Tatjana S Potpara1, Miroslav Mihajlovic2, Sanja Stankovic3, Tanja Jozic3, Irena Jozic3, Milika R Asanin4, Rajai Ahmad5, Gregory Y H Lip6. 1. Cardiology Clinic, Clinical Centre of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia; School of Medicine, Belgrade University, Belgrade, Serbia. 2. School of Medicine, Belgrade University, Belgrade, Serbia. 3. Emergency Centre, Clinical Centre of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia. 4. School of Medicine, Belgrade University, Belgrade, Serbia; Emergency Centre, Clinical Centre of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia. 5. Cardiology Department, City Hospital, Birmingham, United Kingdom. 6. School of Medicine, Belgrade University, Belgrade, Serbia; Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, United Kingdom. Electronic address: g.y.h.lip@bham.ac.uk.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Rapid clinical decision-making on further management of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest may be challenging. Recently, a "futility" score (NULL-PLEASE) incorporating multiple adverse resuscitation features (Nonshockable rhythm, Unwitnessed arrest, Long no-flow or Long low-flow period, blood PH <7.2, Lactate >7.0 mmol/L, End-stage chronic kidney disease on dialysis, Age ≥85 years, Still resuscitation, and Extracardiac cause) has been proposed to help identify patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest unlikely to survive; however, external independent score validation is lacking. METHODS: We retrospectively validated the NULL-PLEASE predictive ability for early in-hospital outcome of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in a single-center cohort of 547 consecutive patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest who were admitted from April 2013 to October 2016 (mean age, 66.3 ± 13.2 years); 227 patients (41.5%) died. Because pH and lactate were inconsistently measured, a modified NULL-PLEASE score excluding both variables was calculated as the principal analysis. A sensitivity analysis included the subgroup with pH data available (n = 177). RESULTS: Long low-flow period and age ≥85 years were independently associated with fatal outcome (both P < .001). Patients with a modified NULL-PLEASE score of ≥5 had a 3.3-fold greater risk of fatal outcome compared with a score of 0 to 4 (odds ratio, 3.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.29-4.89; P < .001); 77% of nonsurvivors had a score ≥5; NULL-PLEASE showed a modest predictive ability for fatal outcome (c-statistic 0.658; 95% CI, 0.613-0.704; P < .001). Sensitivity analysis yielded similar results, with 88% of nonsurvivors having a score ≥5. CONCLUSIONS: The NULL-PLEASE score was predictive for early in-hospital outcome of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, with a 3.3-fold greater odds for fatal outcome at the score values of ≥5.
BACKGROUND: Rapid clinical decision-making on further management of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest may be challenging. Recently, a "futility" score (NULL-PLEASE) incorporating multiple adverse resuscitation features (Nonshockable rhythm, Unwitnessed arrest, Long no-flow or Long low-flow period, blood PH <7.2, Lactate >7.0 mmol/L, End-stage chronic kidney disease on dialysis, Age ≥85 years, Still resuscitation, and Extracardiac cause) has been proposed to help identify patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest unlikely to survive; however, external independent score validation is lacking. METHODS: We retrospectively validated the NULL-PLEASE predictive ability for early in-hospital outcome of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in a single-center cohort of 547 consecutive patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest who were admitted from April 2013 to October 2016 (mean age, 66.3 ± 13.2 years); 227 patients (41.5%) died. Because pH and lactate were inconsistently measured, a modified NULL-PLEASE score excluding both variables was calculated as the principal analysis. A sensitivity analysis included the subgroup with pH data available (n = 177). RESULTS: Long low-flow period and age ≥85 years were independently associated with fatal outcome (both P < .001). Patients with a modified NULL-PLEASE score of ≥5 had a 3.3-fold greater risk of fatal outcome compared with a score of 0 to 4 (odds ratio, 3.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.29-4.89; P < .001); 77% of nonsurvivors had a score ≥5; NULL-PLEASE showed a modest predictive ability for fatal outcome (c-statistic 0.658; 95% CI, 0.613-0.704; P < .001). Sensitivity analysis yielded similar results, with 88% of nonsurvivors having a score ≥5. CONCLUSIONS: The NULL-PLEASE score was predictive for early in-hospital outcome of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, with a 3.3-fold greater odds for fatal outcome at the score values of ≥5.
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