| Literature DB >> 28616161 |
Abstract
Understanding climatic influences on the proportion of evergreen versus deciduous broad-leaved tree species in forests is of crucial importance when predicting the impact of climate change on broad-leaved forests. Here, we quantified the geographical distribution of evergreen versus deciduous broad-leaved tree species in subtropical China. The Relative Importance Value index (RIV) was used to examine regional patterns in tree species dominance and was related to three key climatic variables: mean annual temperature (MAT), minimum temperature of the coldest month (MinT), and mean annual precipitation (MAP). We found the RIV of evergreen species to decrease with latitude at a lapse rate of 10% per degree between 23.5 and 25°N, 1% per degree at 25-29.1°N, and 15% per degree at 29.1-34°N. The RIV of evergreen species increased with: MinT at a lapse rate of 10% per °C between -4.5 and 2.5°C and 2% per °C at 2.5-10.5°C; MAP at a lapse rate of 10% per 100 mm between 900 and 1,600 mm and 4% per 100 mm between 1,600 and 2,250 mm. All selected climatic variables cumulatively explained 71% of the geographical variation in dominance of evergreen and deciduous broad-leaved tree species and the climatic variables, ranked in order of decreasing effects were as follows: MinT > MAP > MAT. We further proposed that the latitudinal limit of evergreen and deciduous broad-leaved mixed forests was 29.1-32°N, corresponding with MAT of 11-18.1°C, MinT of -2.5 to 2.51°C, and MAP of 1,000-1,630 mm. This study is the first quantitative assessment of climatic correlates with the evergreenness and deciduousness of broad-leaved forests in subtropical China and underscores that extreme cold temperature is the most important climatic determinant of evergreen and deciduous broad-leaved tree species' distributions, a finding that confirms earlier qualitative studies. Our findings also offer new insight into the definition and distribution of the mixed forest and an accurate assessment of vulnerability of mixed forests to future climate change.Entities:
Keywords: deciduousness; extreme cold temperature; forest delimitation; leaf type; mixed forest; transitional zone
Year: 2017 PMID: 28616161 PMCID: PMC5468137 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.2967
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ecol Evol ISSN: 2045-7758 Impact factor: 2.912
Figure 1Variation in the relative importance value (RIV) of evergreen and deciduous broad‐leaved tree species with latitude in subtropical China. The interval between the green and black vertical dotted lines is the estimated latitudinal range of the mixed evergreen and deciduous broad‐leaved forest proposed in our study (see text for more detail). The green and black vertical dotted lines indicate the potential upper and lower limits of this mixed forest, respectively. The red vertical dotted line indicates the potential optimum latitudinal location where the RIV of evergreen and deciduous broad‐leaved tree species equals 50%, namely the optimal distribution location for the target mixed forest distribution. The pink horizontal dash line indicates where the RIV of evergreen or deciduous broad‐leaved tree species was equal to 75%
Figure 2Variation in the relative importance value (RIV) of evergreen and deciduous broad‐leaved tree species with different climatic variables in subtropical China. The intervals between the green and black vertical dotted lines are climatic envelopes of the mixed evergreen and deciduous broad‐leaved forest proposed in our study (see text for more detail). The green and black vertical dotted lines indicate the potential upper and lower limits of the evergreen and deciduous broad‐leaved mixed forest, respectively. The red vertical dotted lines indicate the optimum climatic conditions where the RIV of evergreen and deciduous broad‐leaved tree species equals 50%, namely the optimal climatic conditions for the target mixed forest distribution. The pink horizontal dash line indicates where the RIV of evergreen or deciduous broad‐leaved tree species is equal to 75%
Figure 3The relative contribution of different climatic variables to the variation in the relative importance value (RIV) of evergreen (or deciduous) broad‐leaved tree species in subtropical China. The symbols A, B, and C represent the independent effects of MAT, MAP, and MinT, respectively; AB is the interactive effect of MAT and MAP; AC is the interactive effect of MAT and MinT; BC is the interactive effect of MAP and MinT; and ABC is the interactive effect of MAT, MAP, and MinT. The total effect of all climatic variables is the sum of the individual and interactive effects of respective climatic variables in the corresponding circle. For example, the total effect of MAT (26.55%) is the sum of A (4.28%), AB (4.31%), AC (4.98%), and ABC (12.98%)