-11-25 Impact factor: 10.122
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