GENETIC EVIDENCE FOR A PLEISTOCENE POPULATION EXPLOSION.

Expansions of population size leave characteristic signatures in mitochondrial "mismatch distributions." Consequently, these distributions can inform us about the history of changes in population size. Here, I study a simple model of population history that assumes that, t generations before the present, a population grows (or shrinks) suddenly from female size N0 to female size N1 . Although this model is simple, it often provides an accurate description of data generated by complex population histories. I develop statistical methods that estimate θ0 = 2uN0 , θ1 = 2uN1 , and τ = 2ut (where u is the mutation rate), and place a confidence region around these estimates. These estimators are well behaved, and insensitive to simplifying assumptions. Finally, I apply these methods to published mitochondrial data, and infer that a major expansion of the human population occurred during the late Pleistocene. © 1995 The Society for the Study of Evolution.